Font
Large
Medium
Small
Night
Prev Index    Favorite Next

Volume 3 The Storm in the East China Sea Chapter 13 Smoke Bombs

July 11, 2016, Beijing time 430

After the Japanese foreign minister issued a tough wording two hours ago, hinting at the possibility of a military conflict, the world's news media focused on the Republic's Foreign Ministry.

Two hours of silence are enough to make the reporters waiting outside the press release center of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs feel cold.

Over the past six months, the Republic and Japan have had several conflicts. Almost every time the Republic has taken the lead in issuing a tough-worded diplomatic statement, ending with Japan's major concessions. Reminding the fact that at the Security Council meeting last year, the Republic rejected the proposal to expand the size of the permanent membership, exterminated Japan's dream of joining the permanent membership, and almost no one doubted it. The Republic will wave its big stick again and give Japan a little color.

Before the spokesperson of the Republic's Foreign Ministry announced the press conference, several well-known TV stations made analysis and comments

n's view is the most radical, believing that the Republic's attitude will be stronger, not only will it not make any concessions, but it will also take this opportunity to regain Diaoyu Island

Several European TV stations have relatively mild comments, believing that the possibility of a war breaks out is not high

The most eye-catching ones are two editorials published by Kyodo News

In one of the editorials, the possibility of a military conflict between China and Japan and the serious consequences arise. According to the analysis of the editorial, the Sino-Japanese war will have a catastrophic impact on the economies of the two countries. Not only will the Japanese economy, which is in dire straits, will suffer a heavy blow, but the Chinese economy, which is undergoing industrial structure adjustment, will also suffer a catastrophe. In this case, unless the situation develops to an uncontrollable point, the two sides will not lightly start the war. The editorial also elaborates on the possibility of a war breaking out due to accidental factors, and emphasizes that even if a war breaks out, it will also be due to the alliance between Japan and the United States, and the Republic does not have the ability to directly compete with the United States. It is just a small-scale local war and will not evolve into a full-scale war between China and Japan, nor will it develop into a world war.

Because Kyodo News is the official media of Japan, we can see the official attitude of Japan from this editorial

Just like its national nature, Japan hopes to gain benefits from the conflict, but is also afraid of suffering heavy losses. The entire editorial emphasizes the importance of the "US-Japan alliance" and explains the huge impact of the US on the Sino-Japanese conflict. This makes people believe that the Japanese government has serious lack of confidence and the confidence to support its tough attitude comes from the United States.

Another editorial focuses on analyzing the possible strategies and tactics of both sides if a military conflict breaks out

It is completely different from the previous editorial. This is from a retired Japanese Maritime Self-Defense Force official. It is full of confidence and even complacent.

According to the editorial analysis, the possibility of both sides mainly using fleets and aviation ground forces to participate in the battlefield is zero.

In the decisive battle of the fleet, it has 4 helicopter destroyers, 8 air defense destroyers, and 24 multi-purpose destroyers into four "Ninety Fleets". The Japanese Maritime Self-Defense Force has absolute advantages in ground force and combat power. If the opponent in the war is the Republic of East China Sea Fleet, a "Ninety Fleet" can win two "Ninety Fleets", and you can win a complete victory.

In air combat, there are more than 24 F-2,200 F-15-2 fighter jets, and more than ten early warning aircrafts in the Japanese Air Self-Defense Forces can defeat the Republic's air force within 23 hours to seize the battlefield and air supremacy to defeat the Republic's maritime fleet.

The editorial finally concluded that the Japanese sea and air can annihilate the enemy within 3 hours!

On the surface, this editorial is quite reasonable, and problems can be discovered by in-depth analysis.

The retired assistant officer of the Japanese Sea emphasized the superior power of Japan's military power and deliberately avoided amblyopia. For now, no matter whether the dozens of sea-surface warships of the Republic's East China Sea Fleet are arranged, whether the South China Sea Fleet and the North Sea Fleet will participate in the war, how strong the hundreds of advanced fighter jets of the Republic's Navy Aviation and Air Force have, just looking at the submarine strength of both sides, Japan is too far apart.

The Republic's Navy can mobilize at least six attack nuclear submarines, more than a dozen conventional submarines, and only more than a dozen conventional submarines. The troop size of both sides is not at the same level, and the combat capability is not at the same level. The wielding capacity of the Japanese Sea is too far apart. Including the elusiveness, it killed the Indian Navy's "Destroyer" nuclear submarine and the "Swordfish" fully electric submarine of the two aircraft carriers a year ago. The underwater combat power of the Japanese Sea has no chance of winning.

In terms of combat experience, both sides cannot be compared

The Republic's Navy and Air Force have just participated in the Fourth India-Pakistan War. A large number of officers and soldiers, especially aviation pilots, have experienced the test of war and gained practical experience. The officers and soldiers of the Japanese Self-Defense Force have not been on the battlefield for decades. Even though the training intensity is among the best in the world and they participate in several large-scale military exercises every year, the training and exercises not only cannot allow officers and soldiers to receive the baptism of war, but also cannot replace the tempering effect produced by actual combat.

