Jackson has always been skeptical about the matters involved in the rumors, or is skeptical.

The Liangxia Empire and the Newland Republic secretly held a ceasefire negotiation?

If it is true, the negotiations are definitely not the Republic of Newland, because the politicians in Hwaseong will never negotiate with their opponents in the unfavorable situation. Even if they have to sit down and negotiate, they will win the battle, take the initiative, and have bargaining chips.

Those who sit next to the negotiating table with empty hands can only be the negotiator of the defeated country!

In the current situation, negotiating with the Liangxia Empire, even if the Republic of Newland has not yet been defeated, it will have to pay a heavier and completely unacceptable price than losing the Hovayi Islands.

If this is the case, even if the negotiation is completed, who dares to sign the armistice agreement?

Although he is not a politician and has never been to Hwaseong, Jackson is very clear that as long as the president signs a humiliating armistice agreement, he will definitely be overthrown and may even be assassinated. Moreover, the new president who replaces him will immediately tear down the armistice agreement.

The key is that the Republic of Newland is not in a position to have to make self-sacrifice.

Losing the offensive and defensive battle of the Hovayi Islands is just losing hope of recapturing the Hovayi Islands, which does not mean losing to the Liangxia Empire. With the strength of the Republic of Newland and its unparalleled geographical advantage, as long as you seize the opportunity, you still have hope of turning defeat into victory, and at least you can remain unbeaten.

As for whether the Hovayi Islands can be recaptured, they have been occupied by the Liangxia Empire for decades, so it is not a big deal to occupy them for another decades.

In any case, it is not easy for Liang Xia's army to cross two oceans and launch an attack on Newland's local area.

From this perspective, the Liangxia Empire must have initiated the negotiations.

But the problem is that starting a negotiation does not mean that it will definitely be completed.

The Liangxia Empire took the initiative to launch a ceasefire negotiation, which was actually because it won the offensive and defensive battle of the Hovayi Islands, grasped the initiative in the war, and had the bargaining chips for negotiation. However, if we want to reach the result, we must make appropriate concessions, which can make the Newland authorities excited.

In Jackson's view, this concession was to return the Hovay Islands.

To be fundamentally speaking, the core contradiction between the Republic of Newland and the Liangxia Empire is actually the Hovayi Islands. As for the Aras region, even if both sides claim sovereignty, because of their relatively small strategic value, the Liangxia Empire has actual control, which is not the main contradiction.

That is why, in the decades after the Second Global War, the most important claim of the Republic of Newland was to recover the Hovay Islands.

Several presidents after the war all regarded this as their highest ruling goal.

To this end, the Newland authorities have made various attempts, including restoring normal diplomatic relations with the Liangxia Empire and supporting emerging countries like the Fanluo Kingdom.

Obviously, participating in the Third Global War was also to recapture the Hovay Islands.

According to Jackson's judgment, as long as the combat plan formulated by Stark can be implemented smoothly, after recapturing the Hovay Islands, the Newland Navy will move from offense to defense. While vigorously strengthening the defense deployment of the Hovay Islands, it will also restrain the Liangxia Empire by sending troops to the Western Continent.

In the end, the Liangxia Empire was still forcibly forced to recognize that the Hovay Islands belong to the Republic of Newland and signed a ceasefire agreement on this condition.

It can be seen that the key is the Hovay Islands.

Since the Liangxia authorities took the initiative to launch a ceasefire negotiation, they must know that only by giving up the Hovayi Islands can there be a possibility of signing a ceasefire agreement.

So, will the Liangxia Empire give up the Hovayi Islands?

There is no doubt that this is a difficult question to answer.

Although there are enough reasons to believe that the Liangxia Empire, which won the offensive and defensive battle of the Hovay Islands and seized the initiative in the Eastern Ocean War, and had absolute military advantages, would definitely not use the Hovay Islands as bargaining chip, but Jackson also knew that as long as the Liangxia authorities wanted to end the war as soon as possible, reduce the losses caused by the war, and return to the original development track, they would have to compromise with the Republic of Newland.

To this end, necessary concessions are needed in negotiations.

No longer constrained by the Republic of Newland, the Oriental Group, commanded by the Liangxia Empire, was able to defeat the Western Land Group within one year and dominate the entire world island.

If the armistice agreement cannot be reached with the Republic of Newland, the Liangxia Empire will take three or even five years to defeat the Western Land Group, and may not be able to win the entire war. In the end, it will definitely consume a lot of resources to clean up the mess after the war.

The key is actually the third military change mentioned earlier based on the new military theory.

To put it bluntly, as long as the Liangxia Empire insists on implementing the new military doctrine, it must do its best to control the scale of this global war.

But the question is, don’t the guys in Huacheng know the powerful relationship?

If the Newland military would still be skeptical when Ding Zhennan just proposed the new military doctrine more than ten years ago, then to be precise, no one has doubted the value of the new military doctrine after the Posarwan War started, and almost all Newland officers have become fans of Ding Zhennan.

The same goes for Jackson.

In Jackson's view, the greatest value of the new military doctrine proposed by Ding Zhennan is actually to solve a key issue that restricts war.

cost.

Of course, it can also be said to be profit.

Looking back, especially after the First Global War, whether it is a global war or a local war, the investment in almost every war far exceeds the profit. Therefore, even if you win the war, it is still not worth the loss, and the war has thus become a loss-making business.

Many times, war is regarded as a tool for politicians to realize their personal ambitions.

Some people may think that this is a good thing for maintaining peace.

Obviously, this understanding is very superficial.

War is never an end, it is just a means to achieve the end.

