Chapter 1101 The hidden worries behind advantageous data
Within the Red Side Joint Staff Department.
Li Zheng has been reading various briefings these past two days, including those from the blue side, the red side, the green side, and the yellow side.
He needs to clearly see the balance of military power between the parties, and then formulate a targeted attack plan.
As a senior joint operations commander, Li Zheng was faced with a massive amount of data. Although the staff had already reached a conclusion after careful calculations, as the deputy commander-in-chief, he also had to see whether it was reasonable from the data.
Educational qualifications.
His high degree of education also brings him this kind of security.
From the current point of view, the situation of several parties is as follows -
The forces that the red side can currently mobilize include: a total of 400 second-generation aircraft such as the JH-7A, used for ground strikes.
In addition to leaving part of the defense to the west and south, 100 J-20 stealth fighters and 500 newer J-11B, J-16, Su-35 and other fourth-generation aircraft can be used to form the absolute main force for air superiority and ground combat.
There are also 200 older third-generation aircraft such as J-11A and Su-30MKK to assist in air control and ground combat.
300 J-10B/C and other fourth-generation aircraft are responsible for air interceptions.
In addition to reserving some J20s and some J-16s and J-10s that need to be vigilant in the southwest, a fist force is reserved in the north and south directions, and HNA's fighter jets are fully engaged in combat.
In addition, all Y-20s, IL-76 transport aircraft regiments and H-6 aircraft regiments, and half of the Air Police-500s may be transferred to the southeast to help complete the campaign objectives.
In terms of theater - base - aviation brigade - group, there are two bases in City H and City F, with a total establishment size of 10 fighter brigades, including (10, 11, 16, 20, 30MKK). After the dispatched units are replenished, they can be immediately
The total number of fighter jets performing missions is around 600, with the peak number reaching 1,200 on the first day. It is conservatively estimated to maintain a daily offensive capability of 500 sorties the next day, which is enough to undertake the tasks of blocking surrounding airspace and conducting ground attacks.
If preparation time is sufficient, the number of fighter aircraft that can be dispatched may increase to 800 to 1,000, and the dispatch rate is expected to exceed 2,000 sorties.
So, how many blue, green, and yellow fighters can these fighters repel?
For convenience, the exchange ratio between machines of the same generation is set to 1:1, and the combat effectiveness of every other generation is doubled.
Li Zheng took into account that the development of modern air-to-air missiles would make it possible for lagging fighters to use rear early warning aircraft to lock on more advanced fighters, the so-called "A-launch and B-guide". This is possible.
If you simply apply the force mass calculation method to convert, you can get the following conclusion - 216X1 100X8 500X4 200X2 200X1 300X4=4186,4.1K. This is the combat power that the red side can invest in this attack on the green side, and
The average unit mass of the red square is 4186/1516=2.761.
This is a common calculation in pawn pushing.
The strength of the green side is as follows: 120 F-16A/B/V, 127 IDF, 100 F-5E, and 57 Mirage-2000 capable aircraft.
In addition, the Green side has 55 E transport aircraft, 43 reconnaissance and early warning aircraft, 10 RF-16 aircraft, 6 RF-5R reconnaissance aircraft, 6 E-2T early warning aircraft, 2 electronic reconnaissance aircraft EBG-1900, and electronic aircraft.
EC-1301…
Among them, 120 F-16A/B/Vs, 127 IDF fighters, 100 F-5Es and 57 Mirage 2000s can participate in the combat and play a role.
The total mass of troops is calculated as 120X2 127X2 100X1 57X4=822, and the average unit combat effectiveness of the green side is: 822/404=2.03.
Judging from the set of data in the briefing, the advantage of the red side is overwhelming.
But adding the blue side makes it different.
However, it is impossible for the blue side to mobilize all its naval and air forces to fight a war of extreme attrition with the red side, because the blue side’s main bases here are Miyajima and Huang’s, and their available carrying capacity is the same as the attack capacity.
There is an upper limit to ability.
