After using all the tricks he could, Gu Kun finally had time to calculate and estimate how much he could earn from this year's Southeast Asian financial crisis and even next year's global Internet bubble.
As mentioned before, if those last "real estate-stock linkage" tricks were not used, and real estate tycoons like the Li family and the Zheng family were not induced and forced to protect the market when Gu Kun was selling real estate stocks, then the real estate stocks with a current value of US$28 billion would be
Stocks can normally only be sold for 17 billion.
After using those various linkage inducements to protect the market, Liang Jinsong carefully calculated and felt that he could increase this score to 20 to 21 billion.
That is to say, relying on the trading strength of Blackstone Fund Asia Pacific, Gu Kun was able to sell an additional three to four billion yuan out of thin air.
Before selling real estate stocks, Gu Kun had paid off all institutional leverage, leaving only the principal and oil field mortgages in the market.
So based on this calculation, after the completion of the cash-out of the real estate stocks worth just over 20 billion US dollars, Gu Kun can first get back his 5 billion US dollars of principal and re-inject liquidity into his own cash flow. Then he can pay off the oil fields from China Construction Bank
worth US$7.5 billion.
As for Huahai Oil wanting to take a stake in Lanfang Oilfield after paying off the loan, that is another matter. The strategic cooperation treaty states that Huahai Oil will be given a chance, but the valuation of the oil field can still be finalized.
No need to rush.
In this way, more than 12 billion US dollars have been removed, leaving 7 to 8 billion expected funds.
Then, Gu Kun also had to repay Lanfang's sovereign funds and royal family funds - Zhu Youdong took out the government and royal family's money to accompany him, and played with Gu Kun for more than a year. When there were risks, he also borne them together.
The truth is that in the end, no dividends will be paid if you make money.
As for the royal family's money, before the Hong Kong stock market crisis, it was probably just over one billion US dollars. According to the overall rate of return after the real estate stocks were shipped, the cumulative profit should have been more than three times. Gu Kun should probably pay it back.
Zhu Youdong has more than 4 billion.
In the end, Gu Kun will make a net profit of US$3 billion in cash, and acquire shipping companies, banks and real estate companies worth approximately US$8 billion, as well as an Internet telecommunications company with a current market value of US$14 billion, which can be sold for at least US$20 billion in the Internet bubble next year.
share.
Assuming that these network telecommunications stocks are successfully sold out during the bubble boom, Gu Kun's total net cash profit will reach US$24 billion.
Taking into account the high-quality assets that he bought at the bottom, his total financial assets will expand from US$5 billion at the beginning of 1998 to US$35 billion by the end of 1999.
This is all the benefits that Gu Kun will reap from this financial whirlpool that lasts for the entire second anniversary.
In a nutshell, it means that your financial assets have increased sevenfold.
It seems that the results are very brilliant, but it must be noted that this is not only the income from the Southeast Asian financial crisis, but also the income from the Internet bubble -
When all the money from real estate stocks escapes, it won't be until the middle of next year anyway, so the possibility of "reinvesting the withdrawn money into Internet stocks" is extremely small. By then, Internet stocks will already be at a very high level.
Historically, the inflection point where Nasdaq began its downward trajectory after reaching its peak occurred approximately in March 2000, but the bubble was already very big in the second half of 1999. In addition, Gu Kun wanted to withdraw 200 from Internet stocks.
If hundreds of millions of dollars in cash are released, such a large amount of funds may change the historical trend of finance, and may even cause the bubble to burst months in advance.
Therefore, Gu Kun would never dare to bet on such a precise time point as "March 2000" again.
He would rather eat and look good than eat and wipe everything. He will definitely finish running by the end of 1999.
You can't be too greedy.
After this battle, Gu Kun's numbers did not expand. He still clearly understood: when you only have a few billion dollars in capital and are on the same front as the national team that protects the market, you can consider
Increase leverage aggressively and make money several times over.
But this is limited to the fact that "his own strength was relatively weak before, and there has been no obvious butterfly effect that has changed the trend pattern of global financial history."
Once it becomes large enough to change an important node in global financial history, and even its capital reaches tens of billions of dollars, then the reborn person's prophetic advantage will be completely overdrawn.
In other words, even if Gu Kun knew that there would be a subprime mortgage crisis or a European debt crisis in the future, so what? The most he could do was buy a few more years of high-interest junk bonds when he was stable, and then run away early, or have some fun
Just other daily sound investments that protect capital and increase value.
Even if you are a reborn person, in the future, at most, your financial assets will be "increased by a few percent" in subsequent major crises, and there is no longer the possibility of "increasing several times."
On the other hand, from the perspective of a domestic observer in China, you may feel that Gu Kun's performance this time is a bit unfavorable, and his future performance in the financial market will be relatively weak.
But if you take into account Gu Kun's experience in his previous life, especially his attribute as a Lanfang native, all this is very reasonable and will not make people feel strange at all——
Because he was in Southeast Asia, Gu Kun had personally experienced the crisis caused by Soros in his previous life and suffered deeply from it, so he did not study it so thoroughly before his rebirth.
