Volume 7 Peninsula Smoke Chapter 23 No Secrets
Compared with tactics, strategy often has little secrets.,
Except for countries like Japan, South Korea, and North Korea that are controlled by extremist forces or dictators and have no "reason", the strategy of any country is aimed at safeguarding national interests. Even if the ruling groups of most countries serve interest groups, as long as the interest groups can represent the majority of citizens or make most citizens benefit from it, serving interest groups is serving national interests, and the two are not opposite.
American policymakers must consider national interests.
The secret war preparations carried out by South Korea failed to hide from CIA's spies and reconnaissance satellites in space. The further Liu Zongchun went on the road to launch the war, the less room for the United States had to choose.
On November 7, Frederick held a family barbecue dinner at the White House to entertain the Westwood couple.
For a very normal move, the outgoing president will find appropriate opportunities to invite the elected president to the White House as a guest. Eating barbecue is just a job of saving face. The two new and old presidents will exchange opinions during this period to lay the foundation for the transfer of power. If there is a major issue that requires immediate decision-making, the incumbent president will also invite the elected president to attend the decision-making meeting. Frederick did not choose the latter, mainly because South Korea's war preparations have not been exposed.
After eating the barbecue, the lady was left to chat in the garden, and Frederick and Westwood went to the Oval Study.
The main aides of the two were already waiting in the study.
"This is an informal meeting, let's hurry up." Frederick didn't want to get into trouble, "Leslie, you can introduce the situation first."
The Secretary of State pushed down his glasses and said, "The problem is much more serious than we imagined. According to the information obtained, Japan and South Korea reached a secret agreement on the Dokdo issue, and Japan handed over the jurisdiction of the West Island to South Korea to share Dokdo resources with South Korea. Murakami's actions show that Japan is actively inciting South Korea to launch a war of unity."
"What is the destination?" Westwood has no right to access state secrets.
“Control the Korean Peninsula.”
Westwood frowned slightly and said, "Don't Japan consider China's possible actions?"
"It is precisely considering that China may take local actions. Sasaki Murakami has to make such a decision." Leslie paused for a moment, allowing the president-elect to keep up. "Although Japan has not released any news, Cia has confirmed that the Japanese National Intelligence Director suddenly disappeared late last month and has been missing so far."
Westwood was stunned for a moment and then understood.
"Then, Sadashi Murakami held an emergency cabinet meeting and discussed it separately with Defense Minister Hiroshi Tokiya Katsushiro. A few days later, Ke Zhumo signed a secret agreement with the South Korean Foreign Minister in Jeju. The news agency made relevant reports. All signs indicate that the Minister of the National Intelligence Department has mastered Japan's highest state secrets and has fallen into China's hands. Cia has long confirmed that Japan has encountered unsolvable problems in the short term in the development of submarine-launched ballistic missiles. It will not be able to have real strategic deterrence until 2033. The speed of China's national strategic defense system construction has far exceeded our expectations. Now it has a certain level of defense capabilities. Under this circumstance, Sadashi Murakami is worried that China will launch a war against Japan. Therefore, he strives to promote the Peninsula War. He wants to use this to restrain China and gain enough development time."
Westwood nodded, indicating that he understood what Leslie meant.
"There is another point that we have to consider." Seeing that Frederick didn't mean to speak, Leslie continued, "Ryu Zongchun's political attitude is very clear. Unifying the Korean Peninsula is his highest goal. Whether it is Murakami Sasaki or Liu Zongchun will take advantage of the opportunity of not significantly adjusting foreign policy during the transfer of power in our country, and take a substantial step on the peninsula issue, thereby dragging us into the water."
Westwood pondered for a while and said, "That is, the war will break out at the latest in the beginning of next year?"
"It's very likely early next month."
"But..." Westwood said in a panic, "Will South Korea start a war in winter?"
“If we all think South Korea won’t start a war in winter, then the war will break out in winter.”
Westwood mentioned that the local seasonal problem is one of the main problems that South Korean troops must solve when heading north. The temperature in the Korean Peninsula can reach minus 30 degrees Celsius in winter, which is a severe test for soldiers and weapons and equipment. Affected by the cold wave in the north, light rain in the Korean Peninsula will have a negative impact on combat operations.
"The seasonal issue is not that important," Berkeley said, breaking his silence, "It is not the 1950s. Although North Korea's transportation basic conditions are not very good, it can provide sufficient support for the offensive. As long as the South Korean army gains air supremacy, it will only be a matter of time before it defeats North Korea."
