On Fei'e Mountain, He Xie frowned and hung up the phone, saying to Chen Guozhong: "This number doesn't work either. Wang Bao is very cautious."
He Xie just called not only Wang Bao's number, but also the cell phones of his subordinate Ajie, his wife, and several other close associates. The result was that without exception, all of them could not get through.
He Xie originally wanted to determine Wang Bao's location based on the subtle sound on the other end of the phone, but now this idea was ruined.
"Then what should we do?" Chen Jiaju asked anxiously, "Uncle Da, can you find him just like you found Salena?"
He Xie shook his head: "It's different. We don't know how Wang Bao left Hong Kong Island or where he wanted to go. We simply can't meet the specific conditions required by Manhattan Measurement."
"Are we just going to let him run away?" Li Ying asked unwillingly.
"That's not necessarily the case." He Xie smiled, "If a little Wang Bao escapes under my nose, then I might as well not live anymore!"
Although these words were said in an understatement, they contained incomparable certainty, which immediately restored everyone's confidence.
"Wang Bao can escape by sea, land or air." He Xie said calmly, "These three methods are all possible, and Wang Bao is very careful and may take advantage of our inertial thinking and logical blind spots, so
We have no way to directly rule out any of these ways of escaping. Naturally, we cannot directly and accurately locate him. There is only one way now, and that is to combine more than a dozen methods such as his personality, development of events, realistic conditions, risks, etc.
The factors that influenced his decision were calculated using the Bayes formula to calculate the path he chose with the highest probability."
The four policemen were all stunned and looked at each other, noticing the embarrassment on each other's faces.
"Uh...Uncle Da, I mean, can you tell me the conclusion directly?" Ma Jun said with a smile.
He Xie smiled: "That means we have to take a gamble. In terms of time, we are allowed two chances to guess wrong. Paper and pen."
Upon hearing this, Chen Guozhong immediately took out the police book and ballpoint pen from his pocket and handed them to He Xie.
Then, as if they were reading a bible, they saw He Xie listing formulas one after another, writing letters and numbers that they couldn't understand at all.
He Xie wrote four full pages, and the process took less than two minutes.
"What's the result?" Chen Guozhong couldn't wait to ask as soon as He Xie stopped writing.
"The probability of land route is 7%, the probability of sea route is 46%, and the probability of air route is 31%. There is also a possibility that he will hide, this probability is 16%" He Xie said, "The probability of land route is the least, so we can directly rule it out first, and the remaining
There are three possibilities, let’s check the empty route first!”
"The sea route is most likely, shouldn't we check the sea route first?" Li Ying asked in confusion.
"Which is faster, the ship or the plane?" He Xie glanced at him, "We can check the plane first and then the ship, but if we check the ship first, we will never have time to check the plane!"
Li Ying pursed his lips and nodded.
"But it can also be done at the same time." He Xie added.
"..." Li Ying glanced at He Xie faintly.
He Xie continued, "Let's first assume that he runs a plane. He has three options. One is to charter a private jet, the other is to use a fake passport to leave the country on a passenger plane, and the third is to go to sea by helicopter and then switch to a boat."
Having said this, He Xie paused and asked Chen Guozhong: "Do you have any records of Wang Bao's voyage in the past three years?"
Chen Guozhong was startled and immediately said: "That's too many. He has been to many places in the past three years. He..."
He Xie stretched out his hand to stop him: "Since he doesn't object to flying, then someone like Wang Bao must have a private jet, right?"
"Yes!" Chen Guozhong nodded.
"Then I guess his private plane must have just taken off. You should call now to confirm." He Xie said.
He thought for a while and added: "Immediately check his wife's entry and exit records, and also check all flight records and helicopter takeoff records on Hong Kong Island in the past half hour."
"I'll do it right away." Chen Guozhong immediately walked aside.
While he was talking, the police helicopter that Chen Guozhong had just arranged arrived.
After Chen Guozhong finished the phone call to verify the situation, the three of them got on the plane.
He Xie quickly drew a map of Hong Kong Island while listening to Chen Guozhong's report.
"Uncle Da, your guess is absolutely correct!" Chen Guozhong shouted, "His private plane has already taken off, and its destination is the lighthouse. Someone saw Wang Bao get on the plane with his own eyes. Also, his wife had already gone there yesterday.
The lighthouse.”
"That's not him." Before the four of them despaired, He Xie said calmly, "You have to remember that Wang Bao is not evading the Hong Kong police, but trying to escape from me."
If he just wanted to evade police pursuit, then Wang Bao could just leave Hong Kong Island. At that time, the police had no law enforcement power. They just delivered food and asked Interpol for assistance, which also required a lot of procedures. People like Wang Bao could take it easy.
response.
But if he wants to completely get rid of He Xie's "devil's clutches", he must completely hide his whereabouts.
So He Xie dared to conclude that the whereabouts easily traced by the police were definitely Wang Bao's trick.
Although it is not ruled out that Wang Bao will take advantage of He Xie's blind spot, considering Wang Bao's character, the probability is negligible, and it is too easy for him to leave traces and be traced by He Xie.
"The flight records and helicopter takeoff records within half an hour are being checked, and it will take five minutes at the fastest." Chen Guozhong said again.
While He Xie drew several circles on the map, he pointed at one of the circles and said quickly: "Then narrow the scope of the investigation and check the helicopter takeoff records in this area. Note that Wang Bao will probably not
Register with the Air Traffic Control Bureau.”
"In addition, the flight records are shortened to within 18 minutes, and all Hong Kong Airlines flights are excluded!"
"Okay, I'll do it right away!" Chen Guozhong immediately accepted the order.
"You three, check these seven docks and all the ships that have left their posts within twenty minutes." He Xie ordered again.
"Three of them are abandoned docks..." Chen Jiaju took a look and frowned.
"Check!" He Xie said briefly and forcefully.
The three of them immediately stopped talking and hurriedly called each other to mobilize their own strength to investigate.
At this time, the helicopter was quickly heading towards Kai Tak Airport.
Three minutes later, Chen Guozhong had the result: "In eighteen minutes, a total of five planes took off from Kai Tak Airport, including one from New York to Bangkok via Hong Kong Island, one from Tokyo to Tehran via Hong Kong Island, and the remaining
The following flights are all taking off from Hong Kong Island, one is bound for Colombia, one is bound for Los Angeles, and the other is bound for Paris.”
While Chen Guozhong was speaking, the pen tip under He Xie's hand was also jumping like flying. After Chen Guozhong finished speaking, He Xie quickly said: "Contact the ground staff who have inspected these five aircraft at the airport, including the VIP channel and runway personnel.
personnel, tell them Wang Bao’s physical characteristics and ask them if they have seen him before.”