Chapter 179 The difficulty of winning the auction! (Please subscribe!)
An hour and a half later, Zhang Fan returned to reality.
When I saw Xu Sulan again, she was no longer as panicked as before, her expression was natural, and she looked confident.
"Lord Barbarian King!"
"Have you thought of a way?!"
"Yes!"
Xu Sulan said confidently: "Lord Barbarian King, we have made preliminary calculations on the situation on the Tiger side and drawn a trend chart of their development speed..."
As he said that, he showed Zhang Fan a picture with XY coordinate axes. There were three gradually upward curves on the picture.
These three curves have similar overall trends, with only different details.
Outside the curve, there are many straight lines that intersect horizontally and vertically. They are divided according to the fluctuations of the three curves, and multiple quadrilaterals are separated in the middle of the entire image.
Then, Xu Sulan introduced: "This red line is the probability that the Tigers will develop their power to the maximum extent..."
"The blue line is the probability that minimizes the level of development, and the yellow line is the one with the greatest probability and is closest to the true level of development..."
"The origin O is the starting point, and the
"The Y-axis is the growth rate of tiger power users that changes with unit time. You can refer to this axis for details..."
Speaking of this, Xu Sulan took out another picture that looked more complicated and said: "This is what Xuezhou calculated. This picture of mine is based on the model he calculated..."
Zhang Fan nodded slightly and said: "Tell me directly about the situation of this picture!"
He could barely understand the diagram of the XY coordinate system, but the diagram made by another mathematical genius was like a ghost painting, too complicated, and he didn't even have the desire to listen to it.
Xu Sulan nodded, returned to the original picture, and continued: "There are five vertical lines and three horizontal lines..."
"The vertical line in the middle is the time when the Tigers announced the level of superpowers they belonged to at that time, that is, when
That is, level five = 1, level four = 10~19, level three = 100~199..."
"In order to facilitate your understanding, and to be able to draw it on one piece of paper, the Y-axis is made somewhat abstract and is not a measurement axis in the strict sense. Except for ky6, other components are calculated separately on another chart..."
"The first two vertical lines of X=15 are X=14 and X=13 respectively, and the last two lines are X=16 and
The number system before 15, and then used this trend chart to predict the number system after X=15..."
"The general meaning is that the yellow line on the 13th and 14th is the same parameter as the yellow line on the 16th and 17th..."
Zhang Fan was stunned and frowned slightly. The yellow lines in X-axis 13 and 14 had a gentle trend and spanned two Y-axis units, while the yellow lines in X-axis 16 and 17 had a steeper trend and spanned nearly
The 7 Y-axis units obviously do not look like the values that should appear under the same parameter.
"Under the same parameters, the trend development is not a simple exponential power form, but a more complex mathematical model. To be simpler, you can understand it as the growth trend of fractional exponential power..."
Zhang Fan understood what Xu Sulan said, but the content behind it was too complicated, so complicated that he didn't dare to delve into it, because he might not understand it if he delved deeper...
Zhang Fan coughed and said, "Then what are these horizontal lines for?!"
"The vertical line is based on time as the unit, the measurement unit is fixed, and represents the number level of the tiger force superpowers in the vector unit of displacement..."
"The horizontal lines are the opposite. The three horizontal lines are the starting points of the Y growth rate system generated at three levels..."
Zhang Fan nodded as if he understood something, and said: "Well... let's just tell the conclusion?!"
"good!"
Xu Sulan responded and said directly: "You don't need to look at the things before
"Let's build directly on the content of Xuezhou and look at what's behind..."
"That is, what is Y equal to the day before yesterday, yesterday and today..."
Zhang Fan nodded, glanced at the intersection, yesterday's Y=Ky13, today's Y=Ky20, pointed at Y=Ky20, and said: "What is this equal to now?!"
"Red line, Y=Ky20=12 level 5 powerhouses, 49 level 4 powerhouses, 100 + level 3 powerhouses. This is the most extreme possibility and the lowest probability of the number of power users in the tiger force..."
"Yellow line, Y = Ky20 = 6 level 5 experts, 31 level 4 experts, 100 + level 3 experts. This is the most likely number and level of superpowers among the tiger forces, with the highest probability...
"
"Blue line, Y = Ky20 = 3 level 5 experts, 17 level 4 experts, 100 + level 3 experts. This is the worst possibility among the tiger forces for the development of the number and level of superpowers, and the probability is also the lowest...
