Discussion on Stalling into Mu and Small Farmer's Economy Obstructing the Development of Jihan Emerging Industries
In the previous chapter, some readers shared their opinions on the small-scale peasant economy, which will hinder the development of emerging industries. Here I would like to share my personal views.
It’s a personal opinion, not an argument.
Because this topic is quite in-depth and needs to be discussed.
There is no room for more than 100 words in this chapter, so it must be discussed in a separate chapter.
The statement that small-scale farming economy will hinder the development of emerging industries is indeed true to a certain extent.
But it has preconditions.
One is food and the other is population.
Let’s talk about food first.
Agriculture is the primary industry and the basis of all emerging industries because they require large amounts of commercial grain.
The small-scale peasant economy occupies farmland and cannot centrally supply commercial grain.
Right?
But has anyone ever thought about how many hundred acres of land each farmer in the three countries would get if they wanted to divide all the cultivated land in the country?
What's more, the ancients were not as stupid as everyone thinks. It was impossible for them to give away all the land in their hands at the beginning of the founding of the People's Republic of China and then abandon it later.
this is not right.
Give me a chestnut.
In the Tang Dynasty, land was divided into two types for individuals, one was called Yongye field and the other was called Koufen field.
Yongye field literally means a field that can be cultivated forever.
It is different when allocating land. It is only given to you for farming, but the country will take it back after your death.
At the same time, in the early Tang Dynasty, a large amount of land was still in the hands of the government.
Why do this?
This is all to prepare for the subsequent increase in population.
The land equalization system and the rent-yong modulation system are based on this foundation.
It was not until the Tang Dynasty court distributed all the land in the hands of the state that the equalization of land system and the system of renting and renting were declared bankrupt.
Taking a closer look at things, readers with more experience should know that our country’s agricultural tax has only been abolished a few years ago (equivalent to the ancient land tax).
Since farmers no longer contribute to the public grain supply, why has the supply of commercial staple grains in our country been so stable?
The reason is that the country has consolidated grain-producing areas and at the same time released part of its reserve farmland to transform it into a commercial grain supply base.
By the same token, after Ji Han unified the world, unless emerging industries failed to develop within fifty years, the newly added population would carve up all the reserve cultivated land in the hands of the country.
Otherwise, the new rich will inevitably demand an increase in the supply of commercial grain, raw materials and other materials when emerging industries need to expand.
(This is without discussing the improvement of agricultural farming technology)
The food problem in emerging industries is ultimately as follows:
Emerging industry interest groups have the ability to mobilize sufficient commercial grain to support the development of emerging industries.
This answer is self-evident.
As mentioned many times before, every time local tyrants promote the expansion of emerging industries, it is based on sufficient food supply.
It makes no sense that the bumpkin knew these things before, but then he doesn’t know how to do it after setting up a business. It doesn’t make sense.
When Ji Han unifies the world, the new rich will definitely be Ji Han's top interest group. Do you believe that they are unable to mobilize food?
When the Prime Minister went to the south, he forgot everything that happened?
That was only the first joint action of the Xinghan Society, and it was in no way comparable to the wealthy social groups and chaebols that followed.
The second question is population.
As food production increases, the population will increase, but dividing the land into small acres reduces the burden on farmers, causing farmers to voluntarily stay on the land and are unwilling to participate in emerging industries.
This also has preconditions.
That is: the continuous increase of self-cultivating farmers is based on the state's redistribution of land and maintaining the number of self-cultivating farmers.
But what if after Ji Han unified the world, land was only distributed once, and the second generation of farmers did not receive land?
If the land at home is still the same and there is not enough land for cultivation, is it still called a self-cultivator?
Taking our own experience as an example, the contract system was fully promoted in 1982.
In the 1990s and the new millennium, not even twenty years have passed, but there has been a wave of rural migrant workers?
Why?
Looking closer, have you ever thought about the wave of urbanization that everyone has experienced in recent years?
This kind of "rural surplus labor force" is not just something we have, but has existed in all dynasties.
The solution in the past dynasties was to continuously allocate the reserved cultivated land, or simply carry out reforms and re-measure the land.
Whenever these methods can no longer be used, there will be a "bang"!
As for us, benefiting from the industrialization process, we can solve the problem better.
By the same token, after Ji Han unified the world, as long as land was no longer allocated to the increased population, it would only take twenty years to double the pressure on the farmers' families.
Where will the extra population go?
Besides emerging industries, do they have anywhere else to go?
Don’t say that farmers are unwilling to leave their land.
If you are a family of five, you need to work every day to barely maintain food and clothing.
As for working outside, one person can support two or even three people. Do you want to see if they are willing to leave?
Looking at Yuexun County, what if we add a little more preferential policies?
Let’s take the current situation as an example. Not to mention the poll tax, even the agricultural tax has been cancelled. There are even subsidies from the state, allowing you to plant some land at home. Are you willing?
