"The topic given by the chief is too big. I am not prepared and I am worried that I will not be able to speak well." Qin Hai replied in embarrassment.
With Qin Hai's level of knowledge, coupled with his experience in the materials industry over the years, he is actually qualified to express some opinions on the country's materials industry strategy. But who should be spoken to? If it is in the materials industry
When giving a report in the college, Qin Hai would not hesitate at all, and he was confident that he would convince the experts; but in front of the chief, he would not dare to speak casually. It would be more embarrassing if he made the wrong statement, and what if there was something wrong?
After careful consideration, he misled the chief's decision-making, and his sin was grave.
The leader saw what Qin Hai was thinking. He waved his hand gently and said, "It doesn't matter. If I ask you to speak, you can speak. It doesn't matter if you speak wrongly."
Qin Haidao: "The main reason is that I didn't know in advance that the chief wanted me to report on this issue, otherwise I would have made some preparations."
The chief smiled and said: "I deliberately didn't let anyone inform you in advance. If I asked you to prepare in advance, I'm afraid people from all walks of life will ask you to pass on the message, and I'm afraid it will be rare for me to hear the truth. Don't put any psychological burden on me.
, let’s just chat casually, I heard Mr. Ji said that when you chatted with him, didn’t you feel quite relaxed?”
"Then... then I will venture to make some shallow remarks." Qin Hai said. He originally wanted to say that chatting with Mr. Ji was different from talking in front of the chief, but after thinking about it carefully, he couldn't seem to find anything different. Ji
Although the old man is a retired leader, he can still influence decisions after all. If he dares to speak freely in front of the old man, why should he hide it in front of the chief?
Thinking of this, Qin Hai prepared briefly for a few minutes, then sat upright and said: "Since the chief wants to test me, I will tell you my opinion. If I am wrong, please criticize me."
"Well, you tell me." The chief nodded, spread out a pad of paper in front of him, and took out a pencil, ready to write down some ideas at any time. The chief's secretary gave Qin Hai a cup of tea, and then also
Sit next to him, spread out his notebook, and it is up to him to complete the detailed recording work.
"My report preparation is divided into three parts." Qin Hai calmed down and said in a calm tone: "First, the status of the materials industry; second, the characteristics of the development of the materials industry; third, my country's development of the materials industry policy orientation. Can you read these contents?”
"Very good." The chief replied with a smile, "You can say what you think, there is no right or wrong here."
"First of all, I would like to briefly introduce the status of the materials industry in the national economy..."
Qin Hai started to talk. At the beginning, he was a little nervous, but as he talked, he got into the state, completely forgetting the status of the audience in front of him. He was not originally a member of the system, and he was not familiar with the officialdom.
The hierarchical order here has always been very indifferent. Even in front of the chief, he did not feel that kind of fear. He only knew that the other party was a person who could have an impact on the development of the country's materials industry, and he hoped to use his own
concepts to influence the decision-maker.
"In the next 20 years, China will usher in a period of explosive demand for materials. We will build more than 100,000 kilometers of highways, tens of thousands of kilometers of high-speed railways, and more than billions of square meters of residential and commercial floor space. These
Construction requires hundreds of millions of tons of steel, cement, and an equally large amount of glass, architectural ceramics, aluminum alloys and polymer materials. The demand for these materials can only be met by expanding domestic production capacity. If it depends on foreign sources
If you provide it, you will be controlled by others, which is very passive." Qin Hai said.
"In the past two to three years, domestic steel and cement production capacity has increased rapidly. I have read the report provided by the Planning Commission. The national steel production capacity has reached 150 million tons. Do you think this is overcapacity?" the chief interjected.
.
Qin Hai shook his head firmly and said: "It's still far away. According to our group's calculations, if there are no special circumstances in the country's economic development, according to the current development rate, by 2005, domestic steel demand will reach
More than 400 million tons. The existing production capacity of 150 million tons still has a gap of more than 250 million tons to meet this demand."
"What? Do you also think that there will be a domestic demand for 400 million tons of steel in 2005?" the chief asked, looking at Qin Hai.
The steel industry is an important pillar industry of the national economy, and the chief minister is naturally very concerned about this industry. The Ministry of Machinery, the Planning Commission, the Academy of Social Sciences and other institutions have all done analysis and forecasts on steel supply and demand. Qin Hai said that the steel demand in 2005
The chief minister has also seen the statement that it will reach more than 400 million tons. However, most institutions dismiss the figure of 400 million tons, and their boldest predictions are limited to within 200 million tons. According to this figure
, the current development speed of the domestic steel industry appears to be too fast.
