If Japan decided to attack the Soviet Union at the beginning of World War II, it would definitely bring a lot of trouble to the Soviet Union, but the Soviet Union would never be defeated by Japan, and the Soviet Union would eventually win.
During World War II, Japan assembled heavy troops in the Northeast region, and the military was hesitant about whether to expand northward or southward.
Initially, Japan planned to march north and occupy the Soviet oil-producing areas to obtain oil resources.
Therefore, Japan tentatively fought two small-scale wars with the Soviet Union, but both ended in failure.
When Japan saw that the situation was not good, it immediately turned around and decided to go south to attack the colonies of the United States and Britain in Southeast Asia, planning to go to South Asia to seize strategic materials such as oil and rubber there.
Suppose Japan concentrated all its forces to attack the Soviet Union during World War II, instead of going south to attack China and then march into South Asia.
Then Japan will definitely invade the territory of the Soviet Union and occupy the Far East of the Soviet Union. Because at that time the Soviet Union had already devoted a large number of troops to fighting Germany and had no more energy to fight against Japan.
However, due to the large area of the Soviet Union, Japan would have to divide its troops to guard part of the Soviet Union's territory after occupying it. This would be a very tiring task for the Japanese army.
The Japanese army also has to worry about fighting the Chinese army, so it is impossible to send a large number of troops into the European areas of the Soviet Union, and it cannot pose a fatal threat to the Soviet Union.
In other words, if Japan decided to go to war with the Soviet Union, it would only be able to occupy part of the Soviet Union's territory, which would be asking for trouble.
After blocking the German attack, the Soviet army will definitely redouble its counterattack against Japan. Not only will it defeat the Japanese army, but it is also a high probability that it will invade the Japanese mainland.
Therefore, Japan hesitated again and again and finally stopped attacking the Soviet Union.
Of course, the factors that led Japan to give up attacking the Soviet Union were quite complicated, and there was also pressure from the international community.
War is always a game between world powers. The United States has long released the message that Japan will not be allowed to occupy the Soviet Far East and Siberia because this will threaten the United States' Alaska.
The United States will not allow Japan to expand its influence in East Asia and Southeast Asia, which will cause serious damage to U.S. interests in Asia.
What is even more troublesome is that assuming that the Soviet Union is destroyed by Japan and Germany, the next war target for Germany and Japan will definitely be the United States. This is also the view that Mrs. Chiang put forward in her speech to the U.S. Congress in order to win U.S. aid.
Under the influence of the crisis, the United States will inevitably join the Second World War and will definitely attack Japan and prevent Japan from developing and growing in Asia and the Pacific.
Before the outbreak of World War II, Japan had become an industrialized country, but compared with European and American countries, its level of industrialization was not high.
Japan has an advantage over agricultural countries like China, but it is still far behind the Soviet Union.
From the perspective of national strength, the Soviet Union had a crushing advantage over Japan, with a power ratio of 3:1. From a military perspective, it also had the same crushing ability.
The advantage of the United States over Japan is even more mysterious. The power ratio is 10:1, which is the highest praise for Japan.
Japan devoted too many resources to developing its navy, while the Soviet Union concentrated its efforts on developing its army. This is also a characteristic of the two countries' militaries.
The development of the Soviet navy was far less than that of Japan, because the threats faced by the Soviet Union basically came from the Eurasian land, and there was not much intrusion at sea.
Japan is an island country. If it wants to develop its military power, its first choice is its navy. What's more, if they want to annex the entire Asia, they will face a combined attack from the British and American navies.
Therefore, Japan spends most of its military expenditures on developing its navy and building giant warships is a last resort.
This is naturally the Navy's idea. As for the Japanese Army, it has always been dreaming of a dream, which is to use Northeast China as its base, push forward the Far East of the Soviet Union, and include all the areas east of the Ural Mountains of the Soviet Union into its territory.
"Are you ignoring the consequences of this Japanese mutiny?" Lu Ming still wondered why the Soviet agents were indifferent to this incident.
"Of course we have studied it, and the conclusion is that the Japanese army is not our opponent at all, whether it is tactics or military equipment, even if their trump card First Division attacks, to us, it is just a group of cannon fodder." Bearded Peter said easily.
Lu Ming was speechless. Countries with different strengths made it really difficult to sit at the same table and have an equal conversation.
The Japanese army may be at a disadvantage against the Soviet army, but compared to the Chinese army, it is in a crushing situation.
