Chapter 1563 [Prepare for the market outlook to hit the 10,000-point mark]
Fang Hong’s growth expectations for Qunxing Group in the next ten years mainly include two directions.
One is that Ah Mei’s hegemony collapses, Ah Mei falls, and the stars and even the entire Dongda can be full. In fact, from Ah Mei’s point of view, Ah Mei also thinks so. If the stars and even Dongda are harvested, Ah Mei can also
Eat enough and continue to live happily for another twenty years without any worries.
The other direction is technology. The specific direction of technology is artificial intelligence, virtual worlds, space exploration and other fields. In particular, space exploration will usher in a big explosion in the second decade.
Of course, Fang Hong has to grasp these two major directions with both hands, both hands are strong.
From the current point of view, it is a high probability event that Ah Mei will fall and his hegemony will fall and then be full. Ah Mei's unipolar world hegemony will also be difficult to survive in the next ten years.
The best outcome for Amalica's future is to hand over its hegemony, then go back to Beijing and become a regional power. It can no longer interfere with the affairs of the Eurasian continent. It can do whatever it takes in Beijing.
, the US dollar is no longer the world currency as it should be.
This is the best ending for Amalica, and the most tragic outcome is that Amalgam is divided internally and the United States becomes a divided country.
The east rises and the west falls, and the east returns to the top of the world again. This is the most certain general trend in the 21st century.
…
Wednesday, March 18th.
After the golden needle bottom trend on Tuesday, the SGX 50 index opened higher today and showed a strong state during the early trading hours. The SGX 50 index once rose by more than 1.76% during the session, recovering 5800
point mark, reaching a maximum of 5806.94 points.
But the good times did not last long. Just a few minutes after the NSE 50 index regained the 5,800-point mark at around 11:33, major market software had just pushed this news, and the market trend suddenly took a turn for the worse.
The three major A-share indexes collectively fell sharply because the external markets collapsed again.
The three major stock index futures of Bei Magnesium plummeted again, triggering a circuit breaker. Circuit breakers have become a daily routine in Bei Magnesium's capital market.
An important factor that triggered the meltdown of magnesium valuation futures is that international oil prices also collapsed today, once again hitting a record low. The price of WTI crude oil futures has plummeted from yesterday's closing price of US$26.95/barrel to US$20.37/barrel today.
, plummeted -24.41% during the day.
International oil prices have halved from March 6 to now, with a cumulative decline of more than -55%. The cumulative decline during the year has dropped from US$65.65 to a cumulative decline of -68.97%.
Investors from all walks of life who play in crude oil futures are everywhere, and there are many people who have liquidated their positions, and the corpses of bulls are everywhere.
But where does this go?
As a time traveler, Fang Hong knows that magnesium in the West can be as ugly as it is, and will directly drop the price to -$40/barrel for you later.
At this time, oil production is still increasing, but consumption is far less than output. There is no place to put the extracted crude oil. This is also a key reason why oil prices will fall into negative numbers in the next April.
The bad news is not only that international oil prices have collapsed again, but also external news has spread that Bridgewater Fund has liquidated its position, igniting another panic point.
Bridgewater Fund's risk evaluation strategy mainly uses the seesaw principle of stocks and bonds. Generally speaking, if stocks rise, bonds fall, and vice versa. If stocks fall, bonds rise, so it can achieve the effect of ensuring income during droughts and floods.
But now, due to the sharp contraction of market liquidity, while stocks have plummeted, bonds have also been sold off at the same time, thus forming a situation where stocks and bonds are killing each other. The original strategy of ensuring income during droughts and floods has turned into a loss for both ends.
Moreover, this strategy also requires volatility to be maintained within a certain level. In the past few years, when market volatility was low, the fund bought a lot of stocks. But now the stocks have plummeted and the volatility is extremely violent, so it has to sell stocks to reduce the risk.
Combined with volatility, this further exacerbates stock declines.
It is becoming more and more difficult to raise short-term funds now. Everyone is losing money, so where is the money? Even those who have money are holding on to it. Even if you take a step back, the cost of raising funds is very expensive.
Moreover, it can only sell assets, which will further exacerbate the decline in asset prices.
In addition, when everyone is currently in panic, funds are still facing the pressure of redemptions. When there are large redemptions, they still have to sell and sell, and asset prices will still fall further.
In short, these reasons have formed a vicious cycle. Even if Bridgewater Fund does not liquidate its position, it will still suffer huge losses.
It is rumored that the Bridgewater Fund has exploded. Bridgewater alone is certainly not enough to shake the market to a meltdown. However, this incident is a huge flash point that ignites panic because even Bridgewater has exploded. What about other funds?
Have other funds exploded? Or are they about to explode? Or have they exploded and there has been no news yet?
Even if it didn't explode in the first place, now everyone is panicking and choosing to leave, causing asset prices to plummet, which then really detonated the liquidation of other funds, making it an established fact, and then continuously strengthening the feedback of the vicious cycle.
, causing the market to trigger a circuit breaker again.
And more and more investors believe that the reason why the Fed continues to make big moves is not to kill a chicken with a butcher's knife, but to see a real monster. If this is really a financial crisis, then the real crisis is still there.
On the road.
At 15:00 in the afternoon, the A-share market closed. All three major stock indexes closed down. The NSE 50 Index fell -2.74% to 5549.82 points; the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index fell -1.83% to 2728.76 points, and the Shenzhen Component Index fell -1.70% to 10029.57 points.
The total turnover of the three major trading markets was 1.838 billion, of which 1.001 billion was the SGX market.
…
In the afternoon, Tian Jiayi came back from Qunxing headquarters, and Fang Hong was listening to her report: "The SGX market clearing plan has completed 80% of the turnover target, and the focus of the SGX 50 Index has also moved up.
5650 point water level.”
Fang Hong nodded: "Yeah."
Tian Jiayi continued: "The cumulative increase in holdings of stabilization funds has reached 1.55 trillion, and the cumulative repurchase funds of listed companies in the galaxy have reached 1.87 trillion."
At this time, Fang Hong turned his head and glanced at the screen next to him, which showed the K-line trend chart of the NSE 50 Index. He stared at the market trend and said: "The liquidation plan was completed smoothly and did not deviate from the planned trajectory.
Tomorrow should be the final drop, hitting the historical bottom for the next ten years."
Fang Hong withdrew his gaze, looked at the beautiful assistant and said: "Say hello to the National Social Security Fund, and suggest increasing the holdings of the Singapore Securities 50 Index. As for whether to increase holdings or how much to increase, we will not suggest it, let them
Decide for yourself.”
Tian Jiayi nodded: "Yes, okay."
Fang Hong added: "In addition, we have informed the wealth fund team under Qunxing that we can start the third phase of the wealth fund fundraising plan. The target for the third phase of fund raising is 3 trillion, preparing for the market outlook for the New Securities 50 Index to hit the 10,000-point mark.
