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Chapter 1567 Sunk Costs

 Chapter 1567 Sunk Costs

Liu Xing thought about it and realized that if he joined such a survival module with hundreds of players participating and survived to the end, then unless he was very lucky to find a large amount of material, he would definitely have conflicts with other players.

Conflicts, or even snatching other players' supplies... In other words, you must trade other people's lives for your own!

This is a bit uncomfortable.

If it is a life-and-death confrontation module, Liu Xing will not have any psychological pressure to attack other players. After all, this module must have a winner, and it is only a winner. Therefore, Liu Xing will definitely not want to die if he does not want to die.

You have to go all out to send your opponent off.

But for a survival module like this, although theoretically speaking, each player team can live in peace without fighting, the prerequisite for this is that each player team can obtain enough supplies, and the Cthulhu Running Team Game Hall

You won't do such a good thing, so the supplies in the entire module may be enough for half of the players to survive, but it would be good if the players can find half of the supplies. After all, some supplies may be in a dangerous situation, such as a crumbling building.

Or maybe in the realm of mythical creatures.

This means that in a survival module with hundreds of people like the one Huang Haoran participated in, the supplies that players can obtain can only ensure that a quarter of the people survive, and this does not include various unexpected situations.

Therefore, if you want to survive in this situation until the end, the player team will definitely have to fight with each other.

For Liu Xing, if his group can find enough supplies, he will still have the confidence to deal with those players who try to buy for zero yuan. However, if his group does not find enough supplies, then he will go to other players to "borrow" them.

"In other words, Liu Xing feels that it is still difficult for him to kill him. After all, he is the villain...

This may be called the final bottom line.

"You should all have heard of the term sunk cost, right? It means that too much manpower, material resources and energy were invested in the early stage, so when you encounter various problems in the later stage, although from a rational point of view you should choose to give up, this way

You can avoid more losses, but when you think that you have already invested so much cost in the early stage, and now there seems to be some chance of success, then you will choose to continue to invest more.”

Huang Haoran suddenly said: "I majored in finance at university, so many professors and lecturers have mentioned that for decision makers, sunk cost is the biggest test for them, and it is also an almost unsolvable problem. It is like your early investment.

With a cost of one million, we encountered a choice in the later stage - either directly give up the upfront cost of one million, or add another one hundred thousand funds, and there is a 20% possibility of obtaining one hundred and fifty thousand.

100,000 yuan in income, or to recover the total cost of 1.1 million yuan, so what do you think the decision-maker should choose?"

Of course Liu Xing had heard of the term sunk cost, but Liu Xing had never encountered a similar situation, so Huang Haoran's question stopped Liu Xing.

However, Tian Qing quickly replied: "I should choose to continue investing money, because in my opinion, the additional 100,000 yuan in capital will have the opportunity to bring me at least 1 million in income. After all, if I don't add

If you invest, you will definitely lose one million in upfront costs.”

"Yes, most decision-makers will think so. After all, the initial investment cost is too much, so in the end everyone wants to take a small gamble with a big stake. If the gamble wins, at least all the investment can be recovered, but

From a probability point of view, the possibility of losing 1.1 million yuan is 80%, and the possibility of recovering all investment is 20%. This means that if you make additional investment, there is an 80% chance.

There is a possibility that you will lose more! This is the terrible thing about sunk costs, which will make many decision-makers make wrong choices.”

Huang Haoran sighed and continued: "In the module I just mentioned, the most terrifying thing is not that the player teams are fighting each other for supplies, but that in the later stage, many players have to face sunk costs.

Choice! Yes, in the last day or two, the Cthulhu Run game lobby will start various activities, so that players' supplies may suddenly decrease, and at the same time, the weather will become worse.

Therefore, it becomes very difficult for players to go out and continue to search for supplies... Then many player teams will face the same problem - who should survive."

Hearing this, Liu Xing and Tian Qing couldn't help but take a breath, because this is really too heart-wrenching. After all, most player teams are brought together by players' mutual trust, just like Liu Xing and his team.

, there is no distinction between them. Of course, the three people who are mainly responsible for command and decision-making are Liu Xing, Yin En and Zhang Jingxu.

So Liu Xing thought about it from his perspective and found that if he and his group had to give up some people and let others live, it would be difficult to make a choice, unless some people actively choose to give up, but who is not willing?

How about surviving?

So what will it be like then?

Liu Xing really shouldn't think about it anymore, because Liu Xing knows that it is impossible for him to choose to sacrifice his life for righteousness, so the last and fairest way is for everyone to draw lots to decide whether he lives or dies... But even if

In this way, those unlucky people will also have grudges, and when cracks appear in a team, it is not far away from falling apart.

If these unlucky people did not choose to accept it calmly, then this matter would be even more troublesome. A big fight would definitely be inevitable, and the player team would be gone.

"For most players, they have already paid a lot of sunk costs to get to this point, so it is unrealistic for them to sacrifice themselves for others, so many player teams choose to fight among themselves, but this is not the most terrifying thing.

, because some players are faced with a more crazy choice, that is, if they want to survive the last period of time, they must eat some food, and the only food they can find now is the cards torn by other players...

.So after considering their sunk costs, many players chose to take the plunge.”

As soon as Huang Haoran said this, Liu Xing and Tian Qing took another breath, because this was really terrible.