What Lu Ming was most worried about was that the Japanese army would carry out risky military operations in North China and take advantage of the central government's weak control over the provinces in North China to seize North China in one go.
If that happens, all the areas south of the Yangtze River in China will be lost, and the country will really be devastated.
Although intelligence has been collected and analyzed from all aspects, neither the Japanese government nor the military has any intention of launching military operations in North China.
But Lu Ming was always worried that Japan's young officers who could not resist the temptation of military glory would cause trouble for China.
"Peter, I would like to ask you two to conduct reconnaissance through your channels to see if there are any signs or possibilities of the Japanese army launching military operations in North China." Lu Ming stated his purpose.
"Isn't Japan's military policy towards North China very clear?" Andre said.
"That's right, they just want to establish several puppet regimes in your North China region as a buffer zone between the Japanese government and the Nanjing government to ensure the security of Northeast China and Inner Mongolia. The strategy that the Japanese government and the Japanese military have formulated,
You won’t change easily, right?” Peter also said lightly.
"Japan's policy, whether it is foreign policy or military policy, is unstable. I am particularly worried that after this mutiny, it will encourage the adventurous spirit of the Japanese army. This is one of them." Lu Ming said seriously.
"Lu, please finish what you said. What's the second thing? We will tell you all our opinions after eating your big meal today." Bearded Peter said seriously.
"Secondly, I think Japan is a country that is not trustworthy. Even if it signs a contract with it and says that it will be torn up, it will be torn up immediately. It is nothing more than an excuse. The government is unable to coordinate the military, the military headquarters cannot command the garrison troops, etc.
." Lu Ming said worriedly.
"We understand your concerns very well. Japan is indeed like this. They push themselves to the limit and gradually consume you. This is their national characteristic." Andre nodded.
"This is a common trick of the Japanese side. Their middle- and lower-level officers will take active provocative actions, trigger conflicts, continuously expand the scale of conflicts, and then launch wars. After their risky actions are successful, they will sit down and engage in so-called peace with you.
Negotiation, then what else is there to talk about?" Lu Ming said.
Hearing Lu Ming say this, Peter was also shocked.
"Well, this possibility cannot be ruled out. We will report it to the Domestic General Administration and ask them to use our resources to conduct a careful investigation." Andre said.
"Thank you both very much." Lu Ming smiled and picked up the wine glass.
Lu Ming also knew that the Soviet Union had many special agent groups operating in Japan. Of course, Lu Ming could not know the specific situation.
Lu Ming arranged for agents to operate in Japan, and the information obtained was generally not reported to the Soviet Union.
Unless the Soviet side made a clear request and with the permission of the Nanjing Military Commission, Lu Ming would share information with them.
"Lu, I heard that one of your agents had an accident in Tokyo?" Andre asked.
"Indeed, he was caught by the police of the Japanese Metropolitan Police when he was sending the report, and he had to die with the enemy." Lu Ming sighed.
This matter is no longer a secret, and several newspapers in Japan have published the news.
"You don't have to be too sad. According to our experience, the death rate of agents is much higher than that of soldiers on the battlefield. It is still in peacetime, and the survival rate of agents is still higher. Once it enters war, the average survival time of agents
It won’t be more than a year,” Peter said calmly.
"Isn't there an old saying in China that kindness cannot lead an army? Whether you are a general or an agent leader, you must have a heart made of steel and be able to withstand blows. Comrade Stalin once said that if a person dies in a traffic accident
People, that's a disaster, but a million soldiers dying on the battlefield is just a statistic." Andre smiled awkwardly.
Lu Ming smiled bitterly. He also knew that what these two people said was right, but he really couldn't develop such a hard-hearted heart. Maybe the training time was not long enough.
Lu Ming did not go to the special agent school these days. He was very confused and felt that he could not face the new students for a while.
These people will be sent to Japan or Northeast China in the future, lurking in the most dangerous places, and may face the threat of death at any time.
This is a painful career and a psychologically shattering job, but Lu Ming has no choice. He must grit his teeth and keep going.
Although we have tried our best to consider these latent agents, they should not be in a hurry to work behind enemy lines, and various safe evacuation plans have been designed for them.
But the nature of this job is to keep your head in your belt. No matter how you take precautions, you cannot escape the shadow of danger.
Each of these young students is full of energy, but they are all newbies, and the enemies they have to face are experts with many years of counterintelligence experience.
What's more, various new counterintelligence technologies are emerging one after another.
No matter what protective measures are taken, they are destined to be the type of people dancing on the edge of a knife and walking on the edge of a cliff.