For people in China, the Southeast Asian financial crisis and the future subprime mortgage crisis are just background, and they are both "financial crises that occurred in foreign countries."
As for Gu Kun, the former is his own experience, while the latter is what he sees from a distance in the media.
Therefore, as a reborn person, he actually does not have many profound prophets to use in the future regarding the subprime mortgage crisis and the European debt crisis, so he might as well recognize himself and be stable.
This was already the most successful time in Gu Kun's life to make waves in the financial market, and it was also the last time.
From now on, we have to wash our hands in a golden basin.
…
The words are divided into two parts.
Gu Kun couldn't really wait for this wave of financial operations to end before caring about other things. That would be a waste of time.
There are specialties in the industry, and as long as the boss has set the overall policy, Liang Jinsong can take care of the subsequent specific matters - for the next year, his thoughts will be devoted to helping Gu Kun operate the business.
As for Gu Kun himself, he stayed in Xiangjiang until September. After making sure that the overall situation in all aspects was decided, he actually left and prepared to go back to Lanfang, take a good rest and relax himself, and then devote himself to a new career.
In late September, a few days before leaving Xiangjiang, Liang Jinsong and some other close friends of Gu Kun in Xiangjiang gathered together to see Gu Kun off in advance and wish him a safe journey.
Throughout August and the first half of September, Gu Kun hardly heard anything outside the window and was somewhat alienated from news from the outside world. Therefore, everyone chatted about a lot of anecdotes at the wine table, which also gave Gu Kun a refreshing feeling.
It was only at this moment that he became concerned about the fate of Kong Shangzhong, Soros and others.
"Gu Sheng, are you interested in playing a part when HSBC auctions some of Kong Shangzhong's mortgaged assets? I heard that he made a big bet and worked with Soros to raise money, but he mortgaged a lot of high-quality assets."
This is how friends in the financial world tease Gu Kun.
Kong Shangzhong actually ended his sinful life in August, so it has been more than a month.
This was the first time that Gu Kun was concerned about this man's death - mainly because Kong Shangzhong's cards were relatively small. When his life was threatened, Gu Kun paid attention to it. Later, the overall situation was decided, and he didn't care much.
.
Why should Gu Kun pay attention to someone who can't afford to make trouble? At that time, Gu Kun's mind was full of how to cash out at a high position and run away, and his attention was simply not enough.
At this moment, he felt a little emotional: "It turns out that his end is as dramatic as that of the people on TV. It's a pity. By the way, what about Soros? Do any of you know his current situation? What if such a big actor would be like that?"
He's dead, so I probably haven't heard about him. There hasn't been any news recently, so he probably isn't dead."
Gu Kun's reaction really caught the whistleblower off guard: After all, Soros is also an international financial tycoon, how can he die so easily?
From your tone, buying your life is like buying vegetables at the market.
"Of course Soros is not dead, but his vitality is definitely severely damaged. All the money earned in Southeast Asia has been lost, and the original capital has been reduced by at least 70 to 80%. It is estimated that now there is only some floating pocket money and those who have no money left.
Mortgage fixed assets.
But it’s true that I heard from the gossip that he was hospitalized. I don’t know if it’s a heart disease or high blood pressure. Anyway, he is already in his sixties or seventies. After such a big blow, it’s normal for his mentality and body to be depressed.”
After the tool man answered the question, he did not forget to boast: "From now on, in the financial world of Southeast Asia, everyone will know who will act based on whose face. Congratulations to Gu Sheng for guiding all countries to get out of the crisis as soon as possible."
No matter how arrogant you are, you don't dare to use the word "leader", no matter what the occasion. In a small country like Lanfang, how can you lead your neighbors? So if you flatter me to the extreme, you only dare to mention "advice".
.
Of course Gu Kun was very measured and knew how to deal with it: "Everyone is ridiculous. I just did some small work, and I had to do it out of self-defense. How can I talk about it? I will never mention it again. It will make people hate me."
Na.
As for Kong Shangzhong’s legacy, I’m really not interested – I’m still saying that I don’t see the real estate in Xiangjiang declining. Even if this forced auction can be discounted by 20% or even 30% off the market price, I’m not interested. I think in the future
The room for descent is at least cut in half."
"Are you really so bearish on housing prices? The current housing prices are only 10% or 20% lower than 18 months ago. Some real estate speculators with too high leverage have already jumped off the building. It seems that there have been negative remarks about suppressing housing prices recently.
It has become popular, and there are more and more speculators imitating Kong Shangzhong. I’m afraid the authorities will not just sit back and ignore it.” Those toolmakers obviously miss the real estate boom in their local area, and even though Gu Kun is so prestigious, he is still unwilling to give in on these issues.
Of course Gu Kun just smiled at this and didn't want to say anything. It was none of his business anyway.
"You guys just don't know how to deal with public opinion in the Internet era. A few people jumped off the building to scare you. Sooner or later you will suffer.
After I prepared to return to Lanzhou, I advised His Highness the Grand Duke to bring the legal system of Lanzhou closer to that of mainland China. I feel that the superiority of the system of mainland China is too obvious in the Internet era."