…”
After saying this, Zhang Fan immediately understood, "So, I will use the yellow line to deal with the situation of the Tigers and the others, and use the red line to defend. As for the blue line, if this happens, it will be a surprise.
,Do not care!"
"right!"
After understanding it, Zhang Fan looked back at the red line and exclaimed, "According to Xuezhou's calculations, the Tigers may have developed up to 12 level five experts?!"
"Yes, this is the result calculated based on the optimal situation. The probability of occurrence is not high. You can mainly deal with the yellow line..."
Zhang Fan nodded slightly and quickly reacted, saying: "What about the crystal core? How much preparation do I need to prepare for it and how much defense do I need to prepare for it?!"
"110,000 crystal cores as a response and 190,000 crystal cores as a defense can ensure that you can win the Tigers. Of course, if you want to bet on luck, you can win the Tigers with 60,000 crystal cores. However, this possibility is different from 19
It’s the same as Wanjing Core, so it’s unlikely…”
"110,000? 190,000?!"
Zhang Fan was speechless for a while, this was enough for a person to be directly promoted to level six.
"How much do I have now?!"
Zhang Fan explained the current crystal cores and equipment he already had, including the situation of several people on the Sky City who were downloading the dungeon, and the price of the equipment.
Normally, he would have to calculate this kind of thing by himself, but now, after discovering that Xuezhou really had two brushes, Zhang Fan naturally freed his hands and wanted to hear the conclusion directly.
After Xuezhou heard this, he didn't even look for paper or pen. He just rolled his eyes. His eyes seemed to have lost their pupils. The thumbs of his hands collided with the other fingers, like a fortune teller, counting with both hands.
"What is this Xuezhou's full name?!" Zhang Fan turned to look at Xu Sulan and asked.
"Wang Xuezhou."
Zhang Fan nodded, having remembered the name, and said: "In the future, when I meet with you, remember to bring him with you!"
"yes!"
Xu Sulan agreed with excitement. The person under her command was attracted by Zhang Fan, which was also good news for her.
After a while, Wang Xuezhou finished the calculation, his eyes regained clarity, and he said: "Since you and other superpowers have been downloading dungeons without sleep, and the equipment can be sold every time without lowering the price, before the auction starts,
In the 13th minute, you can raise up to 96,550 crystal cores in total..."
Zhang Fan frowned, "Ninety-six thousand, so to speak, I went all out, and together with others, I bought the copy until the moment before the auction started, but in the end I could only sell it for ninety-six thousand, even the Tigers and the others were
Can’t even reach the thread?!”
"Yes, this is still based on the situation that the price of the equipment does not decrease. According to speculation, the price of the equipment is likely to be reduced by 20% to 80% this time. The specific situation depends on the on-site conditions..."
"The red line is 190,000 crystal cores, and there is still a gap of 100,000..."
Zhang Fan rubbed his temples and felt more anxious than before. He paused and said, "Do you think that shop can recoup its capital? If I get 190,000 crystal cores by then, I won't be able to recoup the capital...
…”
"Yes, according to what Sky City has revealed about the equipment store, it is possible to recover the capital before expiration and make a profit..."
"Even my labor costs have been eliminated?!"
"Yes, I have calculated it all. It will definitely make more money than if you gave up the competition and simply downloaded the dungeon..."
Zhang Fan nodded and glanced at Xu Sulan. Seeing her expectant look, he knew in his heart that she might have come up with something, so he said:
"Tell me about your method. How can I have 190,000 crystal cores in one day and win the auction?!"
Wang Xuezhou consciously gave up his position, and Xu Sulan came up and said with a smile: "Lord Barbarian King, a fifth-level expert, we are already a step too late. I don't know if it is Taohua or the Rock King who has already captured it, but those below the fifth level have already been captured."
, there’s still a lot to be done…”
"Below level five?"
Zhang Fan frowned slightly and said: "Those below level five cannot be contacted, what should I do?"
"You can wait until after eight o'clock in the evening to contact us..."
"Contact me in person? Then I can contact you, but others can't?!"
Xu Sulan smiled slightly and said: "Lord Barbarian King, you can go to the stone statue and wait for a while at eight o'clock. When they are all gathered, have a verbal exchange with the other three parties to increase their sense of oppression, and then take the lead in downloading the copy.
, wait until everyone else has gone down, then you can come out..."
"After you come out, no one will compete with you. A copy will take at least half an hour. You only need to reach an agreement with enough people during this half hour. By then, even if they come out, they will be gone.
No way..."
