Obviously, Lu Ming's point of view is that in the future, most ordinary people will change their obsession with owning a house and no longer worry about it.
The high housing prices are the core factor that drives people to change their mindset. They no longer pay attention to the property market, just like ordinary people don't care about the price fluctuations of luxury goods.
The host said: "Mr. Lu, based on your previous point of view, can we understand that the 'mother-in-law economy' will develop with the times and will decline or even disappear in the future?"
People are obsessed with owning a house. In fact, the biggest core driving force is the so-called "mother-in-law economy". Let's not talk about the payment of cars, tickets, betrothal gifts, etc. To get married, you must have a wedding house, and the man must be the entire market.
The man is the absolute main force in buying a house. Having a house of his own is the ticket for marriage. This is also a strange contemporary feature.
It must be said that, after all, it was the host of a major newspaper, and his words got to the point.
Lu Ming nodded without hesitation: "It is inevitable that the mother-in-law's economy will disappear in the future."
The host then asked: "What is the basis for this?"
Hearing this, Lu Ming paused for a moment, sorted out his words in his mind, and then elaborated in an orderly manner: "It seems a bit long for us to jump from public rental housing to marriage, but there is indeed an inevitable and deep connection between them. Getting married now is
They will inevitably face the problem of housing, which is an unavoidable reality for many married people."
"We found that in today's marriage and love market, what is the conflict between men and women on the issue of marriage? It is the men who have begun to choose to admit defeat when faced with the high cost of marriage that is difficult to pay today. They cannot afford to get married, so they don't get married and just lie down.
Ping, this is why more and more boys don’t pursue girls now.”
"Because once a boy has the idea of getting married, what is immediately in front of him is a house, a car, and money, and the most important thing here is the house. But the boy begins to admit that he is not good enough and chooses to admit defeat. In other words, there are actually some problems in marriage.
This is a game between men and women, just like a stock call auction game. I won’t follow your offer. I don’t have that much money in my pocket, and I can’t afford it, so I cancel the order.”
"And a new problem arises from this, that is, the contradiction between the two parties still exists, but because more and more boys choose to admit defeat, you will find that girls are already at the apex of this contradiction, but the opponent who created this contradiction is gone.
, it’s terrible when boys give up and stop playing!”
"That will inevitably lead to the reshaping of the rules, and when a peak of contradiction occurs, it is often the beginning of a trend reversal, and the peak of a contradiction is often the party that loses in the end. This trend is actually showing signs now. I don't know if you have noticed it.
One detail, in some short videos, the woman begins to write out the dowry."
"It didn't happen before, and it wouldn't be written in such a public way. This is the phenomenon of concession, which is the reversal of the contradiction at the apex, because when girls are pushed to the apex, there are always people who choose to get married or fall in love, and there are always people who want to
You stand on top and I evacuate secretly. Once this happens, even the rock-solid structure will begin to loosen and then disintegrate."
The people who watched the live broadcast were stunned. If you think about it carefully, it is really like this. In the past, people said that they would not marry without much betrothal gifts. Now, there are indeed sporadic phenomena of written dowries. I never paid much attention to it before.
When I saw it, I subconsciously concluded that it was just a gimmick to attract attention.
However, after deconstructing it from the perspective of Brother Yi, it was found that it is not that simple. The audience said that he is a giant after all. He not only has a high position, but also knows the subtleties. Why didn't he pay attention to these details before...
At the same time, Lu Ming in the video screen said: "In the future, if the woman's family is better, she will take the lead in the marriage, which is what we often call an independent and excellent woman, because by this time she has already There is no opponent at the top. This is due to the general environment. Of course she is on the strong side and she should be the dominant one, and the marriage has also changed due to this."
"So I think that at a certain stage, there will be a short-lived and prosperous 'dowry' phenomenon, that is, the 'dowry era' begins to prevail. In the future, news similar to natal dowry will be exposed in large numbers, forming another completely opposite to the present one. It’s an extreme trend, but it won’t last too long and may return to normal in about ten or twenty years.”
"There is such a conclusion, on the one hand it is based on the laws of economics, and on the other hand it is also based on historical evidence. That is, a similar dowry trend appeared in the Song Dynasty. Even Su Zhe, the younger brother of the great writer Su Dongpo, lamented that he was ' Marrying a girl from a broken family, saying that she almost went bankrupt in order to provide a dowry for her daughter, is also a major feature of the Song Dynasty. Of course, modern society is different, and it is impossible to simply repeat history, but history has certainly given us certain lessons. refer to."
"I think that in the future, there may be a group of women with better material conditions who will become stronger and even play a major role in marriage; while the group of women with lower material base will return to the pre-'mother-in-law economy' era, using the words of the capital market. This is a bubble, and it cannot continue to expand. It will burst one day. When it reaches its peak and breaks through the critical limit, the bubble bursts. When the bubble bursts, of course the rational value will return."
At this time, the host said: "Mr. Lu has provided us with a brand new perspective, and it is very interesting. So, let me ask Mr. Lu, assuming that the future is as you said, how will the return of rational value be reflected? Coming out?"
Lu Ming immediately smiled and said: "This is a good question. The return of value is reflected in people no longer obsessing about owning a house in their name, because by then everyone will not be able to afford a house, which means that there is no gap between everyone, and there is no one around them. The goal of comparison is reached, and everyone is renting a house. At this time, people's mate selection criteria will gradually shift from the house to other places, and the proportion of material things will decrease, such as education, medical care, spiritual compatibility, height, etc. , more is transferred from material things to people themselves, which is a good phenomenon.”
"Then the significance of public rental housing is profound and important. It plays a connecting role in the entire housing rental market. At the same time, public rental housing should also be built by the state or non-profit public institutions such as the Science and Livelihood Fund and open to the public. The state As the largest landlord, the state will not kick you out without any reason, and it is also the core and strong guarantee that everyone has a home."
"One day you become richer through your own efforts, you can rent commercial housing with better configuration, more space and larger space to improve your living standards. Furthermore, you can even buy commercial housing directly. Another great significance of public rental housing is that you When one day you have difficulty in downgrading your consumption and cannot afford to rent a commercial house with better conditions, it will provide you with a fallback guarantee."
In fact, many people struggle to get over the hurdle of renting a house. They have two big worries. One is that the landlord will kick you out or raise the price indiscriminately if you live well. When the era of public rental housing comes, the country has become the largest
As a landlord, this is guaranteed.
Another worry is that moving is very troublesome and tiring. But looking at it from another perspective, when your ability is so great, moving is only tiring for a day or two, while buying a house will cost you thirty years.
During the mortgage period, you don’t dare to spend money randomly, don’t dare to get sick, etc.
Thinking about it in comparison, it is more practical and more flexible to spend a day or two if you are tired and tired. Even if your job changes to another city, you can just apply for a public rental house there as a migrant worker.
As a result, it will be difficult not to boost the consumer confidence of the entire society. Confidence is more expensive than gold. When people's wallets are released from their houses, there will be unimaginable domestic consumption potential.
You must know that 70% of the GDP of this beautiful country on the other side of the ocean is created by local consumption.
