When formally reporting to Zhu Youdong on such a grand subject as "how to help all the people of Lanfang Country to successfully survive this financial crisis," Gu Kun had to do very detailed homework, which could not be dealt with in just a few words.
Fortunately, he did make adequate preparations and provided detailed data reports and evaluations.
Gu Kun sat down and drank a cup of tea, and analyzed it carefully for Zhu Youdong:
"First of all, let me explain the funding adequacy issue this time. I think that US$500 million is enough to offset the losses of the whole country in this financial crisis. It will not exceed too much, and it will not leave any losses to international speculators.
Truth.
You should know that last year our per capita monthly income in Lanzhou was 580 ringgit. In the first 11 months of this year, according to the statistics, it must have exceeded 600 ringgit. It should be around 630 ringgit, with an annual income growth rate of 9%...
…”
When Gu Kun reported these figures, Zhu Youdong basically nodded his head subconsciously after listening to a few. It can be seen that Gu Kun's figures are correct, and as a monarch, he is also more concerned about state affairs, and he is always aware of it.
As an aside, the statistics Gu Kun mentioned above are all based on "the per capita value of the remaining parts of Lanfang except Gu Kun." Whether it is per capita income or per capita GDP, this is also the case for Lanfang Islands.
Since 1996, the official adopted new statistical caliber.
Because this country is too small, if the giant Kun like Gu Kun were thrown into a small pond, the per capita per capita in the country would at least double, which would be meaningless.
Excluding variables like Gu Kun, generally a country's per capita GDP will be about two-thirds higher than its per capita income. In countries with high fiscal revenue and expenditure/tax burden, this ratio will be even higher.
Lanfang has a slightly higher tax burden. Last year's per capita GDP was 1,020 ringgit per month. In the first 11 months of this year, it was 1,150 ringgit. That is 13,080 ringgit a year, which is equivalent to 3,700 US dollars before devaluation.
This per capita value is slightly higher than the historical per capita value of China in 2009, but lower than that of China in 2010. Therefore, it is equivalent to the current per capita economic indicator of Lanzhou, which is 12 years faster than China. This was in Southeast Asia before the crisis.
, can only be considered above average.
Multiplied by Lanfang's population of 90,000, the country's total GDP, excluding Gu Kun and others, is about US$350 million.
However, the losses caused by the financial crisis are not as simple as a year's GDP, but must take into account a country's total capital assets, including investments other than real estate, and deposits/securities.
The specific amount of this "total national asset wealth" is currently not available in Lanzhou, but according to international practice, it is generally believed to be about five or six times GDP. (That is, it is equivalent to the default sum of various savings of a household.
It is equal to five or six times the annual income. You can calculate whether your family's balance, deposits, stocks, business, net assets, etc., add up to almost six times the annual salary. If you have it, it is healthy, and the house does not count)
According to this calculation, the total social capital wealth accumulated in Lanfang is about US$2 billion. Now that the ringgit has depreciated by 25%, if these assets are not hedging, at most US$500 million will evaporate.
It perfectly offsets Gu Kun's income.
After Zhu Youdong listened carefully to this account, he had a clearer understanding of Gu Kun's risk control.
Next is the question of how the money is spent.
Gu Kun sincerely analyzed: "Actually, you also know that we can't actually lose that much this time, because many people have listened to my advice and converted ringgit into RMB in advance, and the RMB has not depreciated yet. They
There will be no loss. We will keep the shares of these people and use them in the future.
What needs to be expressed in a high-profile manner at the moment is mainly for those illiterate and idiots who are stubborn, do not listen to my advice, and do not trust the RMB. Since these people are unwilling to trust you, Your Highness, and are unwilling to trust me, I think it is better to solve their life difficulties.
, and then sweep it out completely."
Zhu Youdong didn't follow Gu Kun's idea at all: "Sweep out? You mean to rush to a foreign country? Are you fanciful? Not to mention that population is a tax source, even if you want to send these people away, no foreign country is willing to accept immigrants
Yes, what’s the benefit of doing this? Just to unify the country’s thoughts?”
Gu Kun signaled the Grand Duke to be calm and calm: "Don't worry, Your Highness, you have two questions, including why you want to sweep and how to sweep. I will answer you respectively.
The first is why we need to scan. You should know that I have had an idea in the past two years, which is to build our country into a very strong country in terms of culture, tourism and international image. There is a very important card in this, and that is 'World
The concept of "the first tycoon country".
You should have read the materials I gave you and know that in Dubai in the Middle East, some members of the royal family are also working on this idea. They just don’t know how to do it yet, they have no power to use it, and they don’t know how to spend the little money they have. This
The world's number one tycoon country only has one quota. The second place is meaningless and will not be remembered by the whole world.
Our foundation in Lanfang is too poor. If we have to compete for the total wealth, we are no match for anyone. Our only chance of winning is to compete for the average value per capita. At this time, those indicators that bring down the data must find ways to optimize them from book statistics.
