"What do you mean, they coerced the two people from Guangdong and Guangxi just to contain our energy and attention in the south so that they can secretly smuggle the silver to the north and transport it out of the country?"
Boss Dai frowned slightly after reading the information and analysis sent by Lin Mo. The meaning behind his words was very clear. Is this matter worth the Japanese people's effort?
After listening to this, Lin Mo thought carefully for a moment and explained: "The matters in the south have actually involved most of the energy and attention of the national government.
Especially after the Red Party escapes, the pursuit and suppression of the Red Party, dealing with various local forces in the south, etc. are bound to draw attention and energy for a long time to come.
The other party is probably doing this just to add fuel to the fire, or to make things worse, to see if they can gain anything. Again, what they are planning is something that will happen with a high probability, they just
Use a little more force to increase your chances.
Another point is that there was a period of time before the other party was found, and based on the order of the people contacted by the other party, these people may have caused more harm in order to contain the energy of the government.
Among them, there may be some pointed at us. Of course, the Executive Yuan matters may not be among them. We must be more vigilant and careful to avoid falling into the opponent's trap.
As for whether it is worth it, it depends on the benefits it can bring and the impact it will have on us. But here, I need to explain two premises first.
One is that the national government has negotiated and coordinated with foreign governments and concessions to temporarily control the outflow of silver through legitimate channels by using restrictions and tariffs.
On the other hand, some of the other countermeasures taken by the national government, such as contacting foreign countries and preparing to issue banknotes to replace the circulation of silver, are probably unknown to the Japanese.
The former has indeed restricted the outflow of silver, but it has also suppressed the rise in domestic silver prices. Now, the price gap between domestic and international silver prices has widened to a considerable extent, to the extent of 20 to 30%, and is rapidly widening.
This is already a very generous profit margin. If we take into account that the price of silver continues to rise, there is still a lot of time difference between purchase and sale. After the whole process, the gross profit is probably 40 to 50%, even if all links and costs are involved
If you split half of it, you can still maintain a profit of more than 20 points.
This is also a huge profit, not to mention the high profit expectations, not to mention that silver smuggling also has the advantages of small size, high transportation costs and convenience.
Moreover, the capital turnover speed will be very fast, up to a few months, or even shorter. The shorter the time, the more times you will benefit, and the greater the profit will be in the same time. Comparing commodity trading and industry, this business is very cost-effective.
If you can still get a loan from a bank or other financial institution or simply borrow silver dollars to smuggle it first, you can create leverage. Needless to say, the increased rate of return that leverage can bring is a bit pale to describe it as huge profits.
Therefore, this business contains huge benefits, and those benefits are enough to attract countless people to go crazy for it. I am paying attention to the situation in the north. This business has already begun to rise, and the Japanese are afraid that they have already planned something.
To restrict the outflow of silver, action was quickly launched.
As for the second point, because the Japanese are not aware of it yet, we have already found another way to deal with it. Therefore, in their view, if a large amount of Chinese silver can be smuggled out of the country, causing a domestic shortage of silver and money, it will bring a huge blow to the Chinese economy.
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As for how big the impact will be, my preliminary estimate is that if we don't find a way to solve it as soon as possible, it will at least trigger a small-scale economic crisis. You can refer to the analogy of the Great Depression in the United States.
Don't think it's not serious. Our economy is small and has a weak foundation. The impact and damage it can cause is not exaggerated if you take the impact of the Great Depression on the U.S. government and replace it with the impact on the national government.
By then, factories will go bankrupt, businesses will be depressed, people will be unemployed, life will be in trouble, the economy will be in chaos, and then society will be in chaos. In the end, whatever wealth the government has saved over the years will be completely lost.
At the government level, fiscal and tax revenue will inevitably drop sharply. This has already been seen as soon as the rise in silver prices had some impact, and the situation will only become more severe.
The national government pursues the policy of resisting foreign aggression before settling domestic affairs. Now that the internal affairs have made great progress, and the hardest bones have been almost broken, it will naturally be the turn of the national government to resist foreign aggression, and the primary target of the conflict is naturally Japan.
How can the Japanese sit still? They will definitely think of some ways, but they should not be ready for a full-scale invasion of China at the moment, so naturally they can only use other means to cause destruction.
Compared with directly obstructing Anne, it is obviously more cost-effective to destroy the government's economy, and coincidentally, the silver issue has given them a sharp knife to attack the government's economy.
Not only is it profitable and can harm the enemy and enrich oneself, but it can also drain resources from the bottom and use economic problems to influence the military operations of the government and disrupt the process of internal security of the government.
And a severe impact on the economy can also prevent the government from investing too many resources in preparations for foreign war, because the government needs normal expenditures and domestic security expenditures, and can basically only use the surplus for foreign war expenditures.
