The three siblings looked at each other and smiled. As soon as they opened their mouths, they were embarrassed to find that they were not thinking about the same thing!
"There are no crude oil futures contracts listed on the Tokyo Commodity Exchange." This sentence comes from Reiko Kitahara.
"Wouldn't it be possible to go to the Gulf and make a lot of money for arms?" This is Kitahara Ningzi with a mouth full of dessert cream.
"I think we can go short..." This is Sosuke Kitahara.
Two pairs of big eyes looked at Kitahara Sosuke.
Gulf War shorting crude oil?
"Sister, I didn't wake up in the morning. Sosuke said he would short crude oil during the Gulf War. Hahahaha~ I laughed to death. Hahahahaha. I couldn't stand it anymore and tears flowed out. Wow~ Hahaha, Sosuke is
Are you planning to be a comedian? Wow..."
Kitahara Ningzi laughed heartily, and put her two long white legs on the table again, tapping them rhythmically.
Sitting opposite her, Kitahara Sosuke's eyes flashed with gorgeous scenery from time to time, and he held his forehead and sighed helplessly.
Kitahara Ningzi didn't know much about finance, but she also knew that the Gulf War was originally started by the United States for oil. Once the war started, international oil prices soared 100%, and the Japanese government was so eager to get involved in the war in anticipation of this confrontation.
The war in Iraq will be very long. During the war, the price of crude oil will inevitably continue to rise, which will be a heavy blow to Japan, which is quite dependent on oil.
But as long as you put in the money and effort, you can ride on the Allies' train, and maybe even make a fortune from it. Oil, which takes a long time to evolve, is one of the scarcest raw materials today, and no country can have too much.
Are you seeking death by going short crude oil at this time?
Kitahara Reiko works in securities and futures trading. A trace of surprise appeared on her always cool face. She looked at Kitahara Sosuke and said quietly: "As of January this year, the proven oil reserves in the Gulf area are approximately 651.7 billion.
barrels, accounting for 65% of the world’s proven oil reserves, approximately 1,001.5 billion barrels.”
"Iraq accused Kuwait of over-extracting oil and secretly extracting oil across the border, which caused a sharp drop in their country's oil revenue, and thus launched the invasion war."
Kitahara Reiko added another sentence.
The implication is very clear, everyone is fighting for oil. There are so many oil reserves in the Gulf, and the impact on the situation is self-evident. If you go short like this, aren't you looking for death?
"Anyway, I think the price of oil will definitely fall after a war." Kitahara Sosuke spread his hands, don't ask, just ask based on intuition.
"Is it the same as your prediction of the stock market and housing market?" Kitahara Reiko tilted her head and looked at him.
Kithara Sosuke nodded slightly.
The smile on Kitahara Ningzi's face, who was drinking from a straw, gradually disappeared and was replaced by seriousness and caution.
"So, Aosuke, you're not trying to make your sister laugh?"
"of course not."
"Reason, reason, I want to listen to the reason!" Kitahara Ningzi retracted her long legs and stood up to sit next to him. She hooked her right hand on his shoulder and came closer, "Come on, secretly tell your sister, if you talk nonsense...
..”
She gently pulled half of Kitahara Sosuke's cheek with her hands and pulled it like she did when she was a child.
Kitahara Reiko also leaned towards him, and a faint orchid scent hit her face.
She was also curious about the reason.
The so-called short selling of futures simply means predicting in advance that futures prices will fall, borrowing a bunch of futures from a third-party brokerage firm when you do not hold futures, selling them at market prices, and then buying them when they fall to earn the difference.
The core of short selling is that you can accurately predict that futures will fall, and you are bearish on it when most people are optimistic about it, and you need to judge the time of the decline.
It sounds simple, but it is very difficult to operate in practice, and the risk cost is much higher than the return. Without accurate prediction, it is basically difficult to do it.
"First, the United States will not let oil prices rise wantonly during the war. It will definitely take action to regulate prices and swallow up international capital."
Kitahara Ningzi gently pulled his cheek and nodded.
This can be expected, but it is too difficult to control such a large crude oil market. If such a method were available, the United States would not go to the Gulf to interfere with the peacekeeping reasons.
After all, we are now in a situation of bipolar giants. With the Soviet Union checking and balancing the United States, how can we let it control the crude oil market wantonly?
She is more inclined to believe that the United States will regulate, but it will only suppress some of the rising trends in oil prices, and the overall rising trend will not change.
From the perspective of a latecomer, Kitahara Sosuke can understand why the U.S. government successfully controlled oil prices during the Gulf War.
First of all, it is a premeditated control, and preparations may have been started half a year ago. Secondly, the Soviet Union began to disintegrate at the end of the year, with constant internal problems, and it really has no energy to compete with the United States.