Hearing that Qin Hai actually supported the statement of 400 million tons, the chief felt a little surprised. Although he had only had one direct contact with Qin Hai before, he had heard a lot about Qin Hai, and he also knew that Qin Hai
He is not someone who talks nonsense. If Qin Hai believes that there will be a demand for 400 million tons of steel every year in the future, it means that many relevant national policies on the development of the steel industry need to be re-evaluated.
In the mid-1990s, China was on the eve of its economic take-off. State-owned enterprises were undergoing unprecedented major adjustments. Private capital had just gotten rid of the barriers of the old system and was boldly pouring into various fields. The reform of the housing system had just started. Unless the most powerful
People with imagination, otherwise no one could have foreseen the frenzy of real estate development that would occur in a few years. When people look back in 2015, they will be shocked by the earth-shaking changes that have occurred in the past 20 years.
At this time point in 1996, even a wise elder like the chief minister did not dare to have too high an estimate of China's economic development speed.
As the chief asked Qin Hai before, most people are worried about the development of the domestic steel industry in recent years. They are worried that steel production capacity will grow too high and there will be oversupply in the future. Serious overcapacity will
This has led to a sharp fall in steel prices, affecting the development of the entire national economy. Qin Hai's view is contrary to everyone's. He believes that the current development of China's steel industry is too slow and lacks sufficient foresight, which will drag down the entire economy.
leg.
"Our group has done detailed demonstrations and judged that by 2005, the domestic market demand for steel will reach more than 400 million tons. I can ask the group's research department to sort out the relevant research models and calculation processes and submit them to the director. Currently,
The country has misunderstandings about this issue and will be relatively passive in the future," Qin Hai said.
After experiencing the initial surprise, the chief's expression became calmer. He did not comment on Qin Hai's assertion, but calmly asked: "So, in your opinion, what should the country do in terms of steel production?"
Qin Hai had thought deeply about this issue. He said fluently: "First of all, according to future steel demand, the source of iron ore needs to be considered. China lacks high-grade iron ore. Once steel production increases significantly, iron ore will
Ore must rely on imports. In order to avoid being passive in imports, the country should take the initiative and acquire or invest in some large-scale iron ore mines in Australia, Brazil, Bolivia and other countries to ensure that the supply of iron ore can be in its own hands."
"Iron mine." The chief wrote one word on the note paper in front of him, then nodded and said, "What about the second one?"
Qin Hai continued: "The second is the development of steel equipment, the formulation of steel technical specifications and talent training. In the future, our steel must ensure both quantity and quality, and it must also be environmentally friendly and efficient, which requires us
Master advanced steel production technology and improve the competitiveness of the steel industry."
"The second is technology." The chief wrote another word. Whether Qin Hai's conclusion on the demand for steel is correct requires further demonstration, but these issues raised by Qin Hai in the development of the steel industry will have to be faced sooner or later.
, so the chief listened very carefully.
"The third point is to limit and eliminate backward production capacity and reduce pollution." Qin Hai said.
"Pollution?" The chief's pen fell on the paper, but he did not write down the word. In his view, the issues of raw material supply and steel smelting technology are strategic issues that deserve his attention. And pollution is like this
The problem is just a tactical matter. It is enough to be managed by the environmental protection departments in various places. Where can I get a leader of his level to personally intervene?
"Yes, it's pollution." Qin Hai said seriously, "Chief, don't underestimate the problem of pollution. At present, our country's industrial pollution is intensifying, but overall it is not serious. But as the industry
With the further expansion of scale, especially the large-scale expansion of heavy-polluting industries such as steel and cement, pollution problems will soon become a major issue related to the overall situation.
Of the 150 million tons of steel production capacity in our country, more than 50 million tons come from small and medium-sized enterprises with relatively backward technology. If the production capacity is to be expanded to 400 million tons in the future, it is very likely that more than 200 million tons will come from
Such enterprises and steel enterprises with backward equipment are major air polluters, and the pollution caused by 200 million tons of backward production capacity will be unbearable for China and the entire world."
"Industrial development will definitely bring pollution. Is it a bit difficult to require industrial development without polluting the environment?" the chief said, half inquiring and half in rebuttal.
Qin Haidao: "Chief, I specially invite you to Jintang this time. The purpose is not only to invite you to participate in the large-scale ethylene feeding ceremony, but also to ask you to inspect Jintang City's efforts in controlling pollution from the chemical industry.
Achievements, if possible, can give us affirmation. The practice of Jintang shows that economic development and the maintenance of green mountains and clear waters can completely balance both." (To be continued.)