Therefore, whenever they reduce the income of the government by one penny, it is equivalent to reducing the number of bullets fired at them. For them, the reduction is equivalent to the resources that the government can invest against them, which is very cost-effective.
Furthermore, when they smuggle silver, whether they keep the equivalent of silver or exchange it for foreign currency such as U.S. dollars, most of them will eventually fall into the hands of the government. These can be directly used to participate in international trade and exchange for urgently needed goods.
These resources will eventually become bullets and cannonballs fired at us.
This business benefits everyone in Japan, from the government to the private sector. With this consistency, no matter what means they use to achieve or even expand their benefits, we don’t have to doubt it too much."
Lin Mo finished speaking in one breath, but unfortunately it was still a bit broad and comprehensive. Although Boss Dai nodded, it was most likely not recognition, but trust.
Scratching his head, Lin Mo simply found some paper and wrote down and sorted it out in detail while making deductions and drawing schematics to present the problems as intuitively as possible.
Lin Mo felt like he was explaining something. Fortunately, with the help of these and further explanations, he finally explained the situation clearly and gained the approval of his boss.
"After what you said, I finally understand why you have been holding on to Bai Yin all the time!" After listening, Xu Guyu felt a little enlightened.
During this period of time, Lin Mo seemed to be at odds with Bai Yin. Although he didn't think there was anything wrong with it, he still felt a little strange. This time, after understanding the details carefully, he felt that it was not enough.
Lin Mo just nodded and said: "In addition, we can't be careless just because the government has taken some countermeasures. There are some things! It will take a long time from negotiation to implementation.
Moreover, we cannot 100% guarantee that the Japanese will not notice it. Once they know it, they will definitely obstruct it in every possible way. Moreover, abroad, we cannot guarantee that they can cooperate with us to quickly advance the implementation, or even cause stumbling blocks or delay the time.
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However, these are almost beyond the control of us, or even the national government. We can only think of ways to use more efforts in other aspects, such as disrupting the Japanese plans, diverting their energy and attention, etc., in order to minimize the impact and prevent the worst.
The situation arises.”
Boss Dai also agreed with Lin Mo's point of view and said that he would go there personally, report the inside story clearly to Lao Jiang, and win more support.
It is not easy for Boss Dai to take this time to make a trip. In order to reduce the subsequent impact of acting with the Executive Yuan, he entered the situation with the intelligence service. At the moment, he is still unable to cope with it. I'm afraid he will have to pay a lot of money to leave.
Small price.
And whether the price can be recovered later is another matter. At present, their situation has caused the secret service headquarters to have a drink to celebrate. The impact on their reputation afterwards may not be low.
After all, some of these things cannot be publicized and known to the whole world. Therefore, in the eyes of some people below who have no way of knowing, their image in this incident will definitely be disgraced and their power will be greatly damaged.
Of course, the Secret Service Headquarters celebrated early. If you put in the effort, you will naturally reap the rewards. Based on this, plus Lin Mo’s additional gains, especially his analysis and response, after this experience, he felt that he could achieve great results.
In order to increase the weight of him and the Intelligence Department in the heart of the principal.
This thing, to them, is more important than anything else. It is directly reflected in the strength of support for them, and these will affect the development speed of the Intelligence Department and so on.
It can even be said that as long as their importance in Lao Jiang's heart increases, the impact of the Secret Service Headquarters' previous suppression methods will decrease sharply.
At the end, Lin Mo also explained in detail to Boss Dai the positive significance of Boss Dai's arrangement to check and balance them in this operation.
What Lin Mo meant beyond what he said was that this play can be performed, and it is worth continuing. It is estimated that it will achieve some unexpected effects and conveniences.
Regarding this point, Lin Mo is not telling lies or yin and yang, but he can indeed do a lot of things.
Boss Dai confirmed that Lin Mo really thought so and expressed his satisfaction. What can he say? Your subordinates are so cooperative with you. No matter what your plan is, is it possible that you still want to push people's loyalty to others?
Needless to say, after this statement, Lin Mo's position can be regarded as Boss Dai's confidant. In the future, unless something unexpected happens, there will basically be no more estrangement and suspicion between the two parties.
However, now is not the time to engage in disloyalty. After Boss Dai arranged the work as properly as possible, he left without stopping and rushed to Nanchang to report the situation face to face.
Lin Mo naturally continued to keep an eye on the target's actions, and began to sort out the entire case in detail, trying to dig out the enemy's tentacles in all aspects, so that when the time was right, he could complete the victory in one blow.
As for the people the other party came into contact with, just as Lin Mo had guessed, almost all of them had something to do with silver smuggling, which proved that his judgment was not wrong.