But of course these reasons cannot be put on the table for a showdown with the two sisters.
"What about the second point?" Kitahara Reiko did not comment on his first reason.
"The war will end soon." Kitahara Sosuke smiled mysteriously.
"Wow~ Sister, look at Sosuke, this boy must be sincerely making me happy today~" Kitahara Ningzi hugged him tightly and couldn't help laughing.
Countless displeased glances came to him, and when he saw a table of handsome men and beautiful women, the one who laughed was an extremely beautiful woman, and his gaze turned to curiosity.
Kitahara Sosuke could feel the envy and jealousy of the men around him, and he had no choice but to push his second sister away, but she hugged him too tightly and had to give up resistance.
The Gulf War has not yet started, but countless military strategists have already begun to analyze and predict who will win between the United States and Iraq, and how long Iraq's million-strong army can last.
The general view among military strategists is that the war will last at least one to two years, and a new round of world war is likely to break out.
Wherever there is a war, there will be arms dealers, and the arms business will be extremely booming.
These days, several overseas arms dealers that Kitahara Ningzi is familiar with are eager to try, preparing to buy and resell on a large scale, hoping to make a fortune in the Gulf.
She had been living in the Middle East before, and now she was somewhat famous, so she also wanted to get involved. After hearing what Sosuke Kitahara said, she couldn't help but think about the possibility of the Gulf War ending early.
As a result, it will be difficult to sell the large amount of arms acquired.
Kitahara Ningzi graduated from the Military Academy. After her service years were over, she went to overseas war-torn areas to do business as soon as she was discharged. She had the financial support of the Kitahara family behind her, and people in the family in the military community helped to connect her.
At first, he was hanging around in some fringe areas, but he became famous with his outstanding mind, extraordinary ability, and terrifying methods of killing people without blinking an eye.
The arms industry is a chaotic and unrestrained field with huge benefits, but also many dangers. In order to avoid being hacked, she personally cultivated a mercenary army.
Kitahara Sosuke didn't know much about her experience outside. He only knew that her outside experience came mostly from family pressure and demands. After all, Kitahara Minami and Kitahara Masao were involved with some big political figures.
If funds need to be transferred overseas, there must always be white gloves on hand.
Kitahara Ningzi once complained to Kitahara Sosuke when she was drunk. She said that the most unpleasant thing was that the Kitahara family prepared overseas high-end toilets for the big guys behind it.
She is an adopted daughter, not her biological child. Among Tokyo's wealthy families who have a very strong sense of family status, only Kitahara Sosuke and Kitahara Reiko have a good relationship with her. The other relatives see her more like a servant of the family.
"So...are you serious?" Kitahara Ningzi finished laughing, leaned towards him and asked in a low voice, her tone no longer joking, but more solemn.
"Seriously, sister Ningzi, please don't get involved too much. I can provide you with some estimates." Kitahara Sosuke nodded. He has good sense for the second sister and doesn't want her to get into trouble in this matter.
Somersault.
"Is that so..." Kitahara Ningzi let go of him and put her feet on the table again, "It's boring, how about we make a bet?"
"What are you betting on?" Kitahara Sosuke forked a piece of beef and put it in his mouth.
"If your estimate is wrong, you must compensate me for all losses. If your estimate is correct..." Kitahara Ningzi turned to look at him, "I will give you a mysterious gift~"
They had been playing this kind of bet since childhood. In their memory, Kitahara Ningzi always liked to tease the introverted Kitahara Sosuke. When he asked for a gift, she would secretly hide the gift and let him find it for a long time.
The original person has many memories of Kitahara Ningzi. She must have been very lonely when she was a child. The only true sister was stern and did not dare to go over to play with her. However, the only sister who was disliked by the family was willing to spend time with him every day, sleeping and bathing.
Eat, help him beat people, etc.
"Okay, but you're not allowed to hide this time." Kitahara Sosuke laughed.
The three of them chatted about the crude oil market for a while. Kitahara Reiko did not agree with Kitahara Sosuke's judgment, but she did not interfere with his actions. She felt that he really wanted to try short selling, so she agreed to introduce him to a third-party futures trader in the United States.
company.
As for the issue of the fiancée’s blind date, I’ll wait for the answer from there.
Kitahara Ningzi is full of confidence. She has a good relationship with Chino Rin. She doesn't know how they met, but when she thinks that she can be friends with Ningzi's sister, she is probably a girl with a very weird personality.
I hope she's not the kind of black yandere who says, "Only love me, or I'll give you thirty minor injuries."
Anyway, there is a high probability that it will not happen. Kitahara Sosuke agreed and continued to eat. For such expensive dishes, you have to eat enough.