Moreover, we in Lanzhou have a great advantage in doing this, that is, we cannot rely on our own population to meet the labor demand for future national construction, so it is better to rely entirely on foreign workers and avoid calculating the national employment rate.
Like Xiangjiang and Lijiapo, why can't they be crazy about strict labor requirements? It's because they want to balance foreign workers and local workers. Lijiapo has 5 million people, 4 million domestic citizens, and more than 1 million foreign workers, which is already a very high ratio.
But it is impossible for Li Jiapo to raise all the local people like uncles and then adopt uniform high standards and strict labor force policies."
Based on the experience of the previous life, after the discovery of Lanfang Oilfield in the future and the slight rise of tourism, this country will need a population of about 300,000 to absorb all this. The tens of thousands of people in the country are not enough to begin with, and the future is destined to be outside.
If labor is the main body of national economic activities, then it is better to completely give up on the growth of the national population and increase the per capita indicator to show off.
The value created by the work of these tens of thousands of people is not as valuable as the attention of the global people captured in the Internet era by fighting for the sign of "the world's most wealthy country per capita". (Li Jiapo cannot do this because it has an elite population of 4 million.
The output of hard work can exceed the value of the attention of people all over the world to the "world's largest per capita rich country". After Li Jiapo did the calculation, he found that it was not cost-effective)
Why can't Brunei next door, known as a rich country in history, beat Dubai in an instant? Isn't it because the upper class in Brunei have no ambition and dare not invest or dare to fight.
In addition, they are dragging a heavy body of 5 to 6 million people, and all indicators are half-baked. Just relying on the accumulation of 5 billion barrels of oil, in the end, they only reached the embarrassing figure of "annual per capita GDP of 30,000 to 40,000 US dollars."
What is enough for 30,000 to 40,000 U.S. dollars? In Asia, it is slightly lower than Japan (40,000 U.S. dollars), and even lower than Huaxia Xiangjiang, Huaxia Aoxian (more than 70,000 U.S. dollars), which uses cities as statistical units, and a few rich countries in the Middle East ( Qatar’s per capita population is 70,000).
Not to mention that Luxembourg in Europe is as big as Lanzhou, with a population of 600,000, and its per capita can reach US$105,000. Monaco, with a population of only 40,000, has a per capita US$280,000. (The Vatican cannot be counted. The situation is too special because believers all over the world Strictly speaking, donations from people cannot be counted in GDP. If they were, the Vatican only has a thousand people, and the per capita income should be several million dollars.)
In the Internet era, winners all kill, and there is no point in not being number one in a certain field. Brunei’s card will be ruined. In the future, there will only be a few high-end and knowledgeable netizens in China who will know "The King of Brunei" in their pretentious talk. "I own 1,200 luxury cars", but I don't think Brunei is a wealthy country.
Gu Kun must not let Lanfang repeat the mistakes of Brunei in the future.
No matter what, he has to make the per capita GDP of the Netherlands explode than that of Monaco in order to win the international positioning of a rich country like Monaco.
This was not the first time that Gu Kun suddenly mentioned these insights to Zhu Youdong. He had laid the groundwork for them several times in the past year, so Zhu Youdong was not too surprised.
After thinking about it again and again, Zhu Youdong asked hesitantly: "However, just relying on us to engage in finance, provide welfare, and reduce the population cannot make us go from Monaco, which has an average per capita of US$4,000 to more than 100,000 US dollars per person! Lan Fang doesn't It may become the country with the highest GDP per capita in the world!”
"Please believe me, I will help you achieve this goal together, but it's still a long story now." Of course Gu Kun is counting on the oil fields discovered under Lanfang in the future.
However, he planned to hold back the truth for at least a few more months before telling Zhu Youdong.
No matter what, we have to wait until his daughter Zhu Youran turns 16 and the relationship between the two parties is further clarified.
Although Zhu Youdong is destined to have no children or grandchildren in this life, it seems that Gu Kun is the best son-in-law candidate at present. However, once faced with the oil wealth of tens of billions of dollars, Gu Kun cannot guarantee whether Zhu Youdong will have the evil idea of letting his daughter seek another high-level career.
It's better not to test human nature.
Taking advantage of this period of time when the country was in difficulty, Gu Kun decided to secretly buy up the land on the string of outlying islands on the eastern border of Lanzhou, as well as the accompanying offshore economic zone rights, in the name of helping the country tide over the difficulties.
By the way, let’s officially advance the relationship with Zhu Youran.
When the time comes, tell Zhu Youdong, "I recently talked to XXX from Huaxia Offshore Oil, and there may be such and such potential." By the way, I will tie it to China's tank, and I will not be afraid that Zhu Youdong will be tested.
Zhu Youdong didn't know what the plan was, so he could only prioritize and ask for advice on other doubtful points: "Then tell me, if I agree to liberalize immigration, how will you technically operate it?"