Zhang Fan nodded, feeling that what he said made sense, but soon another question arose and he said: "How can I ensure that the three parties will definitely follow me? What if they never download the copy?!"
"If they don't think of a way to reach an agreement with others, then there is a high probability that they won't care about people below level five..."
"So, you only need to tell them the number of crystal cores that are close to their psychological defense line, which is enough to create a sense of oppression for them..."
"For example, Tiger, we have now calculated that the crystal cores he may use to bid are 110,000 and 190,000. You can test it first and talk to him at the figures of 90,000 and 100,000, pretending that you are prepared to do so.
Some crystal nuclei, see his reaction, if he is not in a hurry, it means that he may have really prepared 190,000 crystal nuclei, and you can use 17,180,000 crystal nuclei to suppress it. In this way, he will prevent you from exceeding his preparation.
When you download the crystal core, you will definitely download it as well..."
"That makes sense!"
Zhang Fan nodded, and then asked: "What about Rock King, Taohua and the others? What's the situation?!"
"It is known that one of these two people is in contact with the fifth-level experts... Of course, there is also the possibility that both of them are in contact!"
"It would be best if both people contacted each other. It would be equivalent to equally dividing the crystal cores in the hands of the fifth-level experts, but it would actually reduce the possibility of them winning the bid..."
"Of course, based on our worst-case scenario, only one of the two contacted other level five powerhouses and reached an agreement to collect all the crystal cores into one person and participate in the bidding..."
"In this case, the other person can be left alone. There will be no resources for him to participate in the competition..."
Zhang Fan touched his chin and said: "Then let's assume the worst case scenario. If Rock King contacts everyone else and takes the crystal cores into his bag, how many crystal cores can he possibly put out to participate in the bidding at most?"
After finishing speaking, he added: "Just follow the red line, yellow line, and blue line just explained..."
Xu Sulan and Wang Xuezhou looked at each other and said: "We can only determine the number of crystal cores possessed by the fifth-level strong men through the number of daily promotions of the fifth-level strong men, as well as the number of crystal cores they initially carry, plus the Sky City equipment.
Consumption situation, food purchase situation, etc. are calculated..."
"The yellow line is about 260,000 crystal cores..."
"260,000, so much?!"
Zhang Fan was shocked. This was already more than the 190,000 cores of the Tiger Red Line.
"After all, this is the common wealth of dozens of level five powerhouses. If you include their own equipment, it may be even more. Of course, there is a high probability that they will not sell their equipment. Even if they want to sell it, no one can buy it...
"
Zhang Fan frowned and said in a deep voice: "Where is the red line? How many crystal cores can we take out at most?!"
"380,000 to 460,000..."
"..."
This number made Zhang Fan silent. The individual was indeed somewhat eclipsed in front of the group. The number was exaggerated to the point of despair.
"Lord Barbarian King, there is no chance at all..."
Seeing that Zhang Fan was a little depressed, Xu Sulan quickly said: "We have a plan for you..."
"Below level five, according to the level and crystal core reserve habits, big data has eliminated the poor and stingy. We calculate that the number of crystal cores you can trade is between 150,000 and 250,000..."
"With the addition of our own crystal core, we can almost beat the tiger's red line and beat the yellow line raised by other five-level funds..."
After raising 260,000 crystal cores, we can indeed win, but I am afraid that what the other party has prepared is a red line...
Zhang Fan took a deep breath and said, "Then what if the other party really prepared 460,000 crystal cores?!"
"Then subdue the tiger!"
"We have made an alternative plan for you. Between 8:20 and 8:50, you reach an agreement with other people below level five and get their crystal cores..."
"When the other three teams come out, you can continue to test Rock King or Peach Blossom, with a limit of 250,000 or 260,000. If they don't care, or remain silent and show no expression, there is a high probability that they have really prepared more.
Crystal core..."
"At this time, you are directly cooperating with the Tigers, telling you that you have obtained more than 200,000 crystal cores now, which may be hundreds of thousands behind King Yan. You want to cooperate with him and borrow his crystal cores..."
Zhang Fan was a little confused, "Will the tiger cooperate with me obediently?!"
"Definitely. They prepared so many crystal cores in order to win the store. If they fail to win, it will naturally be meaningless. They can only settle for the next best thing and choose to drink some soup with minced meat next to others...
"
"When the time comes, with the 190,000 crystal cores gathered from the Tigers, plus the crystal cores of the vast number of power users below level five, you will definitely be able to successfully win the store this time..."