The blue side's aircraft carrier formation will be responsible for the security mission of other Blue Star waters, so it is estimated that the blue side may only deploy 3 aircraft carrier battle groups in the early stages of the war. If the war is prolonged, the number of battle groups will not exceed 6.
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According to intelligence, the blue team can deploy a wing at the Kashou base (the wing unit is 72 aircraft), one wing for Misawa, 2 wings for Ansen, and two more aircraft carriers can be equivalent to a wing.
This way a total of 5 alliances are available.
If the war escalates, we can squeeze in more deployments in Kashou, Sanze, and Ansen. At the same time, we can also deploy fighter jets in Huangtian, Putian, and Shiguo. The total number can be increased to 6 air force wings.
If necessary, two more aircraft carriers can be deployed at sea, which is equivalent to adding another wing. This will bring the total available air force to 8 wings and 576 fighter jets.
But such high-density deployments are very crowded.
Li Zheng saw a related statement from another blue think tank analysis. If Anson were to fill 5 F-22 squadrons (approximately 1.7 wings), it would need the support of 68 tanker aircraft.
Each tanker occupies at least twice as much space as a fighter jet, leaving Anson with no room to deploy bombers, but Anson is an ideal base for deploying B-2s.
Under such a crowded deployment, a large number of open-air parking is inevitable, which is more likely to attract missile strikes from the red side. Especially for Anson, if a large number of tankers parked in the open are destroyed, the F-22's own range will not be enough to reach the destination.
Green team controlled area combat.
However, as mentioned above, the blue think tank considers the digital sandbox exercises of air combat over the Taiwan Strait and red missile attacks separately. Therefore, in the analysis here, the dispatch rate is only affected by the base facilities and not by the red missiles.
This chapter is not over yet, please click on the next page to continue reading! Of course, the bases and civilian airports of the Black and Yellow Air Force are not taken into account. Considering that the Blue Air Force only has a total of 187 F-22 fighter jets, even if it is included in today's large number of
The number of fifth-generation aircraft wings equipped with F-35s will not exceed four.
If the remaining fighters are all fourth-generation aircraft, then the combat power that the blue side can deploy in the exercise area is 8X4X72 4X4X72=2392, 2.3K. The average unit mass of the blue side is 2392/576=4.152, which is stronger than the red side in terms of unit quality.
, but the red side’s numerical advantage is stable.
In the home field near the red team's sea area, when the red and blue sides go all out to launch an air battle, the exchange ratio between the two sides can reach about 1:5. Even taking into account the blue side's command advantage and avionics advantage, the exchange ratio between the red and blue sides
The ratio can also exceed 1:3.
In other words, the red side is fully capable of seizing and maintaining air and sea supremacy over the Taiwan Strait for 3 to 6 weeks without the intervention of the blue side.
A large number of "serviceable" weapons and equipment can overwhelm a small number of "elite" weapons and equipment. This is the dilemma of the blue team. The blue team is different from the red team in that the deployable bases and aircraft carriers are limited, while the red team's
Any airport can become a stage for its combat forces to exert their numerical advantage. In the sea and air battles between the D sea and the N sea, the red side has a large number of attrition warfare advantages. Although the green side has many air bases, once the units are deployed to the green side,
side, which means that a large number of elite units are deployed under the nose of the red side's long-range ballistic missiles.
This data seems very reassuring to the red side.
However, Li Zheng vaguely felt that things were not that simple.
I know these data, and the red party also knows them.
In today's modern war, it is basically difficult to hide the strength and deployment of each other's troops, and they are basically transparent.
It's like everyone is showing off.
So, how will Wen Zhaohui fight?
How to schedule?
How do you use the resources at hand to suppress yourself?
Li Zheng constantly puts himself into Wen Zhaohui's role. What would he do if he were him?
Maybe……
He came up with a very extreme approach.
Although it is extreme, it must be guarded against.
"Counsel He, come here."
"Chief, please give instructions."
"Gather everyone together, hold a meeting, and notify comrades in the aerospace industry to connect. I need to check some issues with them."