The key is that whether it is war or peace that opposes it, they are actually relative.

There is neither absolute war nor absolute peace in this world. War and peace are just relative forms of relations between the international community and state.

To put it bluntly, there is no permanent peace at all.

The number one factor that affects and determines the international situation is actually a powerful relationship between countries, or it can also be said to be a relationship between interests and contradictions.

If it is mainly based on common interests, the international situation will generally tend to be peaceful.

On the contrary, if contradictions occupy a major position, war and conflict will occupy a major position.

There is no doubt that no matter what method is used, the contradictions between countries cannot be completely eliminated. Not to mention super hegemony, there are conflicts of interests even within the national group. For example, in the Oriental Group, the Naoyi Empire and the Gaoji Kingdom are constantly dirty because of the ownership of several small islands.

Within the national group, contradictions can still be controlled.

Obviously, it is difficult to eliminate conflicts through consultation and communication in the international community, especially among several super hegemons.

This is also the inevitable key to local wars.

No matter how you look at it, it must be admitted that local wars have played an irreplaceable role in alleviating international conflicts and rebalancing the relationship between super hegemony.

After the Second Global War, the situation of peace could last for more than 40 years, which was closely related to the frequent local wars that broke out during this period.

If these local wars were not available, the Third Global War would have started 20 years ahead of schedule.

But the problem is that with the increase in the cost of war, especially the several superhegemonies exhausted the war dividends obtained during the Second Global War, the way to fight local wars by paying agents is no longer possible, or no superpower is willing to trade losses.

The most representative one is the Boei War.

Of course, the Boei War can also be regarded as a major turning point in post-war international relations.

In this local war that lasted for more than ten years, the Liangxia Empire, which was in full swing, burned all its capital and lost very thoroughly, and almost almost lost the throne of overlord. The Tauman Empire and the Newland Republic also took this opportunity to regain some of their voice and gained capital to bargain with the Liangxia Empire. It was during this period that the Newland Republic had escaped its status as a defeated country and its hegemony was recognized by the international community.

The key point is that after the Bo Yi War, the Liangxia Empire never took the initiative to be involved in large-scale local wars!

Even during the Second Southern Subcontinental War, the Liangxia Empire was mainly threatening, and ultimately achieved its goal through threats.

Of course, the Taman Empire and the Newland Republic also learned similar lessons.

For example, during the first wave of national independence movement before the Bosnia-Iran War, in order to maintain its hegemony in the area surrounding the land and heart sea, the Tiaoman Empire did not hesitate to suppress the national independence movement in the Beixuan area. Not only did it suffer a crushing defeat, but it also squandered all the benefits of the war that were not too much.

The Republic of Newland suffered a crushing defeat in its intervention in Cuba. Its national reputation has plummeted in the Caribbean and the southern continent. Even now, Cuba, who is across the sea from the Republic of Newland, has firmly pursued the anti-Newland strategy, becoming an unforgettable disease of scabies in the Republic of Newland.

Obviously, after being frustrated, super hegemony became jealous without exception.

As a result, the contradiction between super hegemony will inevitably be unable to be resolved, and will only become more and more serious, and there will be a constant outbreak in the end.

Even if everyone knows that the global war is more costly, on the issue of life and death, the leader of any country will not put the benefits of war first. The main consideration, or even the only consideration, is how to ensure its own survival.

In a global war, winning is the greatest benefit, or only by winning can you have hope of making a profit.

It is precisely this that global wars become inevitable.

It can be seen that if the profits of war can be solved and the launch of local wars becomes profitable, the risk of a global war can be eliminated.

In fact, this is also the key to the new military theory being highly respected after its birth.

The key is whether it is profitable to launch a local war.

The Posa Bay War gave a nearly perfect answer.

Although the total cost of this war exceeds 100 billion NZD, and the direct war expenses alone amount to 80 billion NZD, this cost is not much compared to the profits. For example, the potential mining value of oil fields in the occupied areas is as high as trillion NZD. For example, the total amount of market rebuilt after the war is as high as hundreds of billion NZD, and the profits generated are at least tens of billion NZD.

The key is that the expenses of the Posa Bay War were not entirely borne by the Liangxia Empire.

Strictly speaking, most of the costs of war are borne by the allies.

It means that the Liangxia Empire used the money of the allies to fight a local war that only made money but did not lose money!

From this perspective, the Liangxia Empire not only did not lose money, but also made a big profit.

According to the analysis of the Newland military, if the Third Global War did not break out, including the post-war promotion of arms and the assistance of Kuwait to carry out post-war reconstruction, the Liangxia Empire could make hundreds of billions of dollars in profits from this local war and become the biggest winner.

In fact, other countries participating in the war, especially those that bear the cost of the war, did not lose money and also gained a lot of benefits.

Unfortunately, the new military doctrine was born too late.

If it had been decades earlier, even if it was born ten years earlier, the new military doctrine could change the global landscape and even hope to turn the global war into history.

In a sense, the new form of war manifested by the Posawan War has forced the Great Empire, which is falling in the rivers.

The Liangxia Empire had the capital and ability to launch local wars and benefited from local wars.

Can the Tiaoman Empire copy the same?

The answer is obviously no.

With the strength demonstrated by the Liangxia Empire in the Posa Bay War, especially the ability to apply high-tech equipment, the future of the Tauman Empire was extremely bleak, or there was no future at all. In addition, in terms of military strategy, in the subsequent Third Global War, the Western Army Corps still pursued the blitzkrieg and deep-deep strategy decades ago, and its basic military theory has not evolved for decades.
To be continued...