Lu Xun, who happened to miss the meeting and was recruited by Sun Quan to come back to discuss the plan, after reading the book recording the strategy, he pondered for a moment and then said slowly: "Your Majesty, Zheng Zijin's plan was completely successful, and the chance of success is at most 30%.
"
Well, it’s hard to get all the credit?
And the chance of success is only at most 30%!
Sun Quan, who was still looking forward to it, suddenly his hair and beard were bulging, and his eyes were turning red.
He is not an unintelligent person, and he never expected that one battle would sweep through the two states of Qingxu and capture Jingxiang. But with the whole country's troops going there, and what Scar Pu said, the result should at least be a defeat.
From Hefei to Shouchun, take over Yangzhou!
Who would have expected that he would be fooled?!
He now regretted it and sent two thousand naval troops to escort Zheng Pu back.
If Scar Pu's little boy is intercepted and buried in the river, it will be a great joy in life!
call.
With a long sigh of relief, Sun Quan tried his best to suppress the indignation in his heart, and asked in a gentle voice as much as possible, "What Bo Yan means is that Scar Pu actually harbors evil intentions and wants Jiangdong and Ni Wei to harm each other?"
"Your Majesty, this is not what I meant."
Lu Xun, who was well aware of Sun Quan's desire for Hefei and the strategic significance of Shouchun's failure to break Jianye, still said pleasantly, "Your Majesty, Zheng Zijin's plan has some merits. As I wish, it is Ruo
Acting according to the plan, we Jiangdong still need to pay a heavy price in order to have the prerequisite foundation for Huaiyou's loose defense. For example, Zhang Wenyuan, the former Hefei defender of Wei State, once led the army to help Jingxiang."
Uh~~
This time, Sun Quan understood.
He also suppressed his anger, closed his eyes and stroked his beard, thinking to himself.
Because Lu Xun's words meant that the prerequisites for Zheng Pu's plan to come to fruition were similar to those of the previous battle at Xiangfan.
In the past, Guan Yu's Northern Expedition trapped Cao Ren in Fancheng and surrounded General Lu Chang in Xiangyang.
Wei Wu Cao Cao sent Yu Jin to lead an army to rescue him, but Guan Yu flooded seven armies, which shocked China and caused people's hearts in all parts of Wei to turmoil. They rushed to rebel against Wei Yao and take the Han seal, so Cao Cao once again summoned the defenders from various places to rescue him.
For example, Xu Huang's generals Xu Shang, Lu Jian and others were the vanguard, and the garrison troops from various places, such as generals Yin Shu, Zhu Gai and other twelve battalions, came later. Zhang Liao, who was stationed in Huaiyou at that time, was also ordered to supervise the army, and Cao Cao
He personally led the Chinese army behind him and came from Luoyang to Wancheng.
In other words, if Sun Quan wanted to make Huaiyou's defense empty, he must at least have a feat similar to "flooding seven armies" and destroy the first wave of reinforcements from Wei before triggering turmoil in Wei!
But Guan Yu almost wiped out Yu Jin without a single blow and shocked China. Who in Jiangdong dares to claim to be equal?
Who dares to claim that it can be copied?
War, a place of life and death, has no room for words or luck.
If Jiangdong wanted to destroy the first wave of reinforcements, he would have no choice but to sacrifice his life regardless of casualties.
Or perhaps, this is Lu Xun's implicit advice - for a chance, is Sun Quan willing to sacrifice his 30,000 to 50,000 troops with the Wei State in exchange for one life?
In particular, after the tens of thousands of troops were defeated in Xiangyang, there were still battles to attack Hefei and Shouchun.
The two fortified cities that Wei had always relied on as the decisive points of defense on the eastern front did not require much thought. It was also a battle that required the loss of countless soldiers before there was any hope of breaking the city.
With Wu's current strength, losing 20,000 to 30,000 soldiers would be a loss of strength and would no longer be able to attack.
However, the plan presented by Zheng Pu ideally estimated that it would require the death of 30,000 to 40,000 soldiers. If something unexpected happened, the number of casualties would be at least 50,000 to 60,000, which could be said to shake the foundation of the country!