Regardless of whether there will be a war between China and Japan, what will the final outcome, and what impact will it have, Kyodo News' editorials only have limited reference value, and the Republic's attitude has a key role.

445, Huang Guowei entered the press conference

, Today is just a press conference, and the Foreign Minister will not accept any questions."

As the Foreign Ministry spokesperson announced the venue discipline, Huang Guowei stepped onto the front desk, and the press conference was held ten minutes earlier than the scheduled time.

"Hello everyone, I am Huang Guowei, Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Republic." A brief opening remark, serious tone and steady expression, Huang Guowei did not disappoint the reporters present. "A few hours ago, a private person in our country was barbaric bombarded by the Japanese side on the Diaoyu Islands. On behalf of the State Council of the Republic, I strongly condemn the Japanese side's barbaric, bloody and violent behavior, and demanded that the Japanese side severely punish relevant personnel and give an explanation to our government and our people."

The atmosphere at the venue became tense, and reporters pointed the camera at Huang Guowei, looking forward to the Foreign Minister's next sentence

"Since ancient times, the Diaoyu Islands have been a sacred and inviolable territory of our country. As early as the Yongle period of the Ming Dynasty, the island belonged to China. It is clearly recorded in historical documents that after World War II, the Diaoyu Islands were returned to China with the Taiwan archipelago. According to the United Nations Continental Shelf Convention, the Diaoyu Islands should be part of the Taiwan Island. Japan has long occupied the Diaoyu Islands, expelled Chinese fishermen, barbaricly dealt with Chinese citizens, created international incidents, and triggered national disputes.

The principle of peaceful settlement of disputes has been made several reasonable requests, but has been ruthlessly rejected by the Japanese side. We require Japan to abide by the Potsdam Proclamation, abide by relevant international conventions, and make wise choices. We are willing to conduct practical, in-depth and open negotiations with Japan on territorial and sea disputes, resolve bilateral disputes through peaceful means, resolve conflicts and conflicts through peaceful means, and hope that Japan can respect the feelings of the Chinese people, consider the friendly and cooperative relations between China and Japan, jointly resolve conflicts, and develop friendship."

As soon as Huang Guowei finished speaking, the venue exploded

After a moment of silence, hundreds of foreign journalists stood up to ask questions

"Mr. Foreign Minister, can you explain your country's attitude in detail?"

"Mr. Foreign Minister, does this indicate that your country is willing to make a major concession?"

"Mr. Foreign Minister, does this statement indicate that your country is ready to resolve the dispute through peaceful negotiations?"

"Mr. Foreign Minister, has your country given up on military means?"

...

"Everyone, this is a press conference, not a press conference. Please abide by the order of the venue."

When the spokesperson blocked the reporter, Huang Guowei left the venue through the side door and entered the Ministry of Foreign Affairs building.

The Republic's diplomatic statement can only be described as "unexpected" within ten minutes. Dozens of well-known TV stations around the world reported related news in less than fifteen minutes. After a detailed comment appeared on the Internet for half an hour, the "Tes" took the lead in publishing the latest report on the front page headlines. In the next few hours, all newspapers in the Western Hemisphere issued in the morning made related reports.

War or peace?

At 530 pm, less than half an hour after the Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a statement, a spokesperson for the Ministry of Defense of the Republic made a message.

In order to deal with possible emergencies, the Republic's Navy's East China Sea Fleet and related combat forces entered a state of combat readiness.

War or peace!?

No one can answer this question, even the most qualified military and diplomatic commentators cannot interpret the two statements issued by the Republic's Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Defense.

For a time, there were many different opinions, and the situation in the East China Sea became more confusing

US President Roddick reads relevant news reports while having breakfast and listens to the briefing of Cia~ Director Naid

For this US president who holds the "counter-terrorism banner", the situation in the East China Sea is far less simple than the rumors outside.

Through the military reconnaissance satellite network, CIA and the US Joint Staff control the Republican team's every move, the East China Sea Fleet is coming out in full swing, the South China Sea Fleet is gathering, and the North China Sea Fleet is also ready to leave the port. More than 20 submarines quietly leave the port, and as many as 300 combat aircraft deployed in the eastern and southeastern coastal areas of the mainland.

Is this a simple preventive measure? I believe it

At 8 p.m. Tokyo time, Japanese Prime Minister Ozawa received a hotline from Rodick

For a few hours, the Japanese Prime Minister Ru, who did not do much since taking office, watched the relevant news reports and listened to the situation of the head of the official department. Ozawa was even more stunning.

The sharp decline in Sino-Japanese relations over the past few years forced Ozawa to believe that the head of republic was an absolute hawkish leader. The South Asian War a year ago forced Ozawa to re-measure the Republic's military strength, and put a big question on Japan's national defense power.

Two statements with completely opposite meanings make Ozawa unable to sleep or eat

After receiving a call from Roddick, the Japanese Prime Minister sighed relieved. The "US-Japan alliance" is Japan's basic policy. As long as the United States is willing to help, there is nothing to worry about.

At this time, a long-range maritime patrol aircraft was flying towards the Diaoyu Islands at a speed of 650 meters per hour

damn it*
Chapter completed!
Prev Index    Favorite Next