Volume Eight, Hundred Years of Resentment, Chapter 136, Long-Term Planning
After Du Qiwei never participated in political talks to discuss military issues, Shanzhen Gangwood did not try to keep him.
To understand the situation, Westwood and Bruderlin Jinggen have a conflict.
The Iraq War and the Afghan War dragged down the United States. Will the Japanese War drag China?
If the war lasted for several years, no one could say it.
The key issue is that there are essential differences between the Japanese War and the Iraq War and the Afghan War.
First of all, China has been preparing for a long-term battle with Japan. According to the information provided by the Fourth Society, the thugs were met. In 2018, after Japan's secret development of nuclear weapons was exposed, China was preparing for the war. In addition to the inevitable Peninsula War, China has been accumulating war funds for several years. Not to mention anything else, after the Second Year, the speed of the Chinese and Danish troops purchasing new weapons and equipment was reduced by two-thirds, and they did not blindly expand the army, but instead enhanced their joint combat capabilities.
.Modern and improve the original weapons and equipment, so that the military's half-strength reached a new height. In order to save expenses, Wang Yuanqing even persuaded Zhao Rundong to temporarily stop the construction of the new aircraft carrier before serving in the military! The most conservative estimate is that China has prepared war funds close to Xinyiyuan for its war, which is enough to ensure a large-scale combat operation of half a year. The most optimistic estimate is that the war funds prepared by China account for more than 100 million yuan, which is enough to maintain a low-intensity combat operation of two years.
Secondly, China has no intention to capture Japan's mainland. Compared with high-intensity bombing, large-scale ground war is the real "Gold-swallowing beast China has long completed the professionalization reform of the army. The more casualties, the greater the war. If China sends troops to Japan, even if the Japanese army's combat effectiveness is not considered, the casualties will exceed 10,000 yuan. The disability allowance and death pension that must be paid alone will reach hundreds of billions of yuan. If 00,000 ground troops are invested, the large-scale ground war will last for half a year. The war allowance for soldiers alone is close to the thugs, trillion yuan.
.Including equipment loss, material consumption, ammunition consumption, etc., the expenditure of a large-scale ground war that lasted for half a year will not be less than the old trillion yuan. China did not send troops to Japan, so the money would lead the workers. After obtaining absolute air supremacy, the losses of each Chinese army and equipment were almost negligible; the number of pilots participating in the war was very limited, and the war allowances would not be much more expensive; the main thing was the consumption of ammunition and materials. Even if a large-scale strategic bombing lasted for half a year, China's real-time struggle expenses would not exceed one trillion yuan.
Finally, China is not worried about Japan's post-war situation. Without worries, China does not have to bear the heavy burden of post-war reconstruction, or even does not have to care about the losses caused by the war. No matter what it is, Japan will bear the losses, not China. For China, what needs to be done is to ensure sufficient supplies and keep the war. As long as the purpose of the war is achieved, China can withdraw at any time and leave the mess to Japan to lead the Western world.
In addition to the above three points, there are many other aspects of district liability. For example, the international situation during the Japanese war is very different from the inter-county situation during the Iraqi war, and for example, China's economic tolerance at this time is far greater than that of the United States during the Iraqi War, etc.
The Iraq War and the Afghan War dragged down the United States, and the Japanese War may not necessarily drag across China.
Seeing this clearly, Westwood and Brudering became even more contradictory.
The more fierce the war is, the greater the losses the United States will suffer!
Even if the final result is beneficial to the United States, that is, the Japanese regime is not overthrown and Japan is put into the arms of the United States after the war, the United States will not be able to gain too much benefit from the war. Not to mention, if the United States intends to lose its own interests and restrain China, it will have to spend huge amounts of funds to help Japan recover. No matter how expensive the strategic bombing is, it is not as good as the cost of construction after the war. According to the experience of previous wars, every time the thugs are spent during the war, the post-war reconstruction will be ineffective in the old Yuan. What's more serious is that the post-war reconstruction is cement and food,
The demand for basic materials such as energy is the largest, but the demand for high-end industrial products is not large. The United States is a veritable "high-end industrial country". Its domestic basic industries are not well developed and even need to be purchased from other countries. For example, two-thirds of the ordinary steel required by the United States needs to be imported, and cement needs to be imported. If the U.S. county helps Japan to carry out post-war reconstruction, it has to use money to purchase raw materials for lice. At least guarantee it for Japan. In this way, no matter how much investment is, it can only help other countries and will not be of much help to the US economy.
Of course, the United States is not without opportunities to make money, but it is impossible to make a profit immediately after the war, and it requires massive investment.
Does the United States have this economic strength?