The only problem here is that if Ji Han can really unify the world, then the twenty years of recuperation will be the period of maximum dividends for emerging industries.
So where do they get the nutrients to grow?
The answer is also very simple: if Ji Han could really swallow up Wei and Wu, it would take at least twenty or thirty years to fully digest the dividends of unifying the world.
If the old families in the Central Plains represented by Cao Wei and the powerful families in Jiangdong represented by Wu State are fat meat, then the foreign races in the frontier grasslands are lean meat.
You don’t eat fat and lean meat, but you have to go back and eat the dregs of Cangtou Guizhou. The taste of the new rich will not be so unique.
Not to mention the life and death battle between the old and the new.
The third issue is the potential conflict between the small-scale peasant economy represented by homesteaders and emerging industries.
This issue can also be seen from the development process of our country.
Our country's regional development is unbalanced, with the coastal areas being developed and the central and western regions lagging behind.
For so many years, we have been trying to transfer the surplus production capacity from the coast to the central and western regions. But what about the capital?
Transferred to Indochina.
By the same token, where are the places where there are enough farmers in Jihan to form a small-scale peasant economy?
That must be the inland plain area.
Where are the emerging industries?
Liangzhou, Longyou, Nanzhong.
They are all border areas.
Taking the most typical Liangzhou as an example, it has a vast territory and sparsely populated areas, with enough arable land to produce food, sufficient supply of raw materials, and sufficient geographical trading advantages.
In addition to food, what else is there in the mainland?
So why do emerging industries have to develop inland?
What if it thinks the outside world is wonderful?
How can Ji Han do something that even the most powerful organization in the world cannot do?
To take a step back, Ji Han’s upstart brain circuit is relatively fresh, so he wants to involute.
But if emerging industries have expanded to the point where they need to destroy the small-scale peasant economy in the mainland, to what extent will they develop?
The state reserves commercial grain produced on cultivated land, as well as grain that the state can control in various ways, and grain that can be mobilized by interest groups.
The three combined can no longer satisfy the appetite for the development of emerging industries.
That means that the development of productive forces represented by emerging industries has expanded to the point where the entire social production relations need to be changed.
This is at least the eve of the industrial revolution.
In that case, even if the country bumpkins were dug out of their graves, they would not be able to stop the historical trend of the bourgeoisie completely replacing feudal society.
Whether it be beheading, hanging on the gallows, or even hanging a street lamp, whatever should be done is done.
This is no longer an issue that needs to be considered by locals.
But for now, emerging industries are still in the stage of mutual promotion with the small business, so why can't they coexist?
The essence of capital is to pursue profits, and the two means to achieve this goal are to increase product prices and to reduce production costs.
We all know that emerging industries require a large amount of food rations, so if we cancel the poll tax and reduce agricultural taxes, doesn’t it mean lowering the cost of food supply?
So why can’t the upstarts support reducing production costs?
They must support it!
As for the remaining problems, for example, the products produced by the small-scale farmer economy do not flow into emerging industries, or they do not have much effect on emerging industries.
I don’t want to elaborate further.
Agricultural products are always the younger brother in front of industrial products.
Whether the flow will flow in or whether it will have any effect is not decided by the farmers, represented by the farmers, but by the upstarts, represented by the emerging industries.
The difference is that it is controlled by the state as a whole, and the process is controlled smoothly.
Or let emerging industries over-expand and then use drastic means to seize what they want.
As the same saying goes, productivity determines production relations. At which stage of development, we must concentrate our efforts to solve the main contradiction at that stage.
Ji Han’s current main conflict is how to unify the world.
Whether it is emerging industries or whether it is divided into acres of land, it is Ji Han's help to unify the world.
As far as the current stage is concerned, the contradiction between the two is not the main contradiction, and it is not irreconcilable.
The purpose of dividing the land into acres is mainly to solve the problem of hiding the population, and at the same time stimulate the enthusiasm of farmers to resume production as soon as possible and increase the population (refer to the population explosion after Yongzheng in the Qing Dynasty)
It is to better reserve human resources for emerging industries in the future, rather than to provide population for emerging industries immediately.
At present, some of the resources needed by emerging industries are provided by the upstarts themselves, and some are provided by foreigners.
A considerable part of it was taken from the states of Wei and Wu, as well as from the conservative aristocratic families within the state of Shu itself.
This is also the reason why locals sell workshop quotas and let female presidents organize industry associations:
Control the development speed of emerging industries within a certain range and avoid disorderly and barbaric development.
One generation solves the problems of one generation and try not to leave problems to future generations.
Don’t try to help future generations solve problems once and for all, because you can’t solve problems that haven’t come yet.
How to dismantle aristocratic family politics and change the direction of history is the most important problem that the locals want to solve.
As for whether emerging industries will trigger the industrial revolution, if so, will the emerging class decide to move inward or expand outward, and where will history go...
This is no longer something that a country boy can decide.