Roosevelt held down the armrests of his wheelchair, sat up slightly and said, "Now that the U.S. economy is in a mess, what can the government do?"
Zhou Hexuan did not answer directly, but asked: "The government you just mentioned, is it the U.S. federal government or the New York State government?"
Roosevelt asked: "What's the difference?"
Zhou Hexuan said: "If it's just the New York State government, then I'm sorry, but there is no good way to reverse the situation."
"Where's the federal government?" Roosevelt asked.
"Strengthening the government's intervention in the economy and market," Zhou Hexuan said with a smile, "Of course, this method will be difficult to achieve good results in the next two or three years, because the huge inertia caused by the economic crisis cannot be stopped by human power."
Roosevelt asked again: "What do you think of the anti-crisis measures taken by the federal government?"
When the economic crisis hit, the Hoover administration did not sit still and had already introduced corresponding countermeasures in the past few days.
President Hoover prefers a liberal economic model and does not want the government to interfere too much in the market. His so-called anti-crisis policy, to put it bluntly, only follows one principle: protect the interests of big capitalists and big farmers, and everyone else can die!
Zhou Hexuan analyzed with a smile: "Hoover believed that as long as large companies and enterprises were protected, millions of workers in the industry would eventually benefit. So he used the methods of expanding credit and reducing corporate income taxes to provide financial assistance to big capitalists
, regardless of the life and death of small companies and civilians. Although this approach is cruel, Hoover is right, and I intellectually agree with his anti-crisis measures."
"Do you think he will succeed?" Roosevelt raised an eyebrow.
Zhou Hexuan said with a smile: "He will successfully prevent the economic crisis from continuing to worsen, but the situation in the United States will get worse and worse. This is the inertial destructive force brought about by the economic crisis. Therefore, when Hoover's first term expires, he
It may be possible to slow down the depression caused by the economic crisis, but his contribution will not be remembered by the people. On the contrary, he is responsible for the economic crisis because he is the president of the United States."
Roosevelt shrugged: "He was probably the most unlucky president in the history of the United States."
Zhou Hexuan nodded and said: "I agree with this statement, and I can also predict that the next president after Hoover will be the luckiest president in American history."
"Why do you say that?" Roosevelt asked with interest.
Zhou Hexuan explained: "It is impossible for Hoover to be re-elected because the voters are extremely disappointed with him. After his term expires, as long as someone stands up and runs for president with an optimistic, positive and fearless attitude, and then implements correct economic policies,
Then it will be easy to save the United States and become a hero in the hearts of countless Americans."
Roosevelt asked: "Can the next president easily lead the United States out of crisis?"
"Of course, because after a few years, the destructive inertia of the economic crisis has slowly passed. At that time, as long as government intervention is strengthened, the U.S. economy can be brought back to the right track." Zhou Hexuan said.
Roosevelt asked again: "How to strengthen government intervention?"
Zhou Hexuan said: "The economic problems in the United States are very complex, including financial, industrial, commercial and other aspects. After the new president takes office, the first task is to rectify the financial market, and then to regulate industrial and agricultural production. If you want to save the economy as soon as possible, you can even
The federal government will come forward to limit the price of industrial products and the production quantity of agricultural products. As for the relief of civilians, it can build various public projects to improve civilian incomes with work-for-work relief. In addition, overhauling public projects can also drive the development of related industries such as cement and steel.
The recovery of the industry.”
Roosevelt nodded repeatedly when he heard this, and his son James suddenly interrupted: "Mr. Zhou, the approach you are talking about does not seem to be a liberal economy, but more like socialism or even communism."
Zhou Hexuan smiled and said: "I call it state capitalism."
To be precise, it is "state monopoly capitalism", of which Keynes is the most steadfast practitioner. However, Keynes still believes in liberal economics today, and only began to change his mind after experiencing the Great Depression.
James said: "I don't agree with your point of view, and your method will not work in the United States."
"Maybe." Zhou Hexuan smiled and said nothing, complaining in his heart: So you can only sell insurance after graduating from college.
Roosevelt suddenly said: "Mr. Zhou, would you like to serve as my adviser?"
Zhou Hexuan smiled and said: "Communications between friends are fine, but advisers are not necessary. Mr. Roosevelt, what you need to do now is to please the common people as much as possible and wait for the general election in a few years."
"You think I will run for the next president?" Roosevelt said calmly.
"A governor who doesn't want to be president is not a good governor. What do you think?" Zhou Hexuan asked.
Roosevelt laughed: "Hahaha, I do have this idea."
Zhou Hexuan said: "Mr. Governor, I want to build a factory in New York State, and I hope to get your help. For example, preferential tax rates, avoiding harassment by gangs, etc."
"Of course, this is right. You are very welcome to invest in New York State." Roosevelt said happily. Today is full of news about the company's bankruptcy, and Zhou Hexuan is the first to dare to open a new factory at this time.
After an evening chat around the fire, the guests and hosts enjoyed themselves, except Roosevelt's eldest son who was full of doubts.
Roosevelt sat in a wheelchair, personally sent Zhou Hexuan out, and then returned to the bedroom in a happy mood.
His wife Eleanor asked him: "You are so happy because you have obtained the method of managing the economy from the Chinese people?"
"No, it's more than that," Roosevelt laughed. "He told me how to successfully run for president. This was an unexpected surprise."
Roosevelt has always been very enterprising, or rather ambitious. When he was in college, he took advantage of the mutual needs of the school and his uncle, the governor (President Roosevelt), and relied on them to pull strings. He successfully became the assistant of the school magazine, and then served as the editor-in-chief of the school magazine.
He gained quite a reputation in the United States. In order to maintain this reputation, he even studied as a graduate student at Harvard for another year, just to continue to serve as the editor-in-chief of the school magazine.
Before he was 30 years old, Roosevelt entered politics as a Democrat, while his presidential uncle was from the Republican camp. The Democratic Party used this as a gimmick to promote Roosevelt to the position. When he was 31 years old, he was already the Assistant Secretary of the Navy.
.
A few years later, Roosevelt actively ran for vice president. Although he failed, he was hailed as a dazzling political star.
Until Roosevelt's leg became lame...the star fell!
Roosevelt had been depressed for several years, but now he regained his confidence and was elected governor of New York. His ultimate goal was the presidency.
Zhou Hexuan's words may not sound like much to others, but when they reached Roosevelt's ears, they pointed out his presidential campaign route.