"It depends on whether China will intervene." Leslie smiled bitterly, "It's a pity that China will definitely send troops."
Westwood nodded, agreeing with Leslie's statement.
"China joins the war, and South Korea is defeated only a matter of time." Leslie pushed down his glasses and said, "We must consider two issues. One is South Korea
What kind of impact will it have? Second, will Japan join the war?"
"South Korea's defeat will cause us to lose the last position in Northeast Asia." Frederick, who was silent for a while, finally spoke, "It's nothing to lose South Korea. After all, with the rise of Japan, our strategic defense line in Northeast Asia has collapsed. The key is that if Japan sends troops to the Korean Peninsula, China will definitely take the opportunity to launch a war against Japan and completely defeat Japan."
Frederick didn't say the consequences because Westwood knew very well.
After China took action to deal with the surrounding issues, the United States' policy of encircling and suppressing China had two major adjustments. One was to directly support India during the Fourth India-Pakistan War, and the other was to cause trouble for China by using a spokesperson during the "Central and South China Storm". The results were similar and none were ideal. In this case, the United States had to secretly support Japan, hoping that Japan could play a role in restraining China.
Before a more ideal choice appears, Japan is the best force to restrain China.
If Japan is completely defeated by China, no force can prevent China from entering the vast Pacific Ocean and becoming the most influential country in the world.
To this point, even if the United States does not want to, it can only directly confront China.
"Supporting Japan is our only choice." Leslie made the words clear, "The only way is to avoid defeating South Korea and prevent Japan from sending troops to the Korean Peninsula."
“What is the purpose?”
Leslie hesitated for a moment and said, "Even if we do our best, the possibility of defeating China is slim. The best result is to return to its current state and continue the confrontation on the Korean Peninsula."
Westwood pondered for a while and said, "That is to say, when South Korea launches war, we must actively participate. The only focus is not to help South Korea attack, but to consolidate the strategic defense line?"
Leslie nodded. "If we do not actively participate, as long as the Chinese team plays the level of the old war and the Vietnam War, South Korea will be defeated in one month. The actual situation may be even worse, because the Chinese team has made great progress in the past few years. Therefore, we must complete the war preparations as soon as possible and cannot wait until the war breaks out before preparing. By then, everything will be too late."
Westwood smiled faintly and did not rush to express his opinion.
Frederick and Leslie had a clear meaning, and participated in the Peninsula War before taking office, leaving the mess to Westwood.
“Is there any other solution?”
Frederick frowned slightly and turned his eyes to Director Cia Sandero.
"The best way is to get rid of Liu Zongchun." Sandro sighed and said, "We made an unsuccessful attempt, which made Liu Zongchun more vigilant. He arranged at least ten substitutes, never spent two nights in any location in a row, and made careful arrangements for each trip. We have been looking for opportunities, and the possibility of success is almost zero."
Westwood smiled bitterly. Frederick messed up everything, but asked the next president to take the blame.
"If there is another choice, we are not willing to get involved in the war." Leslie subsided the slightly nervous atmosphere and said, "Although our efforts are likely to be in vain, no matter what we do, we cannot stop Japan from sending troops to the Korean Peninsula, but we must try our best. If the war can be ended as quickly as possible and stop China from sending troops to North Korea through military intimidation, we can get the best results."
"It's just that the possibility is slim."
"It depends on how we do it." Frederick said again, "To this day, we have not found that China is preparing for the war. We took the initiative to send troops to help South Korea defeat North Korea within a few days, push the front line to the Yalu River and Tumen River, and end the war before China completes its military preparations. China can only accept the fait accompli!"
Westwood pondered for a while and said, "I need to consider this issue in detail."
Frederick hesitated and glanced at Leslie.
"Your Excellency, time is very precious." Leslie sighed secretly, saying, "The sooner we make a decision, the better our situation is."
Westwood nodded and said, "I will make a decision as soon as possible and will not delay too much time."
Leslie wanted to say something, but in the end she held back.
"It's getting late, I believe that the future First Lady wants to go home early." Frederick stood up, "It's my greatest honor to be able to appreciate your face."
"It is also my greatest honor to be entertained by you."
Westwood did not delay much, went out to call his wife, said goodbye to Frederick and his wife, and left the White House.
Leslie and others also said goodbye one after another.
At the other end of the earth, facing the rising sun, Wang Yuanqing's special plane landed at Xiamen International Airport.
damn it**
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Chapter completed!