"Zhenjiang, are you talking about going to the south to engage in real estate?" Someone who thought he had guessed Sun Zhenjiang's thoughts asked loudly.
"Yeah, I heard that it's really profitable to engage in real estate in the south now. Two of my buddies went there and asked the local government to grant them a few dollars and push them with a bulldozer. Even if the land is ripe for development, they can get tens of millions if it changes hands.
, faster than printing money." Others echoed.
Sun Zhenjiang smiled slightly and said: "The little money in real estate is worth worrying about, but after finishing this business, everyone will have extra money in hand. If you want to play in real estate, you can also play in real estate. Then
Although things come slowly and money comes in, the advantage is long-term. Anyone who has been doing this for ten or twenty years can have fun. It's not like what we are doing now, which is just a one-time deal. If you miss this village, you won't have this store."
"Real estate is just a small amount of money?" Everyone gasped, "Zhenjiang, please tell me, what kind of deal is it?"
After Sun Zhenjiang had enough trouble, he said leisurely: "I got an inside message. The superiors have decided to relax the unified purchase and sales of production materials. From January 1st next year, steel, cement, and flat glass no longer need to be planned.
Indicators are allocated and the plan price is no longer limited.”
"Well……"
Hearing Sun Zhenjiang say these words, everyone was discouraged. What does this matter have to do with them? Some of them made their fortune by reselling planned materials in the past few years, but these two
The news of the new year is too tight, and this kind of business is no longer easy to do. Now that the country is going to completely cancel the planned supply of production materials, it will not have much impact on them, let alone find any business opportunities from it.
Sun Zhenjiang had already anticipated everyone's reaction. He pointed at Pittston and said, "Please ask Mr. Pittston to explain this question to everyone."
"Let me explain this to you." Pittston spoke. His Chinese sounded a little strange, with a strong Virginia accent, but his grammar and wording were accurate enough. He must have passed CET-6.
level:
"China's price system for means of production is seriously distorted. Planned prices deviate far from the real market prices, and prices on the black market are significantly higher due to insufficient supply. Once the Chinese government cancels planned controls on means of production, then
Two situations will occur:
First, a large number of companies that were originally unable to obtain the means of production will be able to obtain sufficient supply in the market. After their demand is released, the original balance between supply and demand will be broken, and a serious shortage of supply will occur.
Second, due to the shortage of supply, the price of production materials will rise significantly from the existing planned price to a level that is sufficient to eliminate excess demand. According to our calculations, this level will be higher than the current planned price.
The price is more than twice as high and slightly lower than the current black market price in the Chinese market."
"Well, that's the truth." Everyone nodded in agreement, but there was no sudden feeling in their hearts. There may be some complicated economic principles behind what Pittston said, and there may be some mathematical models, but
For these businessmen who have done the material business, they can guess it based on instinct, and there is no need for Pittston to provide them with popular science.
"Our plan is to buy a large amount of materials before the price of materials reaches a stable point, and then sell them when the price rises to a sufficient level. With this in and out, we can easily earn a lot of money.
Money. This time, the materials released include steel, cement and glass. Let's not be too greedy. If we take down the steel market, it will be enough for us." Sun Zhenjiang added.
"Zhenjiang, aren't you talking about stocking up? You can play around with this, but it's not easy for one person to earn 1 billion, right?" A businessman named Ling Yiping questioned.
Ling Yiping himself has been involved in the hoarding business, but in the past it was in the field of consumer goods. In the past few years, the market prices of young industrial products have soared, so Ling Yiping used the method of buying low and selling high, which cost a lot of TV sets and video recorders.
I also made quite a bit of money from such products.
He knows that there are profits in hoarding, but there are also risks. If the market price rises slower than expected, the loss in interest, storage costs, etc. caused by hoarding will also be considerable. Especially when there are many
When people are doing hoarding business, they also need to consider the price drop that will occur when collective shipments occur. If you don't do it well, you may lose money.
Faced with the opportunity to liberalize the prices of production materials, if you stock up on some goods appropriately and sell them when the price is high, you should make some profits. But it is probably sensational to say that everyone here will earn no less than 1 billion.
Already?
Sun Zhenjiang laughed and said: "You all think so, right? Such a good opportunity can be said to be unprecedented. If we just get some soup to drink, we will regret it for the rest of our lives. Let me tell you, we are here
This time, we can't just stock up. We have to take the initiative to raise the price. When the price reaches the highest point, we will suddenly withdraw. Do you understand? Well, let me let Mr. Pittston speak.
