No. 11 couldn't bear it anymore and said: "That's not how the probability is calculated..."
"——So what?"
However, Delicious Wind Goose immediately raised his voice and threatened: "If you choose to vote me out now, it means that there will be a murderer with a 'head' on the first night!"
He immediately turned the topic in another direction and no longer dwelled on the previous probability issue.
When the topic was updated, Yummy Wind Goose said quickly and confidently: "You are still not sure who he is. And as long as the number of deaths tonight exceeds at least two, it is entirely possible that the murderer has achieved his goal and added one more person."
There are two situations: "the goal has not been achieved" and "the three have not yet achieved the goal".
"Unless it is the first situation, and all judgments on the third and fourth days are correct, the murderer can be stopped, because the possibility of "I was killed" will still return on the third night.
"Why can't the second situation be stopped? Because there were more than three murderers on the second day, which is equivalent to four people killing on the first day. Civilians cannot defend themselves. If you cannot identify the murderer, you must not be able to
Completion conditions.
"Then it can be understood that as long as more than three people choose to kill tonight, the murderer's camp will definitely win!"
Delicious Wind Goose replied forcefully: "When I tell you this fact, you know this fact, and you know that others also know this fact. Then this has become public knowledge among us...
"The ending has already been determined!"
--time up.
It's just right to speak in public time.
He was counting the time in his mind in order to block other people's opportunity to speak.
Because his nonsense is completely illogical... but Yummy Feng Goose believes in his conclusive reasoning and can get people around.
Because Delicious Wind Goose finally realized that this was not a "reasoning game".
But "inciting the game".
The point is not to find the truth, but how to get others to act according to your wishes.
What he said was sonorous and powerful, extremely confident, and the amount of information he gave was very large.
Not many people can quickly realize his logical errors in a short period of time.
And considering the cost of explanation, when you can't explain it clearly to others, you can only choose to cooperate with others... Just like at the beginning of the irreversible chaotic war, the more people realize the truth, the more...
You can only go with the flow.
It is impossible for everyone to choose the optimal strategy - and even if everyone chooses the optimal strategy, it may not be the overall optimal decision.
After the four-minute public chat ended, Delicious Wind Goose immediately received a private message.
It’s not Dove on the 8th, nor Andersen on the 12th.
But No. 2 - he is the real idol wizard.
——He knows that Lao Goose is a fake idol wizard, but this does not affect the two of them from killing people together.
They planned to pick a target, and then the two of them would kill him together, one after the other. In this way, both of them would get one head; and then they would do the same thing the next night.
Then came No. 7, who also made similar suggestions to Lao Goose.
When No. 2 sent a private message invitation to Lao Goose, No. 9, who had previously had a conflict with Dove, instead sent a private message to No. 8 Dove to apply for alliance.
The only one who realized that Lao Goose was fooling around was No. 11. Although he was a step behind the others, he also reacted - he also sent an alliance application to Andersen on No. 12.
In an instant, the peace was over.
"……it's over."
The corners of Annan's mouth rose.
As for who the final "Wolf King" is, it no longer matters. Because he will inevitably be born.
Yes, Annan can certainly see that there is an optimal solution to this game. That is for everyone to pass three rounds and do nothing... This will successfully reach the "peaceful" final outcome.
——It is consistent with the "peace" that has been maintained before.
But this requires "collusion".
Just like "peace" in reality.
So why does a war happen when everyone knows that "maintaining peace is a good thing for everyone"?
A "peaceful state" can only be reached when everyone believes that everyone else will remain peaceful.
It's like two companies don't issue vouchers and start a price war. This is the best situation for the collective, and everyone can get better benefits. But as long as someone starts the price war first, others who don't take action will
One party will definitely die.
——This is what Delicious Wind Goose does.
As long as everyone realizes that other people may or may not kill people, they will soon realize that they will definitely lose if they are autistic. Because there is no way to stop them without using skills.
It's a murderer; but as long as you use skills, you are more likely to be killed.
Then the only option is to go out and kill people, and get at least two heads.
All wizards do not use skills, and everyone goes out to randomly kill people for three rounds - because the Wolf King may also be killed, so the wizard who gets one head must also keep attacking and try to get two heads instead of getting another one.
After one kill, he shuts himself down and defends himself.
After "peace" is broken, after everyone gets the public knowledge of "what will happen if others choose war"... everyone will participate in the never-ending "war".
This stupid strategy is actually the Nash equilibrium point of this war game.
Because for everyone, he is the best choice when other people's strategies remain unchanged.
Regardless of whether others are always at peace or always at war, there is nothing wrong with choosing war. But these "rights" add up to each other and become a devastating mistake.
"This is war..."
Annan took a deep breath.
He seemed to smell the smell of blood and gunpowder smoke from this ceremony.
No wonder……
No wonder this ritual can be established.
He initially thought that this wizard war game was about wizards who borrowed their power from the mysterious lady. After all, the final winner would become a wizard.
But now it seems that it probably borrowed its power from the "God of War" Red Knight.
Because this ritual has very much touched upon the core truth of the Red Knight.
The Red Knight will definitely give this ritual a very generous reward.
"No need to look anymore."
Annan sighed softly and turned off the live broadcast.
The outcome is already determined.
Unless they are unlucky enough to die on the second and third nights...then they have already won.
With everyone dragged out of the game, "surviving the war" is just a game of luck.
"If this ritual was really thought up by Ike Zhuoya, then he must be a genius."
Longjing tea is very sensitive.
Dove's response was also very quick.
And... Although Delicious Wind Goose was confused for a while, he quickly adjusted back to his state.