After being surpassed by China, the proportion of the US economy in the world's total economic volume has dropped below. After Westwood took office, the first thing he did was to "repay" the huge debts during the Great Depression. Major American companies and consortiums were also trying to make up for the losses during the Great Depression. According to the most optimistic estimate, it will be the fastest time to the year of strength. The US economic regulations can only return to the level before the outbreak of the Great Depression. It will only take until the year of Shu that the US economy will be on the track of normal development.
In other words, even if Westwood wants to help Japan, he doesn't have the strength.
Yan Ran Westwood and Brudering neither deny that the longer the war drags on, the more China loses, but the same goes for the other hand. The longer the war drags on, the less likely the United States will benefit from it.
Before this, Westwood and Brudering also counted on Chinese Ran to fight in Japan.
According to the two of them, after the Japanese guardian cabinet tore up the armistice agreement during the war, China was likely to be angry and gathered troops to capture Japan knowingly it was not feasible. The two seriously underestimated Wang Yuanqing, or misunderstood Wang Yuanqing. While knowing that it was impossible, Wang Yuanqing made the wisest choice.
After the bombing of the Japanese emperor, China will definitely not send troops to its homeland. Not to mention the radioactive dust raging everywhere, even facing tens of millions of angry Japanese people, the Chinese army will suffer unbearable heavy casualties.
As long as China does not send troops to Japan, the United States' wishful thinking will fail.
After a while of silence, Neustwood sighed and said, "I have to admit that Yu Yuanqing is a very calm leader. Blasting the Japanese Emperor to death not only can force the Japanese guardian government to make the stupidest decisions during the war, but also can seal the mouths of Chinese soldiers and dispel the idea of sending troops to Japan. According to Duqiwei, within three months, China will be able to completely destroy Japan without using nuclear weapons and return Japan to the Stone Age. The war continues. Not only will it not be of any benefit to Japan, but it will not be of good to us either."
"The problem is that Japan has already said it to death, and the possibility of restarting the armistice negotiations is almost zero." Brudering shook his head with a wry smile and said, "We cannot understand the Japanese soldiers' ideas at all. If we force them too fast, we can only make Japan anxious and make no one lose the stage. Of course, the quarrels can abandon Japan after the war. But after abandoning Japan, we have to directly meet China's challenge."
"We must be prepared for both hands." Westwood picked up another cigar and smoked two cigars in a row, indicating that the president was very upset. "Japan, we must put appropriate pressure on Japan to understand whether the war will continue will rise. At the same time, we must promote the Sino-Japanese armistice negotiations from other aspects. It is best to join forces with the EU to put pressure on China to force China to retain military operations. I think the EU will not reject our proposal, after all, if the war continues, tens of millions of Japanese will suffer. For humanitarian reasons, the allied governments must also give an explanation to the people of the country and will not stand idly by. They will not secretly support China.
Brudering nodded and said, "Strengthen public opinion propaganda and let more people understand the truth of the war."
Westwood nodded and agreed. It is not difficult to understand the Secretary of State's suggestion. As long as the publicity is spread out, Europeans who have been paying attention to the Japanese war will take action and put pressure on the government.
"What is the second-hand preparation?" Brudering asked.
"Zhongxian's attitude is very clear, and it will never give up if it does not defeat Japan. Even if we put pressure on China, even if we fully support the reconstruction of the capital after the war, at least in the next thirty years, that is, within one or two generations, Japan will not pose a threat to China. What China needs is thirty years, maybe only twenty years will be needed, and China will become the world overlord." Dousterwood paused for a moment and said, "The mother's foundation has fallen, and we must support another country to restrain China. There is no doubt that we cannot confront China head-on, at least not in our desolation.
Any conflict with China had broken out before. Apart from Japan, the ideal country is India. This war must have a lot of impact on India. Even if India temporarily defends the McMahon line, it cannot be kept for a long time. Who knows that when China recovers, the next one will suffer will be India. In any case, India cannot be like Japan. We must improve relations with India, and even help Humiliarly arm our army. Even if India cannot defeat China, we must let India play its due role and let China spend more time and national strength to solve the surrounding problems."
Brudering nodded and said, "It is true, India must be armed as soon as possible."
"This matter must be done quickly. You are responsible for contacting India and let India join the negotiations on the comprehensive destruction of nuclear weapons." Westwood thought for a while and said, "I will communicate with the main members of the two parties of the Congress as soon as possible, open up the Congress first, and issue relevant laws to pave the way for us to export cutting-edge military technology to India."
"There are also economic problems that must be freed from India's dependence on China."
Westwood nodded and said, "These problems need to be solved, and we still have a lot of things to do. When I am ready, I will speak to the Prime Minister of India. I believe that as long as India has ambition to play the Indian Ocean, it will cooperate with us to encircle China together."
Bruderlyn said nothing more.
Even if the president does not raise the issue of India himself, he will make relevant suggestions.
After Japan is finished, India becomes a choice!
Chapter completed!