Although Liu Xing has heard of some similar cases, many people in desperate situations were "supported" by their deceased companions before they were rescued or escaped, and they also received support from most people.

I understand, because this person has passed away, so in order to survive, you can do some things that you definitely can't do normally.

But some people still blame these survivors, and survivors often think of scenes they want to forget.

As for the players in that module, they have already made it to the end of the module and will be able to successfully pass the level immediately. However, if they encounter such a situation, then there will definitely be players who consider their sunk costs.

Choose to take this scary step.

This is also murderous and heart-breaking.

It also forces players to break through their own bottom line.

"So after the end of this module, many player teams were disbanded without a trace. At the same time, many players also developed psychological problems. Therefore, after two or three modules, at least 30% of the players never came online again.

However, the closed test at that time only lost so many players every ten times of the module. This shows how terrible this module is, and those of us players who left the module earlier felt that Csu

Lupaotuan Game Hall is using sunk costs to harm these players."

Huang Haoran shook his head and said seriously: "Actually, there are still many modules like this, so I think the Cthulhu Run Game Hall has become much more restrained after the open beta. Although the difficulty of the modules is still very high, and

The fault tolerance rate for novice players has also dropped a lot, but such heart-wrenching modules have become very rare. However, I think the reason why the Cthulhu Run Game Hall made such a change is to ensure stability.

The number of player teams must be large enough so that some later modules can be arranged.”

"Yes, after arriving in the Hounds of Tindalos area, 99% of the players have already started to form a team, and the remaining 0.10% of the players are unable to form a team due to various reasons. After all,

The advantages and benefits are obvious." Liu Xing nodded.

"So I think you have to be careful, because I think the Cthulhu Run Game Hall has definitely not given up on this kind of murderous and heart-wrenching module, but rather uses this module as a means to keep the bottom of the box. After all, it is in closed testing

There are many types of modules, and I think the Cthulhu Run Game Hall has learned through that closed beta which type of module is the scariest.”

Huang Haoran's words made Liu Xing and Tian Qing nod in unison, because Liu Xing and Tian Qing thought so too.

"By the way, apart from these modules, what impressed me most in the closed beta was the NPCs, because the NPCs at that time were almost exactly the same as ordinary people. However, judging from the current situation, these NPCs may indeed be a group of ordinary people.

People, but we players seemed to suddenly appear around them; the modules at that time were that we players suddenly came to a certain place, and the NPCs were all aborigines or staff of this place, so in these NPCs

In their eyes, we are just foreign travelers." Huang Haoran continued: "To put it simply, we had nothing to do with the NPCs in the module at the beginning."

Huang Haoran's words reminded Liu Xing of a certain death-god primary school student. He often "passed" somewhere and was suddenly involved in various incidents. Then he and his friends had to

resolve these incidents.

"In this case, the players during the closed test should have been transported to a parallel world that has not yet been assimilated by the Cthulhu Game Hall, so they can only start the game as outsiders and compete with NPCs.

After the open beta, players will go to the real world that has been assimilated by the Cthulhu Runner game lobby, so players can play the game as locals, and there will be several familiar NPCs upon arrival." Tian

Qing said.

"So in the real world we live in now, will there be some sudden alien players entering?"

Liu Xing raised his own question.

"There should be. Maybe those mythical creatures Huang Haoran mentioned before are actually players? Or they are character cards that fell off. They wandered into our world after losing the control of the players, instead of following the players back to Kremlin.

Sulu Running Group Game Hall." Tian Qing said seriously.

Just when Huang Haoran was about to say something, he saw the waiter starting to bring out the dishes.

"This is my girlfriend. The reason why I left the Cthulhu Run game lobby after I collected enough points is so that I can live an ordinary life with her. So when I was doing the final module

I set a classic flag - after completing this module, I returned to the real world to marry her, and the result turned out to be like this... So naturally, it was impossible for me to marry her under such circumstances, because

I don’t know when I will suddenly disappear, and there will be no scum left. Of course, she doesn’t know the existence of the Cthulhu Run Game Hall yet.” Huang Haoran said in a low voice.

Hearing what Huang Haoran said, Liu Xing and Tian Qing knew they had to keep his girlfriend a secret to prevent her from entering the Cthulhu Run game lobby.

"I heard that anyone who understands the Cthulhu Mythology or the Cthulhu Run game may become a player in the Cthulhu Run game lobby, so I deliberately chose to open a B&B here to

Try to ensure that she will not be exposed to relevant content."

Huang Haoran continued: "My B&B has no WiFi or TV, and I also deliberately raised some flowers, plants and small animals in the yard behind to ensure that my girlfriend can spend a lot of money on this every day.

She has a lot of time, plus I accompany her every step of the way, so she doesn’t have much time to be exposed to outside information.”

Well intentioned.

Liu Xing shook his head. If he had known that Tian Qing might join the Cthulhu Running Team game lobby, then he would have tried every means to keep Tian Qing away from relevant information. He even directly applied for a marriage certificate and went back to his hometown to farm and live a life of picking chrysanthemums.

Below, you can leisurely see the pastoral life of Nanshan.

Anyway, I have enough points to exchange for cash, so I can enjoy farming at home.

Of course, Liu Xing still had to face an unsolvable problem, that is, after entering the Cthulhu Run game lobby, he would suddenly disappear for several days, or even ten days and a half month, so he stayed

What should Tian Qing do in the real world?


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