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Volume Eight, Hundred Years of Resentment, Chapter 34, Chaos

Yuanqing's trip to New Delhi has attracted much attention... Everyone knows that Pakistan is based on an alliance with the Republic and will not "make a good decision" on South Asia issues involving the fundamental interests of the Republic. Whether the head of republic can reach a "consensus" with the Indian Prime Minister in New Delhi will determine the development direction of the situation in South Asia.

Compared with other countries, Japan is more concerned about the relationship between the Republic and India.

On the afternoon of October, at 30, New Delhi time, a spokesperson for the Indian Prime Minister's Office held a press conference to announce the relevant news of the official meeting between the head of republic and the Indian Prime Minister.

About an hour later, Jiao Shan, the chief assistant to the head of state who visited New Delhi with Wang Yuanqing, was interviewed by reporters at the Republic's Embassy in New Delhi, answering several important questions including the "South Tibet Question" and the "Kashmir Conflict", and said that the Republic will try its best to resolve the conflict between India and Pakistan.

At 22:00 Tokyo time, Sadashi Murakami held a plenary meeting of the cabinet and military department at the Prime Minister's Office.

As usual, Murasashi did not rush to speak, allowing cabinet officials and military generals to "speak freely". Ryohei Tani, who attended the meeting, also remained silent. Without the Prime Minister's need to listen to the report, there was no need to argue with the general on some details.

The participants knew very well what was going on.

Although neither the spokesperson of the Indian General Office nor the Chief Assistant of the Republic did not explain the meeting between Wang Yuanqing and Lurajapani, according to the news released by both sides, the two sides had serious differences on the most fundamental issues, both of which were the main consultation issues of the meeting. Wang Yuanqing was more concerned about the "South Tibet issue" and hoped that India could make substantial concessions in the negotiations to resolve border disputes and express sufficient sincerity; Lurajapani focused on the "Kashmir conflict" and hoped that China could exert influence on Pakistan and alleviate the India-Pakistan conflict.

I haven't figured out anything, can I still find the result?

Double's attitude reflects the current situation in South Asia very intuitively.

According to the analysis of Foreign Minister Shikawa, Wang Yuan wanted to use the "Kashmir conflict" to force India to make concessions on the "South Tibet issue". Rurajapani planned to use the "South Tibet issue" to make China make positive contributions in the "Kashmir conflict". Both sides wanted to use the land cards in their hands to maximize national interests; but they did not want to lose any ace to the other party get benefits. Under this circumstance, Wang Yuanqing's meeting with Rurajapani would not have any results.

No one objected to Kitashikawa's analysis. This is indeed the case.

The key question is whether the attitude of Rurajapani has a key impact on Wang Yuanqingdi's trip to Islamabad.

In other words, India refuses to make concessions on the "South Tibet issue". Will Wang Yuanqing completely lose confidence in Rurajapani. In Islamabad, he incites Pakistan to expand the scale of conflict and evolve into war, thereby regaining southern Tibet through military operations?

For Japan, this issue is very critical.

The focus of the debate is not whether war will break out, but when will the war break out.

Everyone, including Gu Shu Ryohei, believes that as long as Wang Yuanqing believes that it is impossible to regain southern Tibet through negotiations, China will launch a war before India's military strength will be further strengthened, or Pakistan will launch a war and send troops to regain southern Tibet India's regression again.

However, no one dared to make a conclusion before Murakami Sadashi made his statement.

Taniki Ryohei knew what Murakami Sato was worried about.

Although there is enough intelligence to prove that China is preparing for the dispatch of troops to South Asia, such as airborne the 15th Army to Chengdu, airborne the 16th Army to Kunming, airborne the 17th Army to Hotan, and 27th Army to **, and for example, tactical fighter jets deployed in southwestern China have increased by nearly 50%, the Chinese Air Force's reconnaissance activities in the Yarlung Zangbo River Valley and the Pamir Plateau are becoming more and more frequent, the Chinese Navy has concentrated three aircraft carrier combat groups in the South China Sea, and long-range patrol aircraft flew to the Tamilan Islands (located between the Malay Peninsula and Kalimantan Island, and carried out patrol missions in the waters south of the east side of the Strait of Malacca to carry out patrol missions.

The fleets and aviation forces stationed in Pakistan frequently enter Indian territorial waters to perform reconnaissance missions, etc. However, these signs do not fully explain the problem. The mobilization of the air force and the navy does not take much time to operate in the South China Sea to enter the East China Sea and the Western Pacific within a few days, and the air forces deployed in the southwest and northwest regions can also reach the eastern region within a few days. Among the ground forces, in addition to the 27th Army taking about half a month to complete the transfer, the other three airborne troops can transfer thousands of kilometers within an hour to reach the eastern region for combat missions.

In other words, China's military deployment is not "reference".

According to Tani Kiriki Ryohei's speculation, Sadashi Murakami was worried that China's military deployment was just a show of not to deal with India, but to paralyze Japan's belief that China is about to start a war on India, so that China will take excessive action in Taiwan and provide reasons for China to declare war on Japan.