Can Jiangdong afford such a loss?
However, Lu Xun claimed that Zheng Pu's plan had merit, and that he was not wrong in deducing the general trend.
First, compared to the Huaiyou front, Wei could not tolerate any loss in Jingxiang.
Because the Wei State has established its capital at Luoyang, if Jingxiang is lost, Wu's military front can threaten Guanzhong, and then Sun Jian can follow the example of the old days when the world was fighting against Dong, and Sun Jian attacked Luoyang from Nanyang County.
Kyoto is the foundation of a country.
If Cao Rui doesn't want to see rebellions in various states and counties, he must protect the Jingxiang front no matter what.
Both of them, the time for Jiangdong to attack Jingxiang is now more favorable than when Guan Yu went to the north.
Although in the past during Guan Yu's Northern Expedition, Wei Wu and Cao Cao returned from defeating Hanzhong, and there were Wei Tie's rebellion and the rise of bandits in Yecheng, Wei's military strength did not suffer much loss at that time; but now Wei's army is lost in Yongliang. There are countless soldiers, and Huaiyou can only hold on after the Battle of Shiting. If Jiangdong attacks Jingxiang with all its strength, it will be more difficult for Wei to mobilize reinforcements.
Finally, Zheng Pu is a foreign minister.
When making plans, they will inevitably have the intention of favoring Bashu and favoring Jiangdong.
Therefore, in the strategy of attacking Jingxiang and attacking Huaiyou, they deliberately avoided the important points and ignored the light ones. They only hyped the benefits to Wu after the war and rarely mentioned the losses in Jiangdong during the operation. This was the inevitable result of being an envoy and lobbyist. Why? Quite a surprise!
If we really want to criticize, we should blame Sun Quan for being too attached to Hefei and Shouchun, so he failed to notice for a while, and was deceived by Zheng Pu's clever words, commands and seduction.
There was silence for a while.
There were only two people in the side hall, and the air was like thick minced meat. Even Gu Li, who was on duty outside the side hall, felt the atmosphere was depressing.
Lu Xun, who was ranked first, had already closed his eyes to rest his mind.
Sun Quan, who was at the head, also closed his eyes, but the constantly changing expressions on his face revealed his inner struggle.
Hefei Shouchun, whatever he wants!
He doesn't want too many casualties among his soldiers, and he doesn't dare to cause instability in Jiangdong. That's what he wants!
However, there is no way to have both.
In other words, there is no such thing as the best of both worlds.
Should we continue to sit in a corner of the Yangtze River and watch the Wei and Han tussles for supremacy, waiting for the opportunity in the future? Or should we risk everything and push the fate of the country east of the Yangtze River to see if we can win the opportunity to merge with the Central Plains in the future?
Sun Quan had been in a dilemma for a long time, and he would no longer ask Lu Xun what to choose.
As a minister, Lu Xun had already done his duty to point out the pros and cons and would not say any more anyway.
However, he could still answer some details.
"Just now Cai Boyan claimed that according to Zheng Zijin's plan, the chance of success is at most 30%."
Less than half an hour later, Sun Quan finally opened his eyes. No emotion could be seen on his face. He asked softly, "If our army attacks Jingxiang and wipes out the tens of thousands of soldiers and horses from the Wei State, according to Boyan's inference , what are the chances that the secret attack on Huaiyou will come true?"
Alas, as expected!
Hearing this, Lu Xun sighed quietly in his heart.
Because Sun Quan's question is tantamount to claiming that he is more inclined to burn the boat once.
Coincidentally, this was also the result that Lu Xun secretly deduced.
"Your Majesty, if you plan to succeed, it depends on heaven and not on people."
Lu Xun's voice was still slow, and his face was as calm as a sinking lake. "I believe that if everything goes as everyone wishes, Huaiyou might have a 60-70 chance of breaking through."
Six or seven points?
And it's just to break the situation, not to break Hefei and win Shouchun?
Sun Quan nodded lightly and closed his eyes again to think. His hand, which was hidden under the table, could not help but tighten a piece of cloth.
