"Brother Yan, normally, there are some things I can't say too much.
It sounds like I'm stingy and afraid of people trying to steal my business.
But today I came back to my hometown, and those sitting over there were my parents.
I really can't go out of my way to talk nonsense with you and encourage you to vigorously develop ginseng."
Xu Shiyan was silent for a long time, and finally sighed and said.
"If you had said you wanted to lead the people to develop ginseng three to five years earlier, I would have said you could do it.
But for now, this matter really can’t be moved forward.
The ginseng market has been booming in recent years, not to mention our Jilin Province, and even Liaoning Province, many places have followed suit.
The situation we are facing now is that production far exceeds sales.”
I thought a lot before coming here, but I never expected that these people were interested in ginseng.
"In the past, the sales of ginseng were based on special production and supply, with unified purchasing and marketing. The state took care of it, so we didn't have to worry about selling it after we grew it.
Things are different now. It seems that starting from this year, our province will no longer implement the guaranteed acquisition plan, and it will all depend on market operation.
Yan Geyou also knows that most of this ginseng is exported and sold to foreigners, and we consume very little domestically.
The international situation has changed rapidly in the past two years, and no one dares to say what the wind direction will be like outside.
We now have no national backstop and spend a lot of money to plant ginseng. Once the market falls, ginseng farmers will have to lose money."
Xu Shiyan didn't know how many times he had said these words.
But good words can never dissuade the damn ghost, and there are still countless people trying to get in.
Xu Shiyan has persuaded everything he should, and that's all he can do. Believe it or not, it's up to others.
“Our participation in the event has always maintained a certain scale in the past few years and has never expanded.
I love people and I also grow ginseng, and it's the same. No matter how good the market is, it's always just that.
Anyway, if you really want to develop, I suggest you wait a year or two and see what the market is like this year and next."
That's all I can say, stop there. As for whether people believe it or not, Xu Shiyan doesn't care.
Although there are ginseng plantations here, Yan Shaoqing and others are not engaged in this industry themselves and do not know much about it, otherwise they would not be able to ask Xu Shiyan for advice.
Hearing what Xu Shiyan said at this moment, everyone took a breath of cold air.
If what Xu Shiyan said is true, then they are encouraging farmers to plant ginseng. If the market falls and they lose money, the farmers can't blame them.
“Oh, I thought this was a good project to make money, but I didn’t expect there were so many things involved.
Fortunately, I met Brother Xu today. He didn't say anything to others and explained it to us from the bottom of his heart.
If it were another person, who could be so real?"
Qu Jiacheng looked at Yan Shaoqing and sighed.
If it were anyone else, who would be so honest?
People are eager for you to go over there and buy ginseng seeds, learn the technology, and invest a lot of money in it.
As for the drop in the market, what does it have to do with others? That is affected by the international situation and is not something that others can decide.
Yan Shaoqing was also sweating on his forehead at this moment.
Ever since the Fusong Ginseng Festival became popular last year, he has been thinking about the ginseng industry.
I have always advocated that this county should also vigorously develop the ginseng industry, and then go to a spring fair or something to try to earn foreign exchange through exports.
In fact, Kuandian also has products for export.
However, minerals such as talc, talc powder, and boron ore account for a large proportion, while agricultural and sideline products such as velvet antlers, cashmere, ginseng, and pond smelt account for a small proportion.
The structure itself is unreasonable.
Minerals are non-renewable resources, and Yan Shaoqing and others also have some foresight. They know that the more developed these minerals are, the less they will be. In a few years, there will be nothing left to sell.
It is better to develop agricultural and sideline products, sustainable regeneration and recycling, among which ginseng is the most profitable.
Therefore, Yan Shaoqing and others are thinking about developing the ginseng industry, and also want to learn from Fusong.
I don't dare to say that the whole process is unscrupulous. At least setting up some kind of processing factory can make the lives of farmers better.
But they never imagined that there are many hidden dangers and crises behind planting ginseng.
After listening to Xu Shiyan's words, I was really scared.
If things don't go well, he won't be allowed to sit on the wax. He is a native of his hometown, and the people will scold him to death.
"Thanks for meeting Mr. Xu, otherwise, I would have made a mistake.
Thank you very much, Mr. Xu. I really appreciate you giving us a heads up.
Well, I won’t say anything else. It’s fate that we met each other. Come on, I’ll pay you a tribute.”
Yan Shaoqing was a good person. He didn't think wrongly. Instead, he toasted with gratitude.
Xu Shiyan picked up the wine glass, touched it with Yan Shaoqing and others, and everyone drank the wine together.
"I guess the price of ginseng will definitely fall at some point. I don't dare to say what the price will be like in the future.
Just look at the next two years. If we can still maintain stability in these two years, then it won't be a big deal.
If it cannot be stabilized, it will be difficult to return to the market conditions of the year before last and the year before at least within ten years.
Therefore, you must be careful when choosing this industry, after all, the cost is too heavy.
If it has always been the case before, there is no other way out. I have no choice but to bite the bullet and continue.
Otherwise, it is really not recommended to enter the market at this time.”
Xu Shiyan also saw that Qu Jiacheng and Yan Shaoqing were both good people.
To put it bluntly, these people are much better than Li Jingyu and others, and they can listen and give advice.
On Li Jingyu's end, Xu Shiyan reported several times that he was trying to restrict the rapid development of the ginseng industry, but the county ignored him at all.
Now it depends on how the ginseng market will be this year and next year. If it really hits the bottom all of a sudden like it has in the past, it will be exciting.
"Mr. Xu, if you say so, when is the best time to enter?"
Yan Shaoqing probably still didn't want to give up, so he asked further.
Xu Shiyan glanced at Yan Shaoqing and then at Qu Jiacheng. Seeing that both of them were looking forward to it, he couldn't help but sigh.
"Brother Yan, I can't guess the specific time, but don't make any plans for at least three years."
Once the market falls, those units will join the market collectively and try their best to shed their burdens.
The market conditions will be messed up by them, and whoever enters the market at this time will be a fool.
As for when it will get better, Xu Shiyan cannot give a specific answer now.
After all, many things have changed, and the experiences from the previous life may not all be useful today.
Yan Shaoqing wanted to ask, but was stopped by Qu Jiacheng's look.
They didn't know Xu Shiyan at all before, and they didn't have much friendship. It was enough to give them face by talking to him like this.
It would be too much to continue to dig deeper.
When Yan Shaoqing thought about it, he felt like he was impatient about something.
"Forget it, I don't dare to have this idea, it sounds scary.
From now on, you should just do something else honestly. In these days, as long as people are not lazy and are willing to work, they can always get rich."
Yan Shaoqing waved his hand and stopped thinking about it.
"Come on, let's have another drink with Mr. Xu. If nothing else, I'm going back to my hometown, so I have to eat well, drink well and have fun, right?"