In fact, Sadashi Murakami is really worried about this issue.

Although Wang Yuanqing was invited to visit five South Asian countries, the visit date was confirmed before the outbreak of the "Kashmir conflict"

It was Murakami Sasaki who was not confused by the superficial phenomena and was more concerned about internal factors.

For China, achieving national reunification is not only the primary task, but there is no reason to intensify the conflict between India and Pakistan when the situation on the island is turbulent. If you consider it from another perspective, you can understand that if Satoshi Murakami is in Wang Yuanqing's position, you must first stabilize the situation on the island, prevent foreign forces from intervening, and then take action in other directions. To this end, you must first put pressure on India and Pakistan to resolve the conflict. With China's influence over India and Pakistan, resolving the conflict between India and Pakistan is not difficult. As long as Wang Yuanqing expresses his opinion, give India a step forward and let Pakistan restrain itself, the "Bernihar Mountain Pass artillery Battle" will be stopped immediately.

Not only did Wang Yuanqing not actively resolve the conflict in India and Pakistan, he took the opportunity to make a fuss about the "South Tibet issue", which was very abnormal.

However, Sadashi Murakami could not fully affirm Wang Yuanqing's strategy.

Compared with the former head of state Zhao Rundong, Wang Yuanqing was more proactive in foreign policy, because he had only been in power for a few months, the basic strategy he pursued was still unclear. Murakami Seimasa would not forget one thing, that is, Wang Yuanqing was deeply educated by Ji Youguo. In terms of personal abilities, Ji Youguo must be one of the most outstanding heads of the Republic. Even if Wang Yuanqing only inherited half of Ji Youguo's personal abilities, he could make any opponent timid.

The question is here, what exactly does Yuan Qing want to do?

Taking advantage of the South Asian crisis to achieve peace, or taking advantage of the turbulent situation on the island to recover southern Tibet?

If you guess Wang Yuanqing's ideas according to the common point of view, you will definitely be very wrong.

The military strength of the country and India is very different. If Wang Yuanqing only wants to regain southern Tibet, even if he needs help Pakistan occupy the entire Kashmir, three airborne troops and one armored army will be enough to defeat India within one month and complete all combat operations.

1. No matter how turbulent the situation on the island is, it will not cause great storms.

From this point of view, Wang Yuanqing is likely to put the "Tibet South Tibet Question" in front, stabilize South Asia and then free up his hands to solve the Taiwan issue.

Seeing the situation clearly will not find a solution.

From the perspective of Sadashi Murakami, Japan has no choice or even no room for reversal.

India's general election is imminent, and Rurajapani is unlikely to make substantial concessions on the "South Tibet issue", or even make any major promises. If the Congress Party loses the general election and the BJP comes to power, India will not pose a threat to China in the next 20 years, and it is even more unlikely to form an alliance with Japan to deal with China together. From the perspective of long-term interests, Wang Yuanqing is indeed likely to take this step. The easiest way is to defeat India on the battlefield and completely fail Lurajapani's "economic priority policy".

If India is defeated, Japan will become the biggest victim.

Without threats from South Asia, China can concentrate its efforts against Japan and solve the Taiwan issue.

To resolve the Taiwan issue, we must first eliminate the external influence of the island authorities from mainland control. The United States can even abandon South Korea and it is impossible to start a war with China. In this way, Japan will become the only obstacle for China to resolve the Taiwan issue. Wang Yuanqing will definitely give priority to Japan. By attacking Japan, the island authorities will lose the initiative and complete peaceful reunification is only a matter of time.

This is definitely the result that Sadashi Murakami is least willing to see.

The only way to resolve this is to help India overcome difficulties, prevent China from launching a war against India, and at the same time make India pose a threat to China. To achieve this goal, it is necessary to cause trouble for China in other directions and force China to transfer its main forces to other locations. To achieve this goal, the only way is to create greater unrest in Taiwan, and even let Taiwan take key steps in the direction of **. In this way, Japan must do something.

If you do something, you have to take the risk of going to war with China.

Sadashi Murakami faces an insolvent death situation, because after coming to power in 29 years, Sadashi Murakami tried all of his strategies to avoid a war with China. No matter how the general of the military headquarters promised to defeat China in the war, Sadashi Murakami would not take a rash step. Before he had the ability to destroy China, going to war with China would only lead to self-destruction!

The discussion continued until midnight and still no conclusions were drawn.

At the end of the meeting, Taniki Ryohei paid special attention to the Prime Minister, but Sadashi Murakami did not let him stay.

As always, when cabinet officials and military generals advocated action, Sasashi Murakami still responded in silence. Only one thing is certain, Sasashi Murakami could not remain silent all the time.

After leaving the Prime Minister's Office, Ryohei Tani first returned to the headquarters of the National Security Administration.

According to Taniki Ryohei's understanding, Sadashi Murakami has made a decision, or has to make a decision without a choice, but it is not in a hurry to announce it.

Before going home to rest, Tani Shu Ryohei went to the bar for a drink.

No matter what, the information must be sent out as soon as possible!
Chapter completed!
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