Gu Kun: “Nowadays, Malaya is also in a rather critical and difficult point of economic contraction, and they very much need to boost domestic demand and consumption.
Moreover, Malaya's social security system is relatively diversified. It not only has a pension system controlled by the state, but also has many large and reputable commercial insurances. Some of them can even cover Lijiapo and Indonesia. These Insurance companies will even allow people to start paying pension premiums just a few years before retirement, but the premiums will be very high.
I plan to use the US$500 million to establish a national security fund. Taking advantage of the current downturn in Malay, in the name of charity, we can humanely insure a Malay commercial pension for those hard-core citizens who have not listened to my advice before. , even if the premium subsidy per person costs 10,000 to 20,000 US dollars, we will accept it.
In addition, the Malay states of Sarawak and Sabah have originally had relatively relaxed policies for investment immigrants from Lanfang people. In order to encourage the prosperity of the real estate market in Kuching, Sarawak has always allowed Lanfang people to buy in Kuching. You can apply for naturalization for commercial houses with an area of more than 40 square meters. These are all available.
I can provide moderate housing purchase subsidies at a cost-effective manner. I can even provide them with a way to make a living after arriving in Malaysia and provide two years of unemployment insurance assistance so that these people can establish themselves in Borneo."
Of course, it is not that simple to immigrate to Malaysia under normal circumstances, but Malaysia offers more preferential treatment to Malaysia than other countries because Malaysia is too small and the country’s population is less than one-tenth of Kuching City. Malay is not afraid of Malaysia. The huge influx of people has hit Kuching, so we have given such a special discount.
This is the advantage of a small country. No matter where you go, foreigners are not afraid of flooding after liberalization.
Zhu Youdong pondered endlessly, always feeling that he was still a bit at a loss.
Gu Kun struck while the iron was hot and continued to state his interests: "Your Highness, what I am doing is not just as simple as reducing the population size and increasing the per capita indicators. You have to think about this issue like this:
In the past, we have repeatedly urged the people to abandon the ringgit and switch to the renminbi. But there are still so many people who do not listen to the advice. What are the main situations of these people who do not listen to the advice? You should be able to imagine, for example, if they are old stubborn, what will the older generation say? Illiterate people who can't make any sense. These people are the biggest resistance and drag on Lanfang's transformation.
When we implement it, we can actually specify some factors. For example, screening based on illiteracy rate, age, and health status does not really only screen those who have not converted ringgit into RMB. It is just a cover for external publicity. .
The history of the Japanese and the Germans has proven how important the average quality of the population is for a country to take off rapidly. Perhaps because there is still one illiterate in a country, we have to prepare an extra set of illustrations for our road signs, and cannot All use words, which has huge social costs.
We are not trying to eliminate illiteracy, we are just persuading them to immigrate to neighboring countries. If you feel that it is a bit unbearable for an excellent neighboring country like Malaya to collect money and bear this burden, then I have a backup plan that can make the most illiterate people Go to Indonesia and you won't have any psychological burden - the primary school graduation rate in the Indonesian labor market is only 30%, and they don't care about a few more illiterate people."
The Chinese officials may find this situation difficult to imagine. Isn’t it just about eradicating illiteracy? Is it that difficult?
That's because China's compulsory education work is really good. In countries with the same GDP per capita, China's public education efficiency is world-renowned. Therefore, Chinese people are used to being blessed and don't take it seriously.
In fact, even according to statistics in 2019, Indonesia’s primary school graduation rate among the working-age workforce is only 40%.
Among non-Chinese ethnic groups in Southeast Asian countries, the illiteracy rate has always been a social problem that is difficult to solve. The situation in Finland is better than that in Malay, and much better than in Indonesia. This is just because the ethnic composition of Lanzhou takes advantage, and the Han people have loved reading since ancient times.
However, in 1997, illiteracy caused by historical debt in Lanfang has always been a big problem.
And everyone who has done literacy work knows that even if you invest more, you will not be able to improve it after reaching 90%, because you can only solve the problem of not creating new illiterates among teenagers, and the elderly have lost their ability to learn.
, we can only wait for the other party to die of old age. This is not a question of whether Zhu Youdong has worked hard or not over the years.
Gu Kun can now take the opportunity to solve this extremely difficult problem: give some subsidies to the purely illiterate people and let them become Indonesians.
Of course, he is still very benevolent and method-oriented. He never engages in administrative one-size-fits-all. At best, he only uses economic means to control things.
If there is someone who is really determined to follow him and passes the test of inducements, then whether he is illiterate or sick, he will let him live a long life as a citizen of Lan Fang. This will make Brother Xinkun rich. And if
Sanguan is like Zhu Jingye. Even if they go to college, if they can't resist the temptation of subsidies, Gu Kun will still have many ways to get them out.
After this subsidy, what he needs is a Lan Fang who has absolute trust in Gu Kun from top to bottom and will swear loyalty to the death.