"
Pittston was already prepared. He took out a stack of information, flipped through it, and introduced to everyone:
"According to statistics from our fund research department, China's current annual output of finished steel products is 65 million tons. Adding in approximately 5 million tons of imported steel, the total market supply is 70 million tons. Supply and demand are generally balanced.
If the Chinese government relaxes planning controls, the black market steel price will drop from the current RMB 5,000 per ton to about RMB 2,500. By then, the demand for steel in the entire market will rise to 90 million to 100 million tons. Since the supply and demand gap is as high as 20 million
tons, the market price of steel will continue to rise, estimated to be around 3,200 yuan, and it will be able to regain the balance between supply and demand.
The plan of our fund and Mr. Sun is to purchase 10 million tons of steel at a price of 2,500 yuan. Since the market supply has decreased by 10 million tons, the contradiction between supply and demand will become more serious, so that the price of steel can be raised to about 3,800 yuan in one fell swoop.
At this position, we will sell steel again and strive to clear the inventory before the price drops to 3,500 yuan.
Calculated in this way, the gross profit we obtain from the price difference between purchase and sale in the steel market is about 10 billion to 12 billion yuan. After deducting capital costs and warehousing costs, and subtracting some marketing costs, the final net profit should be between 8 billion and 10 billion yuan.
Yuan Jian."
"Si..." Everyone in the room took a breath. This trick was really too much. Some of the people here have also done speculating, but the maximum limit is only one or two.
Speculate within the province, and what is speculated is not this kind of strategic material. According to Pittston's plan, we are going to speculate on the price of the entire steel market at the national level, and then profit from it. This
If the ticket is completed, it may be a bit exaggerated for each person to earn 1 billion, but a profit of 30 to 500 million is still possible.
However, high profits also mean high risks. If the hype fails and the steel price does not rise to as high as 3,800 yuan as expected, then everyone will be trapped. The funds required to hoard steel are not small, at 2,500 yuan per ton
At a price of 10 million tons, hoarding 10 million tons of steel would require an investment of 25 billion yuan, and the interest alone would be more than a billion a year. This cost should not be underestimated.
"Zhenjiang, this plan is quite tempting, but if we don't raise the price or it takes too long, it will be a bit troublesome." Ling Yiping said.
Sun Zhenjiang said proudly: "Yiping, don't worry, experts from the Meson Fund have considered these issues. This time, the Meson Fund is also preparing to invest 10 billion yuan. Do you think Americans will make a loss-making business? People
They are much better than us when they play the trick of a white wolf with empty gloves. We just follow others to make a fortune, what is there to be afraid of?"
"Zhenjiang, Mr. Pittston said just now that there is a steel shortage of 20 million tons. What if the country asks those steel mills to increase production? Also, if the price is high, the bumpkins down there won't use so much steel. Isn't this gap just 20 million tons?
Have you filled it out?" Another businessman named Guo Kaining also asked the question.
Sun Zhenjiang did not answer and gave Pittston the opportunity to explain. Pittston coughed and said to everyone:
"We have analyzed the capacity reserves of China's steel plants and found that they can increase their output by up to 5 million tons, and they will not be able to produce it immediately. China's iron ore and coal supply will take some time to increase.
The time needed to convert it into steel production capacity is enough for us to operate. In terms of imports, the foreign exchange funds that the Chinese government can currently raise are limited, which determines that its import volume is unlikely to increase significantly.
As for demand, the demand of 80% in China's steel market is rigid demand. No matter how high the price is, they must purchase it. In addition, we have not considered the new demand brought by the development of the real estate industry in the south, because it is currently impossible to predict the real estate industry.
The speed of development. If the real estate industry in the south develops fast enough, then the gap between supply and demand we expect will further expand."
"So that's it." Everyone looked at Pittston with eyes that started to heat up. Otherwise, Americans are capable. They have already thought of everything we can think of, and they have done something.
Calculation. Those of us who stay in China every day can’t even calculate how many steel plants there are in China, but Americans can do it. This is an amazing skill.
How could you lose money by doing business with someone with such ability?
Thinking of this, everyone's mind became active, and they were desperately calculating the amount of funds they could raise. This is an opportunity with a profit of tens of billions. The more you invest, the greater the benefits. Just like Sun
Zhenjiang said, if you miss it this time, you will really regret it for the rest of your life. r1152