Sun Dahai thought for a while, shook his head and said: "Now the market has actually passed the panic period. No matter whether the market bottoms out for the second time or rebounds from oversold, it has become more rational.
The Hong Kong Stock Exchange has taken administrative measures to force the market to close this time, which itself is criticized. And judging from today's intraday situation, the effect of this administrative intervention is counterproductive. Therefore, OTC funds show a lack of confidence in the market outlook and generally adopt
It is a wait-and-see strategy, so the stock market will slowly fall and rise in a short period of time, and the fluctuations will not be too big.
Therefore, even if your friend takes the risk to do stock index futures now, I am afraid that the return will not be very high, and the risk will be huge, and the gain will not be worth the loss."
He Lin interrupted: "Dahai, how much room do you think the stock market will have to fall in these days?"
Sun Dahai replied: "I estimate there is still room for decline, but it shouldn't be too deep. On the two trading days of the 19th and 26th, the market has fallen by a cumulative 44%, and the water in the stock market has been squeezed out.
few.
The fundamental reason for this decline is that the Xiangjiang stock market has been rising for several consecutive years, and a large number of profit-making chips have accumulated in the market. At the same time, the price-to-earnings ratio of each stock has been extremely high, so there is a strong desire for a correction technically.
The world's most representative stock markets are basically in the same situation, and they influence each other, resulting in this global stock market crash.
Originally, the center of the stock market crash was the United States, followed closely by Europe and Australia, and the Asian market performed relatively better. But now it seems that Hong Kong has become the hardest hit area, and there are reasons for this.
In this market situation, there are two special features of the Hong Kong stock market: First, the unsuccessful administrative intervention of the Stock Exchange not only destroyed the rhythm of the stock market's self-adjustment during the decline, but also affected investors' confidence.
Second, not long ago, several real estate companies in Xiangjiang successively launched large-scale additional issuances, attracting a large amount of OTC funds, causing the Xiangjiang stock market to suffer blood loss.
These two factors are the important reasons why the cumulative decline of Hong Kong's stock market is greater than that of stock markets in other countries."
Aya said disappointedly: "So, there will be no chance in the future?"
Sun Dahai nodded affirmatively and said: "Yes, the market is now beginning to bottom out for the second time. After the bottom support is determined, there will be a rebound of uncertain strength, causing the market to quickly break away from the bottom area.
For a long period of time in the future, individual stock prices should be staged, and the stock market as a whole will return to the two unbreakable themes of the stock market, 'price-to-earnings ratio' and 'theme,' and there will no longer be large-scale general declines and general rises."
"How will ordinary people who invest their own pocket money do stocks in the future? They don't have the time and channels to analyze and judge the situation of stocks." Sha Baitian asked.
"The best way for ordinary investors to buy stocks is to buy some industry leading stocks with excellent and stable performance. Strong and more aggressive investors can use the method of 'riding a white horse to find a dark horse' to buy some theme stocks appropriately.
All in all, the days of just buying a stock and waiting to make money are unlikely to happen again in the short term.”
Let’s stop this topic here. Although Aya didn’t get a complete answer, she knew she couldn’t ask any more questions. Sun Dahai has already said a lot, and if he continues to ask questions, it will involve people’s ideas for making money.
Up.
Afterwards, everyone talked about Feng Lina's investment in the Star Gas Station. This project is currently under preparation, and it will be developed on that piece of land after Sun Dahai wins Brent.
Xiangjiang is not Daqingshan in Long Province. Outdoor construction is not allowed for half of the year. The climate here allows construction all year round, but the rainy season is humid and it is not easy to dry quickly.
The construction party still chose the Huo family's construction team, and the future building will be built by them. They are a professional construction team, and the quality, construction period and total project cost are well controlled. Everyone cooperates well, plus Sun Dahai and Huo
family, so this new project must still be handed over to them for construction.
The last time Sun Dahai came to Xiangjiang, he accepted Brent's bet before leaving. He had already greeted the second son of the Huo family and asked him to arrange the construction team. A new comprehensive project will be started before the end of the year.
Sun Dahai didn't say too many specific things. He just sent someone to send him a draft of the design plan of Jiahua Xiangjiang Entertainment Resort so that he would have a good idea when arranging the engineering team.
As for the project location, Sun Dahai only told him that the company was in the process of selecting it and it had not yet been determined. Sun Dahai couldn't tell him that Brent and I had made another big bet, and we were guaranteed to win. You should prepare in advance according to that piece of land.
!
On October 19, after the global stock market crash happened like in the previous life, Sun Dahai told the second son of the Huo family about this matter over the phone, because by this time everyone was basically sure that Sun Dahai had at least a 99% chance of winning the bet, so
Sun Dahai no longer keeps the land secret a secret.
Sun Dahai didn't want others to know that guessing that such a bet was like giving away money to him, so he didn't tell the second son of the Huo family. Now that the overall situation has been decided, there is no need to hide it anymore.
Such a large piece of land is located in the core area of Repulse Bay. When the time comes to erect it, it will need to go through the transfer and use change procedures. How could the real estate developers in Xiangjiang not know this?
Rather than the second son of the Huo family knowing the news through other channels, it would be better for Sun Dahai to tell him on his own initiative to avoid people having any grudges in their hearts.
Ever since Sun Dahai arrived at the Huo family and met Mr. Huo, he has been keeping in touch with the Huo family.
Although he first met the eldest brother of the Huo family, after Mr. Huo retired, the eldest son of the Huo family mainly went into politics, and the second son of the Huo family was responsible for all the family business. Therefore, Sun Dahai has connections with the two brothers, and the second son of the Huo family
Get in touch more.
Therefore, the design sketch of Jiahua Xiangjiang Entertainment Resort has been released, and even the sand table has been prepared by Youlian. However, the actual design drawing cannot be completed until the land transfer is completed and the designer conducts on-site survey.
Even if the Huo family's construction team is making preliminary preparations now, it will take two to three months at the earliest for this project to actually start.
Sun Dahai has made expectations for this project, and strives to officially start construction at the beginning of next year. The year after next, around the Spring Festival of 1989, it will be completed and interior decoration will begin, and it will be officially delivered for use in June or July.
…
While several people were chatting and laughing, the dinner was over. Feng Lina was going home happily, while Aya followed her with a heavy heart.
She didn't know if Luo Wanli would be satisfied with what she heard from Sun Dahai today. But Aya had tried her best. Even if Luo Wanli was not satisfied, there was nothing she could do.
He Lin knew that Sun Dahai would be busy soon, so he did not bother Sun Dahai anymore. Instead, he specifically asked Sun Dahai for leave for Hu Cheng and took him to the coffee